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NHL · November 5, 2026

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview & Odds — November 5, 2026

Chicago Blackhawks

4-10-1

Goalie Arvid Soderblom Likely

Tampa Bay Lightning

9-3-2

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy Likely

Thursday, November 5 · 7:10 PM ET

CHIStarting goaliesTB

This season

Starts

.829

Sv%

.878

.714

HDSv%

.800

−3.7

GSAx

−3.4

Last season

Starts

.880

Sv%

.912

.800

HDSv%

.888

−10.2

GSAx

+21.5

CHIOffense2026-27 regular season to dateTB

31st2.20

GF/G

3.714th

32nd4.03

PP GF/60

5.8627th

CHIDefenseTB

31st3.87

GA/G

3.2117th

14th7.04

PK GA/60

8.2517th

CHITeamTB

31st30.0%

Pts%

71.4%5th

30th41.0%

xGF%

55.3%4th

30th44.3%

CF%

55.3%4th

29th36.2%

HDCF%

54.2%12th

CHI5-on-5TB

30th2.11

xGF/60

2.904th

31st3.05

xGA/60

2.348th

24th8.4%

Sh%

11.9%5th

26th89.0%

Sv%

88.7%28th

26th109.2

CF/60 (both)

114.911th

31st−0.48

GAx/G

−0.0110th

17th−0.04

GSAx/G

−0.2523rd

31st8.8%

Sh%

11.3%12th

25th88.2%

Sv%

88.0%28th

CHISpecial teamsTB

27th6.27

PP xG/60

8.8712th

23rd67.6

PP FF/60

74.816th

20th5.0

PP min/G

5.83rd

16th8.10

PK xGA/60

6.463rd

18th5.1

PK min/G

4.79th

CHIRecent formTB

Lvs FLA 2-3Wvs LAK 2-1L@ DET 1-4OTL@ BOS 4-5Lvs COL 2-5

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ COL 3-6OTL@ UTA 4-5Wvs WPG 6-4OTL@ NSH 4-5Wvs DET 4-2

Game by game

4-10-1

Record

9-3-2

1-3-1

Last 5

2-1-2

3-6-1

Last 10

6-2-2

CHIHome and roadseason to dateTB

4-5-0

Home record

7-0-0

0-5-1

Road record

2-3-2

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

CHIRest & travelTB

2 days

Days of rest

1 day

1,007 mi1,620 km · straight-line from previous game (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

CHIKey injuriesTB

Patrick Kane RWOutBowen Byram DIR

Players out or limited

Yanni Gourde CIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Key players only. Injury report as of November 5, 7:50 a.m. ET.

Matchup preview

The Blackhawks (4-10-1) visit the Lightning (9-3-2) on Thursday, November 5 at 7:10 PM ET.

The Blackhawks score 2.20 goals per game (31st of 32) and allow 3.87 (31st). The Lightning score 3.71 goals per game (4th of 32) and allow 3.21 (17th). The Blackhawks earn 30.0% of available standings points (31st) and the Lightning 71.4% (5th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blackhawks 41.0% (30th), Lightning 55.3% (4th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blackhawks 44.3% (30th), Lightning 55.3% (4th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blackhawks 36.2% (29th), Lightning 54.2% (12th).

The total is 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Blackhawks +325, Lightning -425) prices the Blackhawks at 23% and the Lightning at 77%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenLightning -2.5 (+110)
Blackhawks +2.5 (-130)

NowLightning -2.5 (-100)
Blackhawks +2.5 (-120)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -103 / u -120)

Now6.5 (o -105 / u -118)

Moneyline

OpenBlackhawks +310 23%
Lightning -400 77%

NowBlackhawks +325 23%
Lightning -425 77%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Blackhawks +2.5-118BetMGM
Lightning -2.5+113Novig
Over 6.5+100theScore Bet
Under 6.5-105ProphetX
Blackhawks+355Novig
Lightning-365Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2018-19: the Blackhawks won 5 and the Lightning 17.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Jan 23, 2026	Lightning 2, Blackhawks 1 SO Lightning won	Lightning -310 favorite won	6 under
Oct 23, 2025	Blackhawks 3, Lightning 2 Blackhawks won	Lightning -325 underdog won	6 under
Jan 28, 2025	Blackhawks 4, Lightning 1 Blackhawks won	Lightning -360 underdog won	6.5 under
Jan 24, 2025	Lightning 4, Blackhawks 3 OT Lightning won	Lightning -225 favorite won	6.5 over
Nov 16, 2023	Lightning 4, Blackhawks 2 Lightning won	Lightning -190 favorite won	6.5 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Lineups

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, game flow and the Chance Quality Result and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams