Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins Final — November 2, 2026
VGKStarting goaliesBOS
VGKOffense2026-27 regular season to dateBOSVGKDefenseBOSVGKTeamBOSVGK5-on-5BOSVGKSpecial teamsBOSVGKRecent formBOSVGKHome and roadseason to dateBOSInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
VGKRest & travelBOSVGKKey injuriesBOSAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Injury report as of November 2, 6:40 p.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.
The pre-game matchup
The Golden Knights (9-5-1) visited the Bruins (10-4-1) on Monday, November 2 at 7:10 PM ET.
The Golden Knights score 3.53 goals per game (9th of 32) and allow 2.93 (8th). The Bruins score 3.67 goals per game (7th of 32) and allow 2.40 (4th). The Golden Knights earn 63.3% of available standings points (9th) and the Bruins 70.0% (5th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Golden Knights 54.9% (5th), Bruins 51.6% (13th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Golden Knights 51.6% (13th), Bruins 48.8% (21st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Golden Knights 59.6% (6th), Bruins 50.9% (16th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Golden Knights -115, Bruins -105) prices the Golden Knights at 51% and the Bruins at 49%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Boston Bruins 3
Boston Bruins won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Boston Bruins +1.5): Boston Bruins covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Boston Bruins closed at -105 on the moneyline (a 49% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Boston Bruins 3
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Vegas Golden Knights.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vegas Golden Knights 51%, Boston Bruins 49%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 7:23 — Boston Bruins goal (0-1)Boston Bruins 49% → 65% (+16 pts)
- 3rd 7:23 — Vegas Golden Knights goal (2-2)Vegas Golden Knights 20% → 51% (+30 pts)
- OT 5:00 — Boston Bruins game-endBoston Bruins 50% → 100% (+50 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Boston Bruins won 57% of G&W replays (Vegas Golden Knights 43%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Golden Knights | Goals | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.2 |
| 0.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.4 |
| 0.2 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.3 |
| 2.4 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.9 |
| 0.3 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.4 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.2 |
| -0.8 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.3 |
| +1.3 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Carter Hart 25/27 · Jeremy Swayman 21/23 | +0.8 |
How the margin was built, from Boston Bruins's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Vegas Golden Knights closed as the market favourite at 51% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Golden Knights -1.5 (+192)
Golden Knights -1.5 (+210)
Bruins -108 50%
Bruins -105 49%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Golden Knights won 6 and the Bruins 8.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Golden Knights 3, Bruins 4 Bruins won | Golden Knights -157 underdog won | 6.5 over |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Bruins 5, Golden Knights 6 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -235 favorite won | 6 over |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Bruins 1, Golden Knights 5 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -300 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Golden Knights 4, Bruins 3 Golden Knights won | Golden Knights -165 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Golden Knights 4, Bruins 5 Bruins won | Bruins -162 favorite won | 5.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights team stats
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Boston Bruins
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