Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers Final — October 24, 2026
ANAStarting goaliesPHI
ANAOffense2026-27 regular season to datePHIANADefensePHIANATeamPHIANA5-on-5PHIANASpecial teamsPHIANARecent formPHIANAHome and roadseason to datePHIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
ANARest & travelPHIANAKey injuriesPHIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 24, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Ducks (4-6-0) visited the Flyers (3-6-3) on Saturday, October 24 at 1:00 PM ET.
The Ducks score 2.70 goals per game (24th of 32) and allow 3.30 (21st). The Flyers score 1.67 goals per game (32nd of 32) and allow 3.08 (12th). The Ducks earn 40.0% of available standings points (26th) and the Flyers 37.5% (27th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Ducks 45.3% (25th), Flyers 36.3% (32nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Ducks 48.6% (19th), Flyers 41.2% (32nd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Ducks 40.0% (24th), Flyers 25.0% (32nd).
The total closed at 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ducks +100, Flyers -120) prices the Ducks at 48% and the Flyers at 52%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Anaheim Ducks 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4
Anaheim Ducks won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Philadelphia Flyers -1.5): Anaheim Ducks covered.
- Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- Anaheim Ducks closed at +100 on the moneyline (a 48% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Philadelphia Flyers 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Anaheim Ducks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Anaheim Ducks 48%, Philadelphia Flyers 52%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 15:04 — Philadelphia Flyers goal (2-3)Philadelphia Flyers 50% → 73% (+23 pts)
- 2nd 16:19 — Anaheim Ducks goal (3-3)Anaheim Ducks 26% → 49% (+23 pts)
- 3rd 2:00 — Anaheim Ducks goal (4-3)Anaheim Ducks 49% → 75% (+26 pts)
Anaheim Ducks won after falling as low as 13% (2nd 8:19).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Anaheim Ducks won 68% of G&W replays (Philadelphia Flyers 32%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Anaheim Ducks. Here is where that came from.
| Ducks | Goals | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.0 |
| 1.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.4 |
| 0.6 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.2 |
| 4.0 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.6 |
| 0.6 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| +1.0 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.4 |
| -1.4 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Lukas Dostal 28/32 · Joseph Woll 21/26 | -1.0 |
How the margin was built, from Anaheim Ducks's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Philadelphia Flyers closed as the market favourite at 52% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Ducks +1.5 (-252)
Ducks +1.5 (-255)
Flyers -123 53%
Flyers -120 52%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Ducks won 3 and the Flyers 11.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Flyers 3, Ducks 2 OT Flyers won | Ducks -155 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Ducks 2, Flyers 5 Flyers won | Flyers -150 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Ducks 0, Flyers 6 Flyers won | Flyers -205 favorite won | 6 push |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Flyers 3, Ducks 1 Flyers won | Flyers -162 favorite won | 6 under |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Flyers 6, Ducks 3 Flyers won | Flyers -119 favorite won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Anaheim Ducks
- Anaheim Ducks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
- Anaheim Ducks 1, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 22)
- Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 20)
Philadelphia Flyers
More NHL games on October 24, 2026
- Los Angeles Kings 1, New Jersey Devils 3 (Oct 24)
- New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 7 (Oct 24)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 24)
- Vegas Golden Knights 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 24)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 24)
- Nashville Predators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 24)
- Carolina Hurricanes 4, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 24)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (Oct 24)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 (Oct 24)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
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