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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Kansas Jayhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Kansas Jayhawks logo
2-4
Quarterback Isaiah Marshall
at
TCU Horned Frogs logo
2-4
Quarterback Jaden Craig
Saturday, October 31 · 3:30 PM ET
KUOffense2026 regular season to dateTCU
123rd−0.094
EPA/play
+0.01590th
133rd40.1%
Success %
45.4%88th
55th27.7
PPG
16.8126th
KUDefenseTCU
57th+0.026
EPA/play allowed
−0.04529th
28th43.7%
Success % allowed
41.4%14th
78th27.0
Opp PPG
15.09th
KULast 10 gamesTCU
+45-17-7+55-17-11+1
Game by game
-5+56+24-8-7+11-4
3-4
Last 7
3-4
+49
Net points
+67
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
KURest & travelTCU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
448 mi721 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Amon G. Carter Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Kansas (2-4) visits TCU (2-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET.

Kansas has the 123rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 57th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, TCU has the 90th-ranked offense and the 29th-ranked defense. When Kansas has the ball, a 123rd-ranked offense (−0.094 EPA per play) meets a 29th-ranked defense (−0.045 allowed); when TCU has it, a 90th-ranked offense (+0.015) meets a 57th-ranked defense (+0.026 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Kansas offense is at 40.1% (133rd) and the TCU offense at 45.4% (88th). Kansas scores 27.7 points per game (55th) and allows 27.0 (78th); TCU scores 16.8 (126th) and allows 15.0 (9th).

TCU is 2-4; its last game was a 24-20 loss to West Virginia.

TCU is a 6-point favorite at home against Kansas. The spread opened at TCU -5.5. The total is 46.5, down from 51.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Kansas +190, TCU -230) prices Kansas at 33% and TCU at 67%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5
OpenTCU -5.5 (-108)
Kansas +5.5 (-112)
NowTCU -6 (-110)
Kansas +6 (-110)
Totaldown 5
Open51.5 (o -104 / u -118)
Now46.5 (o -116 / u -105)
Moneyline
OpenKansas +167 36%
TCU -202 64%
NowKansas +190 33%
TCU -230 67%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Kansas +6-108BetMGM
  • TCU -6-110DraftKings
  • Over 46.5-106Novig
  • Under 46.5+104Kalshi
  • Kansas+203Novig
  • TCU-208Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Kansas Jayhawks logo
Kansas
QB · Isaiah Marshall
  • Attempts196
  • Completion %53.6%240th
  • Passing yards1,506103rd
  • Yards per attempt7.790th
  • TD–INT11–7
Leading rusher (RB) · Dylan Edwards
  • Rushing yards53151st
  • Season line105 carries, 531 yds, 4 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Nik McMillan
  • Receiving yards46671st
  • Season line25 catches, 466 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Trey Lathan
  • Tackles48158th
TCU Horned Frogs logo
TCU
QB · Jaden Craig
  • Attempts240
  • Completion %67.5%38th
  • Passing yards2,06625th
  • Yards per attempt8.641st
  • TD–INT11–6
Leading rusher (RB) · Jeremy Payne
  • Rushing yards42990th
  • Season line88 carries, 429 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Ed Small
  • Receiving yards51447th
  • Season line38 catches, 514 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Hudson Hooper
  • Tackles41269th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationKansasTCU
Early-down success rateKansas offense vs TCU defense37.9%128th37.7%10th
Early-down success rateTCU offense vs Kansas defense40.1%32nd41.8%87th
3rd-down conversion rateKansas offense vs TCU defense31.7%117th35.4%33rd
3rd-down conversion rateTCU offense vs Kansas defense37.5%44th45.5%31st
Explosive play rateKansas offense vs TCU defense9.4%11th4.2%7th
Explosive play rateTCU offense vs Kansas defense7.1%82nd7.8%36th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks48.0%94th-highest55.9%19th-highest

On 3rd down Kansas converts 31.7% (117th) against a TCU defense allowing 35.4% (33rd).

On 3rd down TCU converts 45.5% (31st) against a Kansas defense allowing 37.5% (44th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffKansasTCU
Head coachLance LeipoldSonny Dykes
Tenureat this school6th season5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below30–3939–21
Career recordas an FBS head coach67–72110–84
Offensive coordinatorAndy Kotelnicki / Matt LubickVacant / Gordon Sammis
Defensive coordinatorD.K. McDonaldAndy Avalos

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Kansas won 0 and TCU 3.

DateScoreLineTotal
Sep 28, 2024 neutralTCU 38, Kansas 27
TCU won


Oct 8, 2022TCU 38, Kansas 31
TCU won


Nov 20, 2021Kansas 28, TCU 31
TCU won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Kansas Jayhawks

TCU Horned Frogs

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