San Jose Sharks vs Boston Bruins Final — October 24, 2026
SJStarting goaliesBOS
SJOffense2026-27 regular season to dateBOSSJDefenseBOSSJTeamBOSSJ5-on-5BOSSJSpecial teamsBOSSJRecent formBOSSJHome and roadseason to dateBOSInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
SJRest & travelBOSSJKey injuriesBOSAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 24, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Sharks (6-4-1) visited the Bruins (8-2-1) on Saturday, October 24 at 7:10 PM ET.
The Sharks score 3.00 goals per game (16th of 32) and allow 3.36 (23rd). The Bruins score 3.82 goals per game (6th of 32) and allow 2.00 (2nd). The Sharks earn 59.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Bruins 77.3% (2nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Sharks 42.5% (29th), Bruins 50.8% (16th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Sharks 46.0% (27th), Bruins 48.0% (20th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Sharks 27.8% (31st), Bruins 45.0% (20th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Sharks +155, Bruins -190) prices the Sharks at 37% and the Bruins at 63%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
San Jose Sharks 4, Boston Bruins 6
Boston Bruins won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Boston Bruins -1.5): Boston Bruins covered.
- Combined score 10 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Boston Bruins closed at -190 on the moneyline (a 63% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Boston Bruins 6
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (San Jose Sharks 37%, Boston Bruins 63%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 3rd 4:03 — San Jose Sharks goal (3-2)San Jose Sharks 46% → 78% (+32 pts)
- 3rd 8:27 — Boston Bruins goal (3-3)Boston Bruins 22% → 56% (+35 pts)
- 3rd 9:07 — Boston Bruins goal (3-4)Boston Bruins 56% → 86% (+29 pts)
Boston Bruins won after falling as low as 22% (3rd 8:27).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Boston Bruins won 84% of G&W replays (San Jose Sharks 16%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Boston Bruins. Here is where that came from.
| Sharks | Goals | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 3.7 |
| 0.7 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.3 |
| 0.6 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.5 |
| 2.2 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 5.5 |
| 0.2 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 1.8 |
| +1.8 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -0.5 |
| +0.5 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Alex Nedeljkovic 29/34 · Jeremy Swayman 23/27 | -1.8 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from Boston Bruins's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Boston Bruins closed as the market favourite at 63% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Sharks +1.5 (-157)
Sharks +1.5 (-164)
Bruins -190 63%
Bruins -190 63%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Sharks won 3 and the Bruins 11.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bruins 6, Sharks 3 Bruins won | Bruins -130 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Sharks 4, Bruins 2 Sharks won | Bruins -160 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Bruins 1, Sharks 3 Sharks won | Bruins -134 underdog won | 6 under |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Bruins 1, Sharks 3 Sharks won | Bruins -125 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Sharks 3, Bruins 6 Bruins won | Bruins -225 favorite won | 5.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks team stats
- Buffalo Sabres 2, San Jose Sharks 0 (Oct 27)
- San Jose Sharks 6, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 22)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (Oct 20)
Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins team stats
- Boston Bruins 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (Oct 27)
- Nashville Predators 0, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 22)
- Boston Bruins 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 20)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 24, 2026
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (Oct 24)
- Los Angeles Kings 1, New Jersey Devils 3 (Oct 24)
- New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 7 (Oct 24)
- Vegas Golden Knights 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 24)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 24)
- Nashville Predators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 24)
- Carolina Hurricanes 4, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 24)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (Oct 24)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 (Oct 24)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
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