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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Florida International Panthers vs Liberty Flames Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Florida International Panthers

2-4

Quarterback JJ Kohl

Liberty Flames

5-1

Quarterback Deshawn Purdie

Saturday, October 31 · 3:30 PM ET

FIUOffense2026 regular season to dateLIB

118th−0.069

EPA/play

+0.19126th

105th43.5%

Success %

53.5%6th

110th20.2

PPG

32.828th

FIUDefenseLIB

39th−0.025

EPA/play allowed

−0.03733rd

29th43.7%

Success % allowed

45.9%53rd

24th18.5

Opp PPG

12.52nd

FIURecent formLIB

L@ Florida Atlantic 10-16Wvs Long Island University 20-3Wvs New Mexico State 22-3L@ Jacksonville State 24-27Lvs Middle Tennessee 23-26

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Ball State 51-15W@ Coastal Carolina 34-17W@ Delaware 30-14Wvs Sam Houston 35-3W@ Kennesaw State 34-6

3-4

Record

6-1

3-4

ATS

5-2

3-4

Over–under

2-5

FIUHome and roadseason to dateLIB

3-1

Home record

3-0

0-3

Road record

3-1

2-2

Home ATS

2-1

1-2

Road ATS

3-1

2-2

Home O/U

1-2

Road O/U

1-3

FIULast 10 gamesLIB

Game by game

3-4

Last 7

6-1

+27

Net points

+123

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

FIURest & travelLIB

11 days

Days of rest

9 days

805 mi1,295 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Williams Stadium (VA)

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Florida International (2-4) visits Liberty (5-1) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET.

Florida International has the 118th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 39th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Liberty has the 26th-ranked offense and the 33rd-ranked defense. When Florida International has the ball, a 118th-ranked offense (−0.069 EPA per play) meets a 33rd-ranked defense (−0.037 allowed); when Liberty has it, a 26th-ranked offense (+0.191) meets a 39th-ranked defense (−0.025 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida International offense is at 43.5% (105th) and the Liberty offense at 53.5% (6th). Florida International scores 20.2 points per game (110th) and allows 18.5 (24th); Liberty scores 32.8 (28th) and allows 12.5 (2nd).

Florida International is 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 26-23 loss to Middle Tennessee. Liberty is 6-1 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 34-6 win over Kennesaw State.

Liberty is a 14-point favorite at home against Florida International. The spread opened at Liberty -11.5. The total is 44.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Florida International +440, Liberty -600) prices Florida International at 18% and Liberty at 82%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2.5

OpenLiberty -11.5 (-110)
Florida International +11.5 (-110)

NowLiberty -14 (-109)
Florida International +14 (-110)

Totalno move

Open44.5 (o -113 / u -105)

Now44.5 (o -116 / u -105)

Moneyline

OpenFlorida International +350 21%
Liberty -457 79%

NowFlorida International +440 18%
Liberty -600 82%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Florida International +14-110DraftKings
Liberty -14-107Caesars
Over 44.5-108Novig
Under 44.5+104Kalshi
Florida International+525Novig
Liberty-525Kalshi

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Florida International

QB · JJ Kohl

Attempts204
Completion %57.8%
Passing yards1,440
Yards per attempt7.1
TD–INT9–7

Leading rusher (RB) · Devonte Lyons

Rushing yards383121st
Season line84 carries, 383 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Maguire Anderson

Receiving yards56835th
Season line36 catches, 568 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (DB) · DeAndre Boykins

Tackles37348th

Liberty

QB · Deshawn Purdie

Attempts133
Completion %60.2%155th
Passing yards1,226168th
Yards per attempt9.222nd
TD–INT9–0

Leading rusher (RB) · Kam Davis

Rushing yards58340th
Season line83 carries, 583 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Makai Jackson

Receiving yards54040th
Season line23 catches, 540 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Derrell Farrar

Tackles39312th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Florida International	Liberty
Early-down success rateFlorida International offense vs Liberty defense	39.4%117th	45.1%98th
Early-down success rateLiberty offense vs Florida International defense	42.0%49th	50.4%3rd
3rd-down conversion rateFlorida International offense vs Liberty defense	46.4%28th	30.2%6th
3rd-down conversion rateLiberty offense vs Florida International defense	29.1%4th	45.0%34th
Explosive play rateFlorida International offense vs Liberty defense	5.7%109th	5.5%33rd
Explosive play rateLiberty offense vs Florida International defense	5.7%37th	8.0%31st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	53.8%38th-highest	37.6%131st-highest

On 3rd down Florida International converts 46.4% (28th) against a Liberty defense allowing 30.2% (6th).

On 3rd down Liberty converts 45.0% (34th) against a Florida International defense allowing 29.1% (4th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Florida International	Liberty
Head coach	Willie Simmons	Jamey Chadwell
Tenureat this school	2nd season	4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	10–10	31–14
Career recordas an FBS head coach	10–10	70–36
Offensive coordinator	Nick Coleman	Newland Isaac
Defensive coordinator	Jovan Dewitt	Skylor Magee

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Florida International won 1 and Liberty 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2025	Liberty 27, Florida International 34 Florida International won
Oct 8, 2024	Florida International 24, Liberty 31 Liberty won
Sep 23, 2023	Liberty 38, Florida International 6 Liberty won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams