Rice Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Final — October 24, 2026
RICEOffense2026 regular season to dateFAU
RICEDefenseFAURICERecent formFAURICEHome and roadseason to dateFAURICELast 10 gamesFAURest & travelrest and travel
RICERest & travelFAUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Rice (0-6) visited Florida Atlantic (3-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 12:00 PM ET.
Rice has the 96th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 92nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic has the 54th-ranked offense and the 102nd-ranked defense. When Rice has the ball, a 96th-ranked offense (−0.007 EPA per play) meets a 102nd-ranked defense (+0.160 allowed); when Florida Atlantic has it, a 54th-ranked offense (+0.115) meets a 92nd-ranked defense (+0.134 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Rice offense is at 43.9% (100th) and the Florida Atlantic offense at 48.1% (58th). Rice scores 14.7 points per game (130th) and allows 33.3 (116th); Florida Atlantic scores 28.8 (48th) and allows 35.8 (122nd).
Rice is 0-6 and 2-4 against the spread; its last game was a 38-17 loss to Tulsa. Florida Atlantic is 4-2 and 4-2 against the spread; its last game was a 56-24 loss to Army.
Florida Atlantic closed as a 9.5-point favorite at home against Rice. The spread opened at Florida Atlantic -10.5. The total closed at 55.5, down from 58.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Rice +290, Florida Atlantic -375) prices Rice at 25% and Florida Atlantic at 75%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51
Florida Atlantic Owls won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Florida Atlantic Owls -9.5): Rice Owls covered.
- Combined score 100 vs the closing total of 55.5: Over.
- Florida Atlantic Owls closed at -375 on the moneyline (a 75% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Rice Owls.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Rice Owls 25%, Florida Atlantic Owls 75%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q3 11:05 — Florida Atlantic Owls ball, 3rd & 11 at FAU 32No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete deep middle to #8 E.Messer caught at RIC41, for 68 yards to the RIC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:05, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Roger…Florida Atlantic Owls 74% → 89% (+15 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 3:37 — Rice Owls ball, 4th & 11 at RICE 32punt 50 yards to the FAU18 #8 E.Messer return 82 yards to the RIC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:37 #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas)Florida Atlantic Owls 77% → 95% (+17 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 2:51 — Rice Owls ball, 2nd & 6 at RICE 29No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa pass complete deep middle to #81 B.Walker caught at FAU42, for 71 yards to the FAU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:51, 1ST DOWN #49 T.Bauchier…Rice Owls 5% → 20% (+15 pts) · Drive 24 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:45 — Rice Owls ball, 4th & 5 at FAU 37#49 T.Bauchiero field goal attempt from 55 yards NO GOOD (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler), clock 00:45, End Of PlayFlorida Atlantic Owls 68% → 85% (+17 pts) · Drive 26 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:17 — Florida Atlantic Owls ball, 2nd & 12 at FAU 35Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at FAU34 for loss of 1 yardFlorida Atlantic Owls 80% → 100% (+20 pts) · Drive 27 in Drive X-Ray
Florida Atlantic Owls won after falling as low as 30% (Q1 2:46).
Game DNA
| Rice | Points added | Florida Atlantic |
|---|---|---|
| +1.6 | Passingdropbacks | +1.0 |
| -8.4 | Rushingdesigned runs | +2.2 |
| +38.8 | Explosive plays9 plays · 4 plays | +17.9 |
| -4.7 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -9.6 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -1.2 |
| +0.4 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.5 |
| +0.7 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 1 · 4 of 4 | +6.8 |
| +18.8 | All plays | +27.3 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 20.9 points to Rice Owls. The final margin was 2.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Florida Atlantic Owls closed as the market favourite at 75% and won.
The line moved toward Rice Owls before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Rice +10.5 (-110)
Rice +9.5 (-106)
Florida Atlantic -417 77%
Florida Atlantic -375 75%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts82
- Completion %47.6%257th
- Passing yards471258th
- Yards per attempt5.7242nd
- TD–INT2–2
- Rushing yards66914th
- Season line118 carries, 669 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards223286th
- Season line18 catches, 223 yds
- Tackles5158th
- Attempts222
- Completion %72.1%10th
- Passing yards1,74335th
- Yards per attempt7.889th
- TD–INT15–3
- Rushing yards361107th
- Season line81 carries, 361 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards60115th
- Season line47 catches, 601 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles41173rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Rice | Florida Atlantic |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateRice offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 44.1%58th | 42.6%58th |
| Early-down success rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs Rice defense | 41.8%42nd | 41.8%88th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRice offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 25.0%136th | 41.8%87th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs Rice defense | 45.2%108th | 53.2%10th |
| Explosive play rateRice offense vs Florida Atlantic defense | 4.9%119th | 8.6%121st |
| Explosive play rateFlorida Atlantic offense vs Rice defense | 6.6%64th | 6.3%86th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 26.5%135th-highest | 56.8%17th-highest |
On 3rd down Rice converts 25.0% (136th) against a Florida Atlantic defense allowing 41.8% (87th).
On 3rd down Florida Atlantic converts 53.2% (10th) against a Rice defense allowing 45.2% (108th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Rice | Florida Atlantic |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Scott Abell | Zach Kittley |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 6–14 | 8–10 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 6–14 | 8–10 |
| Offensive coordinator | Vince Munch | Zach Kittley |
| Defensive coordinator | Jon Kay | Brett Dewhurst |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Rice won 1 and Florida Atlantic 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Florida Atlantic 27, Rice 21 Florida Atlantic won | ||
| Nov 25, 2023 | Florida Atlantic 21, Rice 24 Rice won | ||
| Oct 15, 2022 | Rice 14, Florida Atlantic 17 Florida Atlantic won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Rice Owls
- Rice Owls team stats
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane 38, Rice Owls 17 (Oct 17)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- UTSA Roadrunners 16, Rice Owls 14 (Oct 3)
Florida Atlantic Owls
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