Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Preview & Odds — October 29, 2026
FAUOffense2026 regular season to dateUNT
FAUDefenseUNTFAURecent formUNTFAUHome and roadseason to dateUNTFAULast 10 gamesUNTRest & travelrest and travel
FAURest & travelUNTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Florida Atlantic (4-2) visits North Texas (4-2) on Thursday, October 29 at 7:30 PM ET.
Florida Atlantic has the 31st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 127th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, North Texas has the 3rd-ranked offense and the 107th-ranked defense. When Florida Atlantic has the ball, a 31st-ranked offense (+0.172 EPA per play) meets a 107th-ranked defense (+0.165 allowed); when North Texas has it, a 3rd-ranked offense (+0.328) meets a 127th-ranked defense (+0.227 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida Atlantic offense is at 49.2% (39th) and the North Texas offense at 52.3% (12th). Florida Atlantic scores 32.5 points per game (32nd) and allows 38.0 (131st); North Texas scores 39.8 (4th) and allows 33.3 (115th).
Florida Atlantic is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 51-49 win over Rice. North Texas is 5-2 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 49-39 win over Navy.
North Texas is a 13.5-point favorite at home against Florida Atlantic. The spread opened at North Texas -12.5. The total is 77.5, up from 69.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Florida Atlantic +390, North Texas -530) prices Florida Atlantic at 20% and North Texas at 80%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Florida Atlantic +12.5 (-110)
Florida Atlantic +13.5 (-106)
North Texas -562 81%
North Texas -530 80%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Florida Atlantic +13.5+111ProphetX
- North Texas -13.5-110theScore Bet
- Over 77.5-105DraftKings
- Under 77.5-108Bally Bet
- Florida Atlantic+471Novig
- North Texas-488Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts259
- Completion %73.0%5th
- Passing yards2,08223rd
- Yards per attempt8.072nd
- TD–INT18–4
- Rushing yards368135th
- Season line87 carries, 368 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards70910th
- Season line58 catches, 709 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles49144th
- Attempts222
- Completion %72.5%7th
- Passing yards2,16415th
- Yards per attempt9.810th
- TD–INT18–5
- Rushing yards8618th
- Season line116 carries, 861 yds, 11 TD
- Receiving yards66217th
- Season line41 catches, 662 yds, 7 TD
- Tackles5770th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Florida Atlantic | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs North Texas defense | 43.5%67th | 50.6%135th |
| Early-down success rateNorth Texas offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 44.6%93rd | 46.0%34th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs North Texas defense | 52.6%9th | 41.8%88th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNorth Texas offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 41.5%85th | 50.7%14th |
| Explosive play rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs North Texas defense | 6.0%97th | 8.8%121st |
| Explosive play rateNorth Texas offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 9.9%135th | 10.0%2nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 54.6%28th-highest | 53.9%37th-highest |
On 3rd down Florida Atlantic converts 52.6% (9th) against a North Texas defense allowing 41.8% (88th).
On 3rd down North Texas converts 50.7% (14th) against a Florida Atlantic defense allowing 41.5% (85th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Florida Atlantic | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Zach Kittley | Neal Brown |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 9–10 | 5–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 9–10 | 77–53 |
| Offensive coordinator | Zach Kittley | Mike Bloesch |
| Defensive coordinator | Brett Dewhurst | Bradley Dale Peveto / Matt Powledge |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Florida Atlantic won 0 and North Texas 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | North Texas 41, Florida Atlantic 37 North Texas won | ||
| Oct 1, 2022 | Florida Atlantic 28, North Texas 45 North Texas won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Florida Atlantic Owls
- Florida Atlantic Owls team stats
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Texas Southern Tigers 10, Florida Atlantic Owls 66 (Oct 3)
North Texas Mean Green
More NCAAF games on October 29, 2026
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