Georgia Southern Eagles vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Final — October 3, 2026
GASOOffense2026 regular season to dateCCU
GASODefenseCCUGASOLast 10 gamesCCURest & travelrest and travel
GASORest & travelCCUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Margin of each of the last 4 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Georgia Southern (0-3) visited Coastal Carolina (0-3) on Saturday, October 3 at 7:00 PM ET.
Georgia Southern has the 90th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 83rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has the 61st-ranked offense and the 111th-ranked defense. When Georgia Southern has the ball, a 90th-ranked offense (−0.050 EPA per play) meets a 111th-ranked defense (+0.168 allowed); when Coastal Carolina has it, a 61st-ranked offense (+0.041) meets a 83rd-ranked defense (+0.065 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia Southern offense is at 39.6% (112th) and the Coastal Carolina offense at 41.2% (86th). Georgia Southern scores 20.7 points per game (95th) and allows 31.7 (100th); Coastal Carolina scores 18.3 (103rd) and allows 29.0 (77th).
Georgia Southern closed as a 2.5-point road favorite, with Coastal Carolina getting the points at home. The spread opened at Georgia Southern -1.5. The total closed at 53.5, up from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Georgia Southern -143, Coastal Carolina +116) prices Georgia Southern at 56% and Coastal Carolina at 44%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Georgia Southern Eagles 31, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 24
Georgia Southern Eagles won by 7.
- Against the closing spread (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +2.5): Georgia Southern Eagles covered.
- Combined score 55 vs the closing total of 53.5: Over.
- Georgia Southern Eagles closed at -143 on the moneyline (a 56% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Georgia Southern Eagles.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Georgia Southern Eagles 56%, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 44%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 5:08 — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers ball, 1st & 1 at GASO 1No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Allen-Hendrix rush left for 0 yards to the GSU01 (#6 J.Jones; #4 A.Bynum)Georgia Southern Eagles 50% → 67% (+17 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 7:14 — Georgia Southern Eagles ball, 3rd & 2 at GASO 33No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 67 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C…Georgia Southern Eagles 78% → 89% (+11 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:23 — Georgia Southern Eagles ball, 4th & 5 at GASO 25#25 A.Smith punt 48 yards to the CCU27 #1 R.Washington return 73 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:23 #30 N.Cavanillas Alti kick attempt good (H: #42 R.Pode…Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 11% → 21% (+11 pts) · Drive 10 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 1:39 — Georgia Southern Eagles ball, 3rd & 4 at GASO 33No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #87 R.Helms caught at CCU38, for 32 yards to the CCU35 (#26 C.Jackson), 1ST DOWNGeorgia Southern Eagles 56% → 67% (+11 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 8:18 — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers ball, 1st & 10 at CCU 35#2 D.Bailey pass complete short middle to #0 K.English caught at CCU32, for 1 yard loss to the CCU34 (#6 J.Jones; #44 N.Eldridge Jr.)Georgia Southern Eagles 83% → 96% (+12 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of each team's plays, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers would win 54% of the time (Georgia Southern Eagles 46%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Georgia Southern | Points added | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| -5.0 | Passingdropbacks | -18.2 |
| -2.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | +8.7 |
| +10.3 | Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays | +10.5 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -1.0 |
| -11.5 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +2.9 |
| +7.1 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -4.1 |
| +4.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 2 · 1 of 2 | +6.0 |
| +3.2 | All plays | +4.8 |
The biggest single gap: special teams, worth about 14.4 points to Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. The final margin was 7.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Georgia Southern Eagles closed as the market favourite at 56% and won.
The line moved toward Georgia Southern Eagles before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Georgia Southern -1.5 (-105)
Georgia Southern -2.5 (-119)
Coastal Carolina -105 49%
Coastal Carolina +116 44%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts157
- Completion %66.2%70th
- Passing yards99669th
- Yards per attempt6.3183rd
- TD–INT5–1
- Rushing yards172182nd
- Season line29 carries, 172 yds
- Receiving yards202150th
- Season line14 catches, 202 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles28100th
- Attempts122
- Completion %54.1%215th
- Passing yards1,03961st
- Yards per attempt8.560th
- TD–INT10–2
- Rushing yards137250th
- Season line42 carries, 137 yds
- Receiving yards220130th
- Season line10 catches, 220 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles3618th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 241 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 2, 5:47 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Georgia Southern | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 35.6%115th | 46.8%127th |
| Early-down success rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Georgia Southern defense | 39.5%68th | 39.4%75th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 43.5%47th | 48.6%117th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Georgia Southern defense | 42.4%88th | 37.1%86th |
| Explosive play rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 5.0%106th | 7.1%83rd |
| Explosive play rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Georgia Southern defense | 4.9%24th | 7.1%68th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 62.7%8th-highest | 56.5%31st-highest |
On 3rd down Georgia Southern converts 43.5% (47th) against a Coastal Carolina defense allowing 48.6% (117th).
On 3rd down Coastal Carolina converts 37.1% (86th) against a Georgia Southern defense allowing 42.4% (88th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Georgia Southern | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Clay Helton | Ryan Beard |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 28–28 | 1–3 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 74–52 | 8–8 |
| Offensive coordinator | Ryan Aplin | Nick Petrino |
| Defensive coordinator | Mike Mutz | LD Scott |
Staff list as of October 2, 5:43 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Georgia Southern won 3 and Coastal Carolina 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Coastal Carolina 40, Georgia Southern 45 Georgia Southern won | ||
| Nov 23, 2024 | Georgia Southern 26, Coastal Carolina 6 Georgia Southern won | ||
| Sep 30, 2023 | Coastal Carolina 28, Georgia Southern 38 Georgia Southern won | ||
| Oct 1, 2022 | Georgia Southern 30, Coastal Carolina 34 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Nov 6, 2021 | Coastal Carolina 28, Georgia Southern 8 Coastal Carolina won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Georgia Southern Eagles
- Georgia Southern Eagles team stats
- Appalachian State Mountaineers at Georgia Southern Eagles (Oct 31)
- Georgia Southern Eagles 23, Old Dominion Monarchs 15 (Oct 15)
- James Madison Dukes 27, Georgia Southern Eagles 24 (Oct 10)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
More NCAAF games on October 3, 2026
- Memphis Tigers 59, Charlotte 49ers 8 (Oct 3)
- Navy Midshipmen 9, Air Force Falcons 14 (Oct 3)
- UCF Knights 17, Houston Cougars 27 (Oct 3)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 42, Iowa State Cyclones 45 (Oct 3)
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 0, Kansas Jayhawks 55 (Oct 3)
- Michigan Wolverines 14, Minnesota Golden Gophers 20 (Oct 3)
- Alabama Crimson Tide 56, Mississippi State Bulldogs 23 (Oct 3)
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish 37, North Carolina Tar Heels 26 (Oct 3)
- Boston College Eagles 16, SMU Mustangs 25 (Oct 3)
- Syracuse Orange 42, UConn Huskies 41 (Oct 3)
- Stanford Cardinal 3, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 57 (Oct 3)
- Michigan State Spartans 3, Wisconsin Badgers 31 (Oct 3)
- Vanderbilt Commodores 14, Georgia Bulldogs 38 (Oct 3)
- Western Michigan Broncos 20, Buffalo Bulls 17 (Oct 3)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results