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NCAAF

NC State Wolfpack

#85 FBS · 3-4
G&W Power Rating−3.40#85 of 138
Record3-4
Exp W%35.5%what the scoring says
Luck+7.4%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L1-2games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G25.569th of 138
Agst/G32.8112th of 138
Diff/G−7.33105th of 138
Adj. Margin−6.3288th of 138
SOS+1.02
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.16034th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.170110th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.01070th of 138
Off SR50.4%24th of 138
Def SR50.9%118th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

1-4 ATS · O/U 4-1
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 5 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
CJ Bailey
143/219, 1763 YDS, 11 TD, 4 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Jayden Scott
62 CAR, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Keenan Jackson
30 REC, 456 YDS, 6 TD

Season to date, all games.

NC State Wolfpack players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

1-4 against the close · −27.0 pts

Against the close1-4avg cover margin −5.4
Beat the close by−27.0 ptsover 5 games
Against the bet-time line1-5−47.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close4-1avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Sep 19: −1.0Sep 26: −3.5Oct 3: +8.5Oct 10: −20.5Oct 23: −10.5+8.5 pts−47.0Sep 19Oct 23
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −6.5 pts a game vs the close.

Home 3Road 3
1-2Against the close0-2
−5.2Avg cover margin−5.8
2-1Over/under2-0
+4.5Total vs the close+10.0
Favorite 2Underdog 3
0-2Against the close1-2
−7.0Avg cover margin−4.3
2-0Over/under2-1
+10.0Total vs the close+4.5
G&W vs the market for the NC State Wolfpack, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
4
Graded plays
3-1-0
W-L-P
+1.40u
Units
+36.8%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the NC State Wolfpack scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.