Home › Analytics › NCAAF Power Rankings › California Golden Bears
NCAAF

California Golden Bears

#109 FBS · 3-5
G&W Power Rating−9.65#109 of 138
Record3-5
Exp W%20.3%what the scoring says
Luck+17.2%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L2-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G19.7113th of 138
Agst/G35.1121st of 138
Diff/G−15.43120th of 138
Adj. Margin−9.3296th of 138
SOS+6.65
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)−0.066116th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.154104th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.220125th of 138
Off SR41.9%122nd of 138
Def SR46.6%67th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

2-5 ATS · O/U 3-4
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 7 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
149/219, 1555 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Adam Mohammed
73 CAR, 336 YDS, 3 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Chase Hendricks
54 REC, 498 YDS, 3 TD

Season to date, all games.

California Golden Bears players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

2-5 against the close · −59.0 pts

Against the close2-5avg cover margin −8.4
Beat the close by−59.0 ptsover 7 games
Against the bet-time line2-5−63.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-4avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Sep 5: −18.5Sep 12: +6.5Sep 25: −11.5Oct 3: −6.5Oct 10: +15.0Oct 17: −23.5Oct 24: −20.5+15.0 pts−63.0Sep 5Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −8.9 pts a game vs the close.

Home 4Road 3
1-3Against the close1-2
−9.6Avg cover margin−6.8
1-3Over/under2-1
−4.2Total vs the close+7.8
Favorite 0Underdog 7
—Against the close2-5
—Avg cover margin−8.4
—Over/under3-4
—Total vs the close+0.9
G&W vs the market for the California Golden Bears, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the California Golden Bears scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.