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NHL · October 30, 2026

Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers Final — October 30, 2026

Winnipeg Jets logo
Winnipeg Jets
4-6-3
2
Goalie Nico Daws Confirmed
FINAL
Florida Panthers logo
Florida Panthers
7-4-2
5
Goalie Akira Schmid Confirmed
Friday, October 30 · 7:10 PM ET
WPGStarting goaliesFLA
This season
4
Starts
6
.885
Sv%
.884
.778
HDSv%
.833
−1.8
GSAx
−0.3
Last season
3
Starts
29
.908
Sv%
.893
.833
HDSv%
.798
+1.8
GSAx
−5.1
WPGOffense2026-27 regular season to dateFLA
29th2.46
GF/G
3.0020th
27th5.59
PP GF/60
8.9010th
WPGDefenseFLA
16th3.23
GA/G
2.857th
23rd10.17
PK GA/60
5.568th
WPGTeamFLA
26th42.3%
Pts%
61.5%11th
25th45.8%
xGF%
53.4%10th
18th48.4%
CF%
55.4%5th
31st28.6%
HDCF%
46.4%21st
WPG5-on-5FLA
23rd2.27
xGF/60
2.3818th
25th2.68
xGA/60
2.084th
18th9.0%
Sh%
8.3%23rd
8th91.4%
Sv%
89.2%26th
14th113.3
CF/60 (both)
108.828th
26th−0.35
GAx/G
−0.3025th
9th+0.23
GSAx/G
−0.0518th
28th9.3%
Sh%
10.5%20th
14th89.3%
Sv%
88.7%20th
WPGSpecial teamsFLA
23rd6.96
PP xG/60
9.614th
24th64.8
PP FF/60
84.65th
27th4.5
PP min/G
7.31st
32nd11.61
PK xGA/60
7.339th
8th4.4
PK min/G
6.632nd
WPGRecent formFLA
L@ STL 1-2OTL@ DAL 2-3Lvs MTL 1-2Lvs FLA 1-5L@ TBL 4-6
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs SEA 8-3L@ OTT 1-5L@ PIT 0-4W@ CHI 3-2W@ WPG 5-1
below 50%below 50%above 50%above 50%below 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%below 50%
Game by game
above 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%above 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%below 50%
4-6-3
Record
7-4-2
0-4-1
Last 5
3-2-0
2-6-2
Last 10
6-4-0
4-9
Over–under
5-8
WPGHome and roadseason to dateFLA
2-4-1
Home record
2-1-0
2-2-2
Road record
5-3-2
2-5
Home O/U
1-2
2-4
Road O/U
4-6
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WPGRest & travelFLA
Back-to-back0 days off
Days of rest
2 days
180 mi289 km · straight-line from previous game (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
WPGKey injuriesFLA
Josh Morrissey DIR
Players out or limited
Jacob Markstrom GIRAleksander Barkov CIR
About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 30, 3:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Jets (4-6-3) visited the Panthers (7-4-2) on Friday, October 30 at 7:10 PM ET.

The Jets score 2.46 goals per game (29th of 32) and allow 3.23 (16th). The Panthers score 3.00 goals per game (20th of 32) and allow 2.85 (7th). The Jets earn 42.3% of available standings points (26th) and the Panthers 61.5% (11th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Jets 45.8% (25th), Panthers 53.4% (10th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Jets 48.4% (18th), Panthers 55.4% (5th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Jets 28.6% (31st), Panthers 46.4% (21st).

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Jets +184, Panthers -225) prices the Jets at 34% and the Panthers at 66%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Winnipeg Jets 2, Florida Panthers 5

Florida Panthers won by 3.

  • Against the closing spread (Florida Panthers -1.5): Florida Panthers covered.
  • Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
  • Florida Panthers closed at -225 on the moneyline (a 66% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final
Winnipeg Jets 2
Florida Panthers 5
Decided
In regulation
Florida Panthers won
Lead changes
0

Before the game: market and G&W

34%Market at the close66%
Winnipeg JetsFlorida Panthers
34%Market at the open66%

The market barely moved from open to close.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Winnipeg Jets 34%, Florida Panthers 66%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%1st2nd3rdOTMarket start11st 18:15: Florida Panthers 67% to 80%22nd 2:38: Florida Panthers 80% to 91%32nd 9:51: Winnipeg Jets 8% to 20%■ Panthers■ Jets
 

Biggest swings

  1. 1st 18:15 — Florida Panthers goal (0-1)Florida Panthers 67% → 80% (+14 pts)
  2. 2nd 2:38 — Florida Panthers goal (0-2)Florida Panthers 80% → 91% (+11 pts)
  3. 2nd 9:51 — Winnipeg Jets goal (1-2)Winnipeg Jets 8% → 20% (+11 pts)
Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

28%WPG
Share of G&W replays won
72%FLA
2.1
Expected goals
3.9
2
Final score
5

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Florida Panthers won 72% of G&W replays (Winnipeg Jets 28%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Florida Panthers. Here is where that came from.

JetsGoalsPanthers
0.75-on-5 chancesexpected goals
2.0
1.5Power-play chancesexpected goals
1.6
0.0Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed
0.3
2.2Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result
3.9
0.1Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above
0.5
-0.2Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots
+0.1
-0.1Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Nico Daws 33/37 · Akira Schmid 22/24
+0.2
0Empty-net goals1
Bar left: Jets gainedBar right: Panthers gained

How the margin was built, from Florida Panthers's side:

Chances +1.7Finishing & goaltending +0.3Empty net +1Florida Panthers by 3

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playUnder 6.5 -1270.5uLOSS -0.64u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Florida Panthers closed as the market favourite at 66% and won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move
OpenPanthers -1.5 (+106)
Jets +1.5 (-132)
ClosePanthers -1.5 (+112)
Jets +1.5 (-135)
Totalno move
Open6.5 (o +110 / u -135)
Close6.5 (o +111 / u -134)
Moneyline
OpenJets +185 34%
Panthers -225 66%
CloseJets +184 34%
Panthers -225 66%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %
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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Jets won 8 and the Panthers 6.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 27, 2026Panthers 5, Jets 1
Panthers won		Panthers -129
favorite won		6.5
under
Jan 31, 2026Jets 2, Panthers 1
Jets won		Panthers -137
underdog won		5.5
under
Jan 22, 2026Panthers 2, Jets 1 SO
Panthers won		Panthers -112
favorite won		6
under
Nov 19, 2024Panthers 3, Jets 6
Jets won		Jets -120
favorite won		5.5
over
Nov 16, 2024Jets 0, Panthers 5
Panthers won		Panthers -140
favorite won		6
under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams

Winnipeg Jets

Florida Panthers

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

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