Florida International Panthers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Final — October 13, 2026
FIUOffense2026 regular season to dateJXST
FIUDefenseJXSTFIURecent formJXSTFIUHome and roadseason to dateJXSTFIULast 10 gamesJXSTRest & travelrest and travel
FIURest & travelJXSTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Florida International (2-2) visited Jacksonville State (3-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 8:00 PM ET.
Florida International has the 128th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 13th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Jacksonville State has the 46th-ranked offense and the 79th-ranked defense. When Florida International has the ball, a 128th-ranked offense (−0.134 EPA per play) meets a 79th-ranked defense (+0.089 allowed); when Jacksonville State has it, a 46th-ranked offense (+0.118) meets a 13th-ranked defense (−0.122 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida International offense is at 41.4% (121st) and the Jacksonville State offense at 51.5% (20th). Florida International scores 18.5 points per game (108th) and allows 14.5 (9th); Jacksonville State scores 23.0 (82nd) and allows 25.6 (65th).
Florida International is 3-2 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 22-3 win over New Mexico State. Jacksonville State is 4-2; its last game was a 27-26 win over Kennesaw State.
Jacksonville State closed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Florida International. The spread opened at Jacksonville State -3. The total closed at 44.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Florida International +120, Jacksonville State -144) prices Florida International at 44% and Jacksonville State at 56%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Florida International Panthers 24, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27
Jacksonville State Gamecocks won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Jacksonville State Gamecocks -2.5): Jacksonville State Gamecocks covered.
- Combined score 51 vs the closing total of 44.5: Over.
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks closed at -144 on the moneyline (a 56% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Florida International Panthers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Florida International Panthers 44%, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 56%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 4:43 — Florida International Panthers ball, 3rd & 15 at 50No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kohl pass complete deep right to #2 M.Anderson caught at Jax ST21, for 50 yards to the Jax ST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #48 R.Cz…Florida International Panthers 29% → 44% (+15 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 1:18 — Jacksonville State Gamecocks ball, 2nd & 1 at JXST 34No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass intercepted by #9 J.Taylor at Jax ST39 #9 J.Taylor return 7 yards to the Jax ST32 (#5 D.Gentry)Florida International Panthers 43% → 58% (+15 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:58 — Jacksonville State Gamecocks ball, 3rd & 13 at FIU 42Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep left to #9 R.Johnson caught at FIU13, for 34 yards to the FIU08 (#9 J.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNJacksonville State Gamecocks 60% → 90% (+30 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:13 — Florida International Panthers ball, 2nd & 6 at FIU 44Shotgun #17 J.Kohl pass complete short right to #2 M.Anderson caught at Jax ST45, for 24 yards to the Jax ST32 (#29 J.Allison), 1ST DOWNFlorida International Panthers 16% → 32% (+16 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:01 — Florida International Panthers ball, 3rd & 10 at JXST 32#48 R.Czeremcha field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 F.Visser, LS: #47 J.Wood), clock 00:00Jacksonville State Gamecocks 76% → 100% (+24 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
Jacksonville State Gamecocks won after falling as low as 34% (Q4 7:06).
Game DNA
| Florida International | Points added | Jacksonville State |
|---|---|---|
| +0.9 | Passingdropbacks | +0.7 |
| -4.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | +0.5 |
| +12.7 | Explosive plays3 plays · 5 plays | +14.9 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -0.7 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -5.0 |
| -5.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -3.3 |
| -0.1 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 3 · 1 of 3 | -1.5 |
| +2.8 | All plays | +6.2 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 5.2 points to Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The final margin was 3.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Jacksonville State Gamecocks closed as the market favourite at 56% and won.
The line moved toward Florida International Panthers before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Florida International +3 (-105)
Florida International +2.5 (-110)
Jacksonville State -152 58%
Jacksonville State -144 56%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts140
- Completion %57.1%
- Passing yards993
- Yards per attempt7.1
- TD–INT4–6
- Rushing yards232166th
- Season line72 carries, 232 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards40133rd
- Season line25 catches, 401 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles29230th
- Attempts170
- Completion %66.5%62nd
- Passing yards1,42354th
- Yards per attempt8.461st
- TD–INT10–5
- Rushing yards40538th
- Season line86 carries, 405 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards33864th
- Season line18 catches, 338 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles35111th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Florida International | Jacksonville State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateFlorida International offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 36.8%128th | 41.2%41st |
| Early-down success rateJacksonville State offense vs Florida International defense | 36.5%9th | 44.1%58th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida International offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 44.1%44th | 48.5%119th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateJacksonville State offense vs Florida International defense | 30.4%10th | 43.9%49th |
| Explosive play rateFlorida International offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 5.8%92nd | 4.5%14th |
| Explosive play rateJacksonville State offense vs Florida International defense | 4.5%13th | 5.7%95th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.6%43rd-highest | 47.0%93rd-highest |
On 3rd down Florida International converts 44.1% (44th) against a Jacksonville State defense allowing 48.5% (119th).
On 3rd down Jacksonville State converts 43.9% (49th) against a Florida International defense allowing 30.4% (10th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Florida International | Jacksonville State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Willie Simmons | Charles Kelly |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 10–8 | 13–7 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 10–8 | 13–7 |
| Offensive coordinator | Nick Coleman | Taylor Housewright |
| Defensive coordinator | Jovan Dewitt | Brian Williams |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Florida International won 1 and Jacksonville State 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Jacksonville State 21, Florida International 27 Florida International won | ||
| Nov 16, 2024 | Florida International 31, Jacksonville State 34 Jacksonville State won | ||
| Oct 25, 2023 | Jacksonville State 41, Florida International 16 Jacksonville State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Florida International Panthers
- Florida International Panthers team stats
- Florida International Panthers at Liberty Flames (Oct 31)
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26, Florida International Panthers 23 (Oct 20)
- New Mexico State Aggies 3, Florida International Panthers 22 (Oct 7)
- Florida International Panthers 10, Florida Atlantic Owls 16 (Sep 19)
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks team stats
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks at New Mexico State Aggies (Oct 28)
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27, Kennesaw State Owls 26 (Oct 7)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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