Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Clemson (3-3) visits Florida State (2-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 7:00 PM ET.
Clemson has the 127th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 15th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Florida State has the 45th-ranked offense and the 124th-ranked defense. When Clemson has the ball, a 127th-ranked offense (−0.113 EPA per play) meets a 124th-ranked defense (+0.212 allowed); when Florida State has it, a 45th-ranked offense (+0.139) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.084 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Clemson offense is at 47.1% (68th) and the Florida State offense at 46.7% (74th). Clemson scores 18.8 points per game (121st) and allows 24.8 (62nd); Florida State scores 31.2 (38th) and allows 31.3 (107th).
Clemson is 4-3 and 2-5 against the spread; its last game was a 20-16 loss to Virginia Tech. Florida State is 3-4; its last game was a 43-35 loss to Miami.
Florida State is a 6-point favorite at home against Clemson. The spread opened at Florida State -4.5. The total is 49.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Clemson +180, Florida State -220) prices Clemson at 34% and Florida State at 66%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Clemson +4.5 (-110)
Clemson +6 (-110)
Florida State -199 64%
Florida State -220 66%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Clemson +6-109Bally Bet
- Florida State -6-108DraftKings
- Over 49.5-104Novig
- Under 49.5+100Kalshi
- Clemson+194Novig
- Florida State-200theScore Bet
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts179
- Completion %66.5%53rd
- Passing yards1,098190th
- Yards per attempt6.1227th
- TD–INT1–3
- Rushing yards49266th
- Season line93 carries, 492 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards378120th
- Season line34 catches, 378 yds
- Tackles5395th
- Attempts181
- Completion %58.6%181st
- Passing yards1,61878th
- Yards per attempt8.931st
- TD–INT12–8
- Rushing yards60935th
- Season line114 carries, 609 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards407102nd
- Season line22 catches, 407 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles46183rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Clemson | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateClemson offense vs Florida State defense | 46.3%27th | 43.7%78th |
| Early-down success rateFlorida State offense vs Clemson defense | 45.3%101st | 42.3%79th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateClemson offense vs Florida State defense | 30.4%124th | 46.1%114th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida State offense vs Clemson defense | 32.9%16th | 42.7%51st |
| Explosive play rateClemson offense vs Florida State defense | 6.4%79th | 9.5%131st |
| Explosive play rateFlorida State offense vs Clemson defense | 3.5%3rd | 9.0%14th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 52.2%56th-highest | 46.4%102nd-highest |
On 3rd down Clemson converts 30.4% (124th) against a Florida State defense allowing 46.1% (114th).
On 3rd down Florida State converts 42.7% (51st) against a Clemson defense allowing 32.9% (16th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Clemson | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dabo Swinney | Mike Norvell |
| Tenureat this school | 18th season | 7th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 190–56 | 41–38 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 190–56 | 79–53 |
| Offensive coordinator | Chad Morris | Tim Harris Jr. |
| Defensive coordinator | Tom Allen | Tony White |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Clemson won 4 and Florida State 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Florida State 10, Clemson 24 Clemson won | ||
| Oct 5, 2024 | Clemson 29, Florida State 13 Clemson won | ||
| Sep 23, 2023 | Florida State 31, Clemson 24 Florida State won | ||
| Oct 15, 2022 | Clemson 34, Florida State 28 Clemson won | ||
| Oct 30, 2021 | Florida State 20, Clemson 30 Clemson won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Clemson Tigers
- Clemson Tigers team stats
- Virginia Tech Hokies 20, Clemson Tigers 16 (Oct 24)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Miami Hurricanes 41, Clemson Tigers 13 (Oct 3)
Florida State Seminoles
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