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NCAAF

Virginia Cavaliers

#54 FBS · 4-4
G&W Power Rating+3.67#54 of 138
Record4-4
Exp W%54.8%what the scoring says
Luck−4.8%winning less than the scoring says
Close W-L1-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G23.981st of 138
Agst/G22.037th of 138
Diff/G+1.8660th of 138
Adj. Margin+2.2662nd of 138
SOS+1.48
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.06166th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.08371st of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.02273rd of 138
Off SR49.7%34th of 138
Def SR46.5%63rd of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

1-3-1 ATS · O/U 1-4
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 5 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Beau Pribula
119/183, 1369 YDS, 13 TD, 2 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Jekail Middlebrook
105 CAR, 513 YDS, 4 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Da'Shawn Martin
17 REC, 247 YDS, 5 TD

Season to date, all games.

Virginia Cavaliers players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

1-3-1 against the close · −29.5 pts

Against the close1-3-1avg cover margin −5.9
Beat the close by−29.5 ptsover 5 games
Against the bet-time line2-5−26.5 pts in total
Totals vs the close1-4avg −7.7 pts vs the total
Sep 26: +19.5Oct 3: −32.5Oct 10: −11.0Oct 17: +0.0Oct 23: −5.5+20.5 pts−32.5Sep 26Oct 23
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −12.2 pts a game vs the close.

Home 4Road 2
1-2Against the close0-1-1
+1.0Avg cover margin−16.2
1-2Over/under0-2
−5.5Total vs the close−11.0
Favorite 4Underdog 1
1-3Against the close0-0-1
−7.4Avg cover margin+0.0
1-3Over/under0-1
−5.8Total vs the close−15.5
G&W vs the market for the Virginia Cavaliers, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
5
Graded plays
2-3-0
W-L-P
-3.10u
Units
-42.2%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Virginia Cavaliers scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.