New Jersey Devils vs Vegas Golden Knights Final — October 30, 2026
NJStarting goaliesVGK
NJOffense2026-27 regular season to dateVGKNJDefenseVGKNJTeamVGKNJ5-on-5VGKNJSpecial teamsVGKNJRecent formVGKNJHome and roadseason to dateVGKInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
NJRest & travelVGKNJKey injuriesVGKAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Injury report as of October 30, 3:40 p.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.
The pre-game matchup
The Devils (8-5-0) visited the Golden Knights (9-4-1) on Friday, October 30 at 6:10 PM ET.
The Devils score 3.31 goals per game (11th of 32) and allow 2.92 (8th). The Golden Knights score 3.64 goals per game (7th of 32) and allow 2.79 (6th). The Devils earn 61.5% of available standings points (11th) and the Golden Knights 67.9% (6th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Devils 57.6% (3rd), Golden Knights 55.5% (5th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Devils 57.2% (2nd), Golden Knights 52.4% (10th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Devils 45.8% (23rd), Golden Knights 57.8% (10th).
The total closed at 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Devils -110, Golden Knights -111) prices the Devils at 50% and the Golden Knights at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
New Jersey Devils 5, Vegas Golden Knights 2
New Jersey Devils won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Vegas Golden Knights -1.5): New Jersey Devils covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- New Jersey Devils closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Vegas Golden Knights 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward New Jersey Devils.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (New Jersey Devils 50%, Vegas Golden Knights 50%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 17:57 — Vegas Golden Knights goal (1-2)Vegas Golden Knights 50% → 67% (+17 pts)
- 1st 18:51 — New Jersey Devils goal (2-2)New Jersey Devils 32% → 50% (+17 pts)
- 2nd 3:49 — New Jersey Devils goal (3-2)New Jersey Devils 50% → 69% (+19 pts)
New Jersey Devils won after falling as low as 32% (1st 18:51).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New Jersey Devils won 69% of G&W replays (Vegas Golden Knights 31%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New Jersey Devils. Here is where that came from.
| Devils | Goals | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.4 |
| 0.5 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.1 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 1.5 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.0 |
| +1.4 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +0.3 |
| -0.3 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Connor Hellebuyck 19/21 · Adin Hill 27/31 | -1.4 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from New Jersey Devils's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Vegas Golden Knights closed as the market favourite at 50% and lost.
The line moved toward New Jersey Devils before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Devils +1.5 (-238)
Devils +1.5 (-275)
Golden Knights -123 53%
Golden Knights -111 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Devils won 5 and the Golden Knights 9.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | Devils 2, Golden Knights 1 SO Devils won | Golden Knights -170 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Golden Knights 3, Devils 0 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -140 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Devils 0, Golden Knights 2 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -166 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Golden Knights 3, Devils 1 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -115 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Devils 1, Golden Knights 3 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -185 favorite won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
New Jersey Devils
- New Jersey Devils team stats
- St Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils (Nov 5)
- Edmonton Oilers 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Nov 3)
- New Jersey Devils 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Oct 28)
- New Jersey Devils 5, Dallas Stars 1 (Oct 27)
Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights team stats
- Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings (Nov 5)
- Vegas Golden Knights 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (Nov 3)
- Vegas Golden Knights 2, Boston Bruins 3 (Nov 2)
- Ottawa Senators 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (Oct 27)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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