Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets Preview & Odds — October 30, 2026
KENTOffense2026 regular season to dateSAC
KENTDefenseSACKENTRecent formSACKENTHome and roadseason to dateSACKENTLast 10 gamesSACRest & travelrest and travel
KENTRest & travelSACAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Kent State (2-5) visits Sacramento State (0-7) on Friday, October 30 at 10:30 PM ET.
Kent State has the 121st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 75th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Sacramento State has the 137th-ranked offense and the 85th-ranked defense. When Kent State has the ball, a 121st-ranked offense (−0.089 EPA per play) meets a 85th-ranked defense (+0.128 allowed); when Sacramento State has it, a 137th-ranked offense (−0.196) meets a 75th-ranked defense (+0.087 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Kent State offense is at 45.4% (88th) and the Sacramento State offense at 42.0% (120th). Kent State scores 11.9 points per game (136th) and allows 32.7 (111th); Sacramento State scores 10.0 (137th) and allows 37.6 (128th).
Kent State is 3-5; its last game was a 35-20 win over Akron. Sacramento State is 1-7; its last game was a 34-17 loss to Ball State.
Kent State is a 10-point road favorite, with Sacramento State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Kent State -9.5. The total is 46.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Kent State -385, Sacramento State +310) prices Kent State at 76% and Sacramento State at 24%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Kent State -9.5 (-110)
Kent State -10 (-110)
Sacramento State +277 25%
Sacramento State +310 24%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Kent State -10-108Bally Bet
- Sacramento State +10-107Caesars
- Over 46.5-104Novig
- Under 46.5+100Kalshi
- Kent State-335Novig
- Sacramento State+320BetMGM
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts218
- Completion %56.9%198th
- Passing yards1,434122nd
- Yards per attempt6.6198th
- TD–INT8–6
- Rushing yards235261st
- Season line68 carries, 235 yds
- Receiving yards55237th
- Season line40 catches, 552 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles43242nd
- Attempts219
- Completion %56.2%210th
- Passing yards1,257163rd
- Yards per attempt5.7246th
- TD–INT8–6
- Rushing yards303195th
- Season line58 carries, 303 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards49260th
- Season line39 catches, 492 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles6141st
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Kent State | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateKent State offense vs Sacramento State defense | 39.8%109th | 44.6%91st |
| Early-down success rateSacramento State offense vs Kent State defense | 49.6%133rd | 40.5%101st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateKent State offense vs Sacramento State defense | 32.9%111th | 48.4%123rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSacramento State offense vs Kent State defense | 45.2%107th | 30.1%125th |
| Explosive play rateKent State offense vs Sacramento State defense | 5.8%107th | 8.6%116th |
| Explosive play rateSacramento State offense vs Kent State defense | 8.0%102nd | 3.4%136th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.4%43rd-highest | 62.8%4th-highest |
On 3rd down Kent State converts 32.9% (111th) against a Sacramento State defense allowing 48.4% (123rd).
On 3rd down Sacramento State converts 30.1% (125th) against a Kent State defense allowing 45.2% (107th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Kent State | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mark Carney | Alonzo Carter |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 8–12 | 1–7 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 8–12 | 1–7 |
| Offensive coordinator | Clay Patterson | Eric Kiesau / Eric Scott |
| Defensive coordinator | Cherokee Valeria | Adam Clark / Kenwick Thompson |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Kent State Golden Flashes
- Kent State Golden Flashes team stats
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Kent State Golden Flashes 2, South Florida Bulls 29 (Oct 17)
- Kent State Golden Flashes 7, Western Michigan Broncos 38 (Oct 10)
Sacramento State Hornets
More NCAAF games on October 30, 2026
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