Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd Final — October 10, 2026
CCUOffense2026 regular season to dateMRSH
CCUDefenseMRSHCCURecent formMRSHCCUHome and roadseason to dateMRSHCCULast 10 gamesMRSHRest & travelrest and travel
CCURest & travelMRSHAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Coastal Carolina (0-4) visited Marshall (2-2) on Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET.
Coastal Carolina has the 64th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 101st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Marshall has the 104th-ranked offense and the 124th-ranked defense. When Coastal Carolina has the ball, a 64th-ranked offense (+0.077 EPA per play) meets a 124th-ranked defense (+0.266 allowed); when Marshall has it, a 104th-ranked offense (−0.054) meets a 101st-ranked defense (+0.157 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Coastal Carolina offense is at 43.9% (98th) and the Marshall offense at 47.3% (63rd). Coastal Carolina scores 19.8 points per game (99th) and allows 29.5 (87th); Marshall scores 18.8 (104th) and allows 35.0 (114th).
Coastal Carolina is 1-4 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 loss to Georgia Southern. Marshall is 3-2 and 1-4 against the spread; its last game was a 45-17 loss to James Madison.
Marshall closed as a 4.5-point favorite at home against Coastal Carolina. The spread opened at Marshall -2.5. The total closed at 58.5, up from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Coastal Carolina +160, Marshall -200) prices Coastal Carolina at 37% and Marshall at 63%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 27, Marshall Thundering Herd 21
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won by 6.
- Against the closing spread (Marshall Thundering Herd -4.5): Coastal Carolina Chanticleers covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 58.5: Under.
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers closed at +160 on the moneyline (a 37% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 8 points toward Marshall Thundering Herd.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 37%, Marshall Thundering Herd 63%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 14:50 — Marshall Thundering Herd ball, 1st & 10 at MRSH 32No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted by #2 J.Wayne at MAR44, End Of PlayCoastal Carolina Chanticleers 36% → 46% (+11 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 11:36 — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers ball, 2nd & 6 at MRSH 20No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass intercepted by #0 C.Clark-Glover at MAR08 broken up by #5 J.Gilmore QB hurried by #58 B.Ward, End Of PlayMarshall Thundering Herd 51% → 61% (+10 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 10:57 — Marshall Thundering Herd ball, 2nd & 5 at MRSH 13No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush right for 3 yards loss to the MAR10 fumbled by #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson at MAR10 recovered by CCU #1 I.Diawara at MAR10, En…Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 39% → 52% (+13 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 3:51 — Marshall Thundering Herd ball, 3rd & 6 at CCU 6No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted by #10 T.Roman at CCU00 QB hurried by #98 D.Barnes, TouchbackCoastal Carolina Chanticleers 39% → 50% (+12 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 14:20 — Marshall Thundering Herd ball, 1st & 10 at MRSH 48No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted by #26 C.Jackson at MAR48 #26 C.Jackson return 0 yards to the MAR40 (#76 T.Montgomery), out of boundsCoastal Carolina Chanticleers 44% → 58% (+15 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won after falling as low as 36% (Q1 14:50).
Game DNA
| Coastal Carolina | Points added | Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6 | Passingdropbacks | -2.1 |
| -2.8 | Rushingdesigned runs | +5.4 |
| +6.8 | Explosive plays3 plays · 7 plays | +22.4 |
| -5.8 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 5 giveaways | -18.5 |
| -3.7 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -0.2 |
| +0.1 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -1.1 |
| +2.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 4 · 2 of 5 | +3.5 |
| -5.7 | All plays | +9.4 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 15.6 points to Marshall Thundering Herd. The final margin was 6.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Marshall Thundering Herd closed as the market favourite at 63% and lost.
The line moved toward Marshall Thundering Herd before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Coastal Carolina +2.5 (-110)
Coastal Carolina +4.5 (-110)
Marshall -137 55%
Marshall -200 63%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts155
- Completion %54.8%225th
- Passing yards1,26757th
- Yards per attempt8.277th
- TD–INT12–2
- Rushing yards193204th
- Season line37 carries, 193 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards231168th
- Season line13 catches, 231 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles4610th
- Attempts133
- Completion %65.4%77th
- Passing yards977117th
- Yards per attempt7.3128th
- TD–INT6–2
- Rushing yards209180th
- Season line60 carries, 209 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards32464th
- Season line22 catches, 324 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles3761st
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Coastal Carolina | Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Marshall defense | 43.0%71st | 50.0%126th |
| Early-down success rateMarshall offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 44.9%93rd | 43.7%65th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Marshall defense | 34.0%102nd | 40.5%74th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMarshall offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 44.0%101st | 39.6%77th |
| Explosive play rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Marshall defense | 6.4%83rd | 11.1%135th |
| Explosive play rateMarshall offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 7.1%85th | 5.0%112th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.6%28th-highest | 51.0%69th-highest |
On 3rd down Coastal Carolina converts 34.0% (102nd) against a Marshall defense allowing 40.5% (74th).
On 3rd down Marshall converts 39.6% (77th) against a Coastal Carolina defense allowing 44.0% (101st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Coastal Carolina | Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ryan Beard | Tony Gibson |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 1–4 | 8–9 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| Offensive coordinator | Nick Petrino | Rod Smith |
| Defensive coordinator | LD Scott | Brad Lambert |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Coastal Carolina won 3 and Marshall 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Marshall 27, Coastal Carolina 44 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Nov 16, 2024 | Coastal Carolina 19, Marshall 31 Marshall won | ||
| Oct 28, 2023 | Marshall 6, Coastal Carolina 34 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Oct 29, 2022 | Coastal Carolina 24, Marshall 13 Coastal Carolina won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers team stats
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers (Oct 31)
- Appalachian State Mountaineers 35, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 32 (Oct 16)
- Georgia Southern Eagles 31, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 24 (Oct 3)
Marshall Thundering Herd
- Marshall Thundering Herd team stats
- Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs (Oct 31)
- South Alabama Jaguars 13, Marshall Thundering Herd 20 (Oct 20)
- Marshall Thundering Herd 17, James Madison Dukes 45 (Oct 3)
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26, Marshall Thundering Herd 28 (Sep 12)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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