Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks Final — November 2, 2026
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
About these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 2, 3:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Avalanche (8-5-1) visited the Blackhawks (4-9-1) on Monday, November 2 at 8:10 PM ET.
The Avalanche score 4.21 goals per game (2nd of 32) and allow 3.14 (14th). The Blackhawks score 2.21 goals per game (31st of 32) and allow 3.79 (30th). The Avalanche earn 60.7% of available standings points (11th) and the Blackhawks 32.1% (31st).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Avalanche 50.4% (18th), Blackhawks 41.2% (29th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Avalanche 52.1% (12th), Blackhawks 44.3% (29th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Avalanche 46.8% (21st), Blackhawks 35.6% (28th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Avalanche -235, Blackhawks +190) prices the Avalanche at 67% and the Blackhawks at 33%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Colorado Avalanche 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Colorado Avalanche won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Chicago Blackhawks +1.5): Colorado Avalanche covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Colorado Avalanche closed at -235 on the moneyline (a 67% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Chicago Blackhawks 2
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Colorado Avalanche 67%, Chicago Blackhawks 33%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 15:23 — Colorado Avalanche goal (1-2)Colorado Avalanche 31% → 48% (+17 pts)
- 1st 15:49 — Colorado Avalanche goal (2-2)Colorado Avalanche 48% → 65% (+17 pts)
- 2nd 13:38 — Colorado Avalanche goal (3-2)Colorado Avalanche 65% → 83% (+18 pts)
Colorado Avalanche won after falling as low as 31% (1st 10:41).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Colorado Avalanche won 61% of G&W replays (Chicago Blackhawks 39%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Colorado Avalanche. Here is where that came from.
| Avalanche | Goals | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 1.0 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 2.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.1 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| +1.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -0.2 |
| +0.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Mackenzie Blackwood 21/23 · Spencer Knight 24/28 | -1.2 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Colorado Avalanche's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Colorado Avalanche closed as the market favourite at 67% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Avalanche -1.5 (+105)
Avalanche -1.5 (+105)
Blackhawks +190 33%
Blackhawks +190 33%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Avalanche won 19 and the Blackhawks 8.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Avalanche 4, Blackhawks 1 Avalanche won | Avalanche -345 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Blackhawks 1, Avalanche 3 Avalanche won | Avalanche -345 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Avalanche 1, Blackhawks 0 Avalanche won | Avalanche -220 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Avalanche 3, Blackhawks 2 SO Avalanche won | Avalanche -425 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Blackhawks 0, Avalanche 3 Avalanche won | Avalanche -550 favorite won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche team stats
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- Colorado Avalanche 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 7 (Nov 3)
- Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Oct 31)
- New Jersey Devils 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Oct 28)
Chicago Blackhawks
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