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NCAAF

Florida State Seminoles

#43 FBS · 3-4
G&W Power Rating+5.77#43 of 138
Record3-4
Exp W%49.7%what the scoring says
Luck−6.8%winning less than the scoring says
Close W-L0-2games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G31.238th of 138
Agst/G31.3107th of 138
Diff/G−0.1773rd of 138
Adj. Margin+11.8833rd of 138
SOS+12.04
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.13945th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.212124th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.07392nd of 138
Off SR46.7%74th of 138
Def SR51.0%121st of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

3-1-1 ATS · O/U 3-2
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 5 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Ashton Daniels
106/181, 1618 YDS, 12 TD, 8 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Ousmane Kromah
114 CAR, 609 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Duce Robinson
22 REC, 407 YDS, 4 TD

Season to date, all games.

Florida State Seminoles players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

3-1-1 against the close · +29.5 pts

Against the close3-1-1avg cover margin +5.9
Beat the close by+29.5 ptsover 5 games
Against the bet-time line3-2-1+20.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-2avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Sep 7: +0.0Sep 19: +4.5Oct 3: +32.5Oct 9: −20.0Oct 17: +12.5+37.0 pts−20.0Sep 7Oct 17
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: +7.4 pts a game vs the close.

Home 3Road 3
1-0-1Against the close2-1
+16.2Avg cover margin−1.0
0-2Over/under3-0
−5.0Total vs the close+20.5
Favorite 0Underdog 5
—Against the close3-1-1
—Avg cover margin+5.9
—Over/under3-2
—Total vs the close+10.3
G&W vs the market for the Florida State Seminoles, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
3
Graded plays
1-2-0
W-L-P
-2.41u
Units
-53.0%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Florida State Seminoles scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.