Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks Final — October 16, 2026
BOSStarting goaliesANA
BOSOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)ANABOSDefenseANABOSTeamANABOS5-on-5ANABOSSpecial teamsANABOSRecent formANABOSHome and roadseason to dateANAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
BOSRest & travelANABOSKey injuriesANAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 16, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Bruins (5-2-0) visited the Ducks (4-2-0) on Friday, October 16 at 10:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Bruins scored 3.32 goals per game (11th of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Ducks scored 3.33 goals per game (10th of 32) and allowed 3.51 (29th). The Bruins earned 61.0% of available standings points (8th) and the Ducks 56.1% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Bruins 47.1% (28th), Ducks 50.5% (15th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Bruins 48.9% (19th), Ducks 52.4% (6th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Bruins 42.5% (31st), Ducks 47.6% (21st). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Bruins -110, Ducks -110) prices the Bruins at 50% and the Ducks at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Boston Bruins 4, Anaheim Ducks 2
Boston Bruins won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Anaheim Ducks +1.5): Boston Bruins covered.
- Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Boston Bruins closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Anaheim Ducks 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Anaheim Ducks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Boston Bruins 50%, Anaheim Ducks 50%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 19:22 — Anaheim Ducks goal (0-1)Anaheim Ducks 50% → 68% (+18 pts)
- 3rd 3:26 — Boston Bruins goal (2-2)Boston Bruins 23% → 52% (+30 pts)
- 3rd 8:18 — Boston Bruins goal (3-2)Boston Bruins 53% → 83% (+29 pts)
Boston Bruins won after falling as low as 17% (2nd 3:15).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Anaheim Ducks won 59% of G&W replays (Boston Bruins 41%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Bruins | Goals | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.3 |
| 0.5 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.9 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.2 |
| 2.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.4 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.2 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.6 |
| +1.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.5 |
| +1.5 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Michael DiPietro 25/27 · Lukas Dostal 18/22 | -1.2 |
How the margin was built, from Boston Bruins's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Anaheim Ducks closed as the market favourite at 50% and lost.
The line moved toward Anaheim Ducks before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Bruins -1.5 (+192)
Bruins -1.5 (+210)
Ducks -100 48%
Ducks -110 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Bruins won 6 and the Ducks 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Bruins 3, Ducks 4 Ducks won | Ducks -180 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Ducks 7, Bruins 5 Ducks won | Bruins -115 underdog won | 6.5 over |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Bruins 2, Ducks 6 Ducks won | Ducks -135 favorite won | 6 over |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ducks 3, Bruins 2 OT Ducks won | Bruins -190 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Ducks 4, Bruins 3 OT Ducks won | Bruins -322 underdog won | 6 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins team stats
- Boston Bruins 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (Oct 27)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 24)
- Nashville Predators 0, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 22)
Anaheim Ducks
More NHL games on October 16, 2026
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results