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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Clemson Tigers logo
3-3
Quarterback Tait Reynolds
at
Florida State Seminoles logo
2-4
Quarterback Ashton Daniels
Saturday, October 31 · 7:00 PM ET
CLEMOffense2026 regular season to dateFSU
127th−0.113
EPA/play
+0.13945th
68th47.1%
Success %
46.7%74th
121st18.8
PPG
31.238th
CLEMDefenseFSU
15th−0.084
EPA/play allowed
+0.212124th
51st45.6%
Success % allowed
51.0%121st
62nd24.8
Opp PPG
31.3107th
CLEMRecent formFSU
Wvs North Carolina 28-20W@ California 24-10Lvs Miami 13-41Wvs Charleston Southern 37-0Lvs Virginia Tech 16-20
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ Alabama 36-50Wvs Central Arkansas 34-7Wvs Virginia 38-7L@ Louisville 20-44L@ Miami 35-43
4-3
Record
3-4
2-5
ATS
—
3-4
Over–under
—
CLEMHome and roadseason to dateFSU
3-2
Home record
3-1
1-1
Road record
0-3
1-4
Home ATS
—
1-1
Road ATS
—
2-3
Home O/U
—
1-1
Road O/U
—
CLEMLast 10 gamesFSU
-41+15+8+14-28+37-4
Game by game
+17-3-14+27+31-24-8
4-3
Last 7
3-4
+1
Net points
+26
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
CLEMRest & travelFSU
7 days
Days of rest
14 days
305 mi491 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Clemson (3-3) visits Florida State (2-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 7:00 PM ET.

Clemson has the 127th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 15th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Florida State has the 45th-ranked offense and the 124th-ranked defense. When Clemson has the ball, a 127th-ranked offense (−0.113 EPA per play) meets a 124th-ranked defense (+0.212 allowed); when Florida State has it, a 45th-ranked offense (+0.139) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.084 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Clemson offense is at 47.1% (68th) and the Florida State offense at 46.7% (74th). Clemson scores 18.8 points per game (121st) and allows 24.8 (62nd); Florida State scores 31.2 (38th) and allows 31.3 (107th).

Clemson is 4-3 and 2-5 against the spread; its last game was a 20-16 loss to Virginia Tech. Florida State is 3-4; its last game was a 43-35 loss to Miami.

Florida State is a 6-point favorite at home against Clemson. The spread opened at Florida State -4.5. The total is 49.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Clemson +180, Florida State -220) prices Clemson at 34% and Florida State at 66%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1.5
OpenFlorida State -4.5 (-110)
Clemson +4.5 (-110)
NowFlorida State -6 (-110)
Clemson +6 (-110)
Totaldown 1
Open50.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now49.5 (o -112 / u -109)
Moneyline
OpenClemson +164 36%
Florida State -199 64%
NowClemson +180 34%
Florida State -220 66%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Clemson +6-109Bally Bet
  • Florida State -6-108DraftKings
  • Over 49.5-104Novig
  • Under 49.5+100Kalshi
  • Clemson+194Novig
  • Florida State-200theScore Bet

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Clemson Tigers logo
Clemson
QB · Tait Reynolds
  • Attempts179
  • Completion %66.5%53rd
  • Passing yards1,098190th
  • Yards per attempt6.1227th
  • TD–INT1–3
Leading rusher (RB) · Gideon Davidson
  • Rushing yards49266th
  • Season line93 carries, 492 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Bryant Wesco Jr.
  • Receiving yards378120th
  • Season line34 catches, 378 yds
Leading tackler (S) · Corey Myrick
  • Tackles5395th
Florida State Seminoles logo
Florida State
QB · Ashton Daniels
  • Attempts181
  • Completion %58.6%181st
  • Passing yards1,61878th
  • Yards per attempt8.931st
  • TD–INT12–8
Leading rusher (RB) · Ousmane Kromah
  • Rushing yards60935th
  • Season line114 carries, 609 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Duce Robinson
  • Receiving yards407102nd
  • Season line22 catches, 407 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Chris Jones
  • Tackles46183rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationClemsonFlorida State
Early-down success rateClemson offense vs Florida State defense46.3%27th43.7%78th
Early-down success rateFlorida State offense vs Clemson defense45.3%101st42.3%79th
3rd-down conversion rateClemson offense vs Florida State defense30.4%124th46.1%114th
3rd-down conversion rateFlorida State offense vs Clemson defense32.9%16th42.7%51st
Explosive play rateClemson offense vs Florida State defense6.4%79th9.5%131st
Explosive play rateFlorida State offense vs Clemson defense3.5%3rd9.0%14th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks52.2%56th-highest46.4%102nd-highest

On 3rd down Clemson converts 30.4% (124th) against a Florida State defense allowing 46.1% (114th).

On 3rd down Florida State converts 42.7% (51st) against a Clemson defense allowing 32.9% (16th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffClemsonFlorida State
Head coachDabo SwinneyMike Norvell
Tenureat this school18th season7th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below190–5641–38
Career recordas an FBS head coach190–5679–53
Offensive coordinatorChad MorrisTim Harris Jr.
Defensive coordinatorTom AllenTony White

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Clemson won 4 and Florida State 1.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 8, 2025Florida State 10, Clemson 24
Clemson won


Oct 5, 2024Clemson 29, Florida State 13
Clemson won


Sep 23, 2023Florida State 31, Clemson 24
Florida State won


Oct 15, 2022Clemson 34, Florida State 28
Clemson won


Oct 30, 2021Florida State 20, Clemson 30
Clemson won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Clemson Tigers

Florida State Seminoles

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