Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips Final — November 3, 2026
OHIOOffense2026 regular season to dateAKR
OHIODefenseAKROHIORecent formAKROHIOHome and roadseason to dateAKROHIOLast 10 gamesAKRRest & travelrest and travel
OHIORest & travelAKRAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
The pre-game matchup
Ohio (5-2) visited Akron (0-7) on Tuesday, November 3 at 7:00 PM ET.
Ohio has the 48th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 94th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Akron has the 123rd-ranked offense and the 113th-ranked defense. When Ohio has the ball, a 48th-ranked offense (+0.107 EPA per play) meets a 113th-ranked defense (+0.174 allowed); when Akron has it, a 123rd-ranked offense (−0.109) meets a 94th-ranked defense (+0.131 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Ohio offense is at 49.7% (29th) and the Akron offense at 43.8% (102nd). Ohio scores 28.9 points per game (48th) and allows 24.0 (52nd); Akron scores 15.3 (132nd) and allows 36.0 (127th).
Ohio is 6-2 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 24-20 win over Eastern Michigan. Akron is 1-7 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 35-20 loss to Kent State.
Ohio closed as a 12.5-point road favorite, with Akron getting the points at home. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 51.5, up from 49 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ohio -500, Akron +375) prices Ohio at 80% and Akron at 20%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Ohio Bobcats 28, Akron Zips 20
Ohio Bobcats won by 8.
- Against the closing spread (Akron Zips +12.5): Akron Zips covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 51.5: Under.
- Ohio Bobcats closed at -500 on the moneyline (a 80% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Ohio Bobcats 80%, Akron Zips 20%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 0:09 — Akron Zips ball, 1st & 10 at AKR 41No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Broughton pass intercepted by #2 D.Walker at AKR45 #2 D.Walker return 45 yards to the AKR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:09 #43 B.Peacock kick att…Ohio Bobcats 68% → 85% (+17 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 9:22 — Ohio Bobcats ball, 1st & 10 at OHIO 40No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short middle to #3 D.Dorwart caught at AKR45, for 60 yards to the AKR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:22, 1ST DOWN #43 B.Peacoc…Ohio Bobcats 58% → 78% (+20 pts) · Drive 17 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 6:15 — Akron Zips ball, 2nd & 10 at OHIO 45No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Broughton pass complete short left to #2 M.Williams caught at OHU31, for 32 yards to the OHU13 (#2 D.Walker; #20 K.Bannister), 1ST DOWNAkron Zips 27% → 40% (+12 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 4:11 — Akron Zips ball, 4th & 6 at OHIO 16No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Broughton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OHU09 (#14 I.Ackerman)Ohio Bobcats 72% → 87% (+14 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 3:57 — Ohio Bobcats ball, 1st & 10 at OHIO 9No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 91 yards gain to the AKR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:57, 1ST DOWN #43 B.Peacock kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #5…Ohio Bobcats 87% → 97% (+11 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Ohio | Points added | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4 | Passingdropbacks | +3.8 |
| -7.9 | Rushingdesigned runs | -3.7 |
| +17.2 | Explosive plays5 plays · 4 plays | +9.3 |
| -2.4 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 2 giveaways | -8.8 |
| -2.2 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -0.1 |
| +0.2 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.6 |
| +0.6 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 1 · 1 of 4 | -6.6 |
| +2.1 | All plays | -5.5 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 7.9 points to Ohio Bobcats. The final margin was 8.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Ohio Bobcats closed as the market favourite at 80% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Ohio -12.5 (-110)
Ohio -12.5 (-111)
Akron +375 20%
Akron +375 20%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts97
- Completion %58.8%174th
- Passing yards769238th
- Yards per attempt7.977th
- TD–INT6–0
- Rushing yards364160th
- Season line77 carries, 364 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards49771st
- Season line37 catches, 497 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles7032nd
- Attempts191
- Completion %58.6%178th
- Passing yards1,343166th
- Yards per attempt7.0152nd
- TD–INT7–10
- Rushing yards61842nd
- Season line127 carries, 618 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards375164th
- Season line34 catches, 375 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles7129th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 1, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Ohio | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateOhio offense vs Akron defense | 44.2%48th | 44.7%98th |
| Early-down success rateAkron offense vs Ohio defense | 42.0%59th | 40.1%104th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOhio offense vs Akron defense | 52.1%11th | 40.8%70th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAkron offense vs Ohio defense | 41.4%77th | 38.8%85th |
| Explosive play rateOhio offense vs Akron defense | 4.8%127th | 8.8%124th |
| Explosive play rateAkron offense vs Ohio defense | 5.4%26th | 6.4%82nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 44.7%113th-highest | 54.9%24th-highest |
On 3rd down Ohio converts 52.1% (11th) against a Akron defense allowing 40.8% (70th).
On 3rd down Akron converts 38.8% (85th) against a Ohio defense allowing 41.4% (77th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Ohio | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | John Hauser | Joe Moorhead |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 7–2 | 14–42 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 7–2 | 28–54 |
| Offensive coordinator | Scott Isphording | Joe Moorhead |
| Defensive coordinator | Kurt Mattix | Tim Tibesar |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Ohio won 4 and Akron 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Akron 10, Ohio 30 Ohio won | ||
| Nov 24, 2023 | Ohio 25, Akron 14 Ohio won | ||
| Oct 8, 2022 | Akron 34, Ohio 55 Ohio won | ||
| Oct 2, 2021 | Ohio 34, Akron 17 Ohio won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Ohio Bobcats
- Ohio Bobcats team stats
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 20, Ohio Bobcats 24 (Oct 24)
- Ohio Bobcats 48, Sacramento State Hornets 7 (Oct 17)
- Central Michigan Chippewas 14, Ohio Bobcats 31 (Oct 10)
Akron Zips
More NCAAF games on November 3, 2026
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