Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights Final — October 17, 2026
FAUOffense2026 regular season to dateARMY
FAUDefenseARMYFAURecent formARMYFAUHome and roadseason to dateARMYFAULast 10 gamesARMYRest & travelrest and travel
FAURest & travelARMYAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Florida Atlantic (3-1) visited Army (2-2) on Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET.
Florida Atlantic has the 56th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 70th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Army has the 29th-ranked offense and the 130th-ranked defense. When Florida Atlantic has the ball, a 56th-ranked offense (+0.087 EPA per play) meets a 130th-ranked defense (+0.274 allowed); when Army has it, a 29th-ranked offense (+0.195) meets a 70th-ranked defense (+0.057 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida Atlantic offense is at 47.8% (57th) and the Army offense at 52.1% (17th). Florida Atlantic scores 30.0 points per game (48th) and allows 30.8 (103rd); Army scores 23.5 (78th) and allows 23.2 (52nd).
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 and 4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 66-10 win over Texas Southern. Army is 3-2 and 1-3-1 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 win over Tulane.
Army closed as a 2-point favorite at home against Florida Atlantic. The spread opened at Army -2.5. The total closed 55.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Florida Atlantic +105, Army -130) prices Florida Atlantic at 46% and Army at 54%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56
Army Black Knights won by 32.
- Against the closing spread (Army Black Knights -2): Army Black Knights covered.
- Combined score 80 vs the closing total of 55.5: Over.
- Army Black Knights closed at -130 on the moneyline (a 54% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Florida Atlantic Owls.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Florida Atlantic Owls 46%, Army Black Knights 54%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 14:48 — Florida Atlantic Owls ball, 1st & 10 at FAU 24No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass intercepted by #42 E.Walton at FAU30 broken up by #99 J.Bousum, End Of PlayArmy Black Knights 54% → 65% (+11 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 14:38 — Army Black Knights ball, 1st & 10 at FAU 30Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 30 yards gain to the FAU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:38, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Army Black Knights 65% → 71% (+6 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 11:50 — Florida Atlantic Owls ball, 3rd & 9 at ARMY 24No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete deep middle to #8 E.Messer caught at Army00, for 24 yards to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:50, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rog…Florida Atlantic Owls 32% → 41% (+9 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 8:42 — Army Black Knights ball, 3rd & 5 at ARMY 42Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 58 yards gain to the FAU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:42, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Army Black Knights 58% → 72% (+13 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 5:33 — Florida Atlantic Owls ball, 1st & 10 at ARMY 34No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete deep middle to #2 K.Valsin caught at Army00, for 34 yards to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:33, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rog…Florida Atlantic Owls 34% → 41% (+8 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Florida Atlantic | Points added | Army |
|---|---|---|
| +11.6 | Passingdropbacks | -0.7 |
| +8.2 | Rushingdesigned runs | +5.7 |
| +12.3 | Explosive plays3 plays · 5 plays | +18.3 |
| -9.6 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -1.7 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -1.0 |
| -3.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +1.1 |
| +3.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 3 · 4 of 4 | +10.6 |
| +21.0 | All plays | +34.1 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 12.3 points to Florida Atlantic Owls. The final margin was 32.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Army Black Knights closed as the market favourite at 54% and won.
The line moved toward Florida Atlantic Owls before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Florida Atlantic +2.5 (-100)
Florida Atlantic +2 (-113)
Army -146 57%
Army -130 54%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts174
- Completion %73.0%10th
- Passing yards1,42556th
- Yards per attempt8.271st
- TD–INT12–2
- Rushing yards315112th
- Season line71 carries, 315 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards51216th
- Season line40 catches, 512 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles33224th
- Attempts55
- Completion %56.4%
- Passing yards356
- Yards per attempt6.5
- TD–INT3–1
- Rushing yards52423rd
- Season line104 carries, 524 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards102577th
- Season line7 catches, 102 yds
- Tackles39122nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Florida Atlantic | Army |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs Army defense | 41.2%91st | 45.2%91st |
| Early-down success rateArmy offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 40.3%35th | 48.7%16th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs Army defense | 51.7%13th | 45.0%105th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateArmy offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 37.0%51st | 52.0%10th |
| Explosive play rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs Army defense | 6.2%86th | 10.3%134th |
| Explosive play rateArmy offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 8.8%120th | 5.9%92nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.3%28th-highest | 18.8%137th-highest |
On 3rd down Florida Atlantic converts 51.7% (13th) against a Army defense allowing 45.0% (105th).
On 3rd down Army converts 52.0% (10th) against a Florida Atlantic defense allowing 37.0% (51st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Florida Atlantic | Army |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Zach Kittley | Jeff Monken |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 13th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 8–9 | 92–65 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 8–9 | 92–65 |
| Offensive coordinator | Zach Kittley | Cody Worley |
| Defensive coordinator | Brett Dewhurst | Daryl Dixon / Scot Sloan |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Florida Atlantic won 0 and Army 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2024 | Army 24, Florida Atlantic 7 Army won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Florida Atlantic Owls
- Florida Atlantic Owls team stats
- Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green (Oct 29)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Texas Southern Tigers 10, Florida Atlantic Owls 66 (Oct 3)
- Florida International Panthers 10, Florida Atlantic Owls 16 (Sep 19)
Army Black Knights
- Army Black Knights team stats
- Army Black Knights at Memphis Tigers (Oct 31)
- Army Black Knights 38, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35 (Oct 23)
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Army Black Knights 29, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
- Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31 (Oct 17)
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