Home › Game previews › NCAAF › October 2026 › Eastern Michigan Eagles at Ohio Bobcats
NCAAF · October 24, 2026

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Ohio Bobcats Final — October 24, 2026

Eastern Michigan Eagles logo
3-4
20
Quarterback Jace Stuckey
FINAL
Ohio Bobcats logo
4-2
24
Quarterback Nick Poulos
Saturday, October 24 · 4:00 PM ET
EMUOffense2026 regular season to dateOHIO
110th−0.055
EPA/play
+0.15440th
123rd41.5%
Success %
51.4%23rd
105th20.4
PPG
29.745th
EMUDefenseOHIO
60th+0.047
EPA/play allowed
+0.171109th
80th47.4%
Success % allowed
51.2%122nd
93rd29.1
Opp PPG
24.760th
EMURecent formOHIO
L@ Wisconsin 10-54Wvs Lindenwood 29-3W@ Massachusetts 38-14W@ Akron 25-23Lvs Toledo 14-34
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ South Alabama 36-41Wvs Stonehill 35-7W@ Kent State 13-10Wvs Central Michigan 31-14W@ Sacramento State 48-7
4-4
Record
5-2
—
ATS
4-3
—
Over–under
4-3
EMUHome and roadseason to dateOHIO
2-2
Home record
3-0
2-2
Road record
2-2
—
Home ATS
2-1
—
Road ATS
2-2
—
Home O/U
1-2
—
Road O/U
3-1
EMULast 10 gamesOHIO
+11-6-28-44+26+24+2-20
Game by game
-28+2-5+28+3+17+41
4-4
Last 8
—
-35
Net points
+58
—
Last 7
5-2
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
EMURest & travelOHIO
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
218 mi351 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Peden Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

Eastern Michigan (3-4) visited Ohio (4-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 4:00 PM ET.

Eastern Michigan has the 110th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 60th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Ohio has the 40th-ranked offense and the 109th-ranked defense. When Eastern Michigan has the ball, a 110th-ranked offense (−0.055 EPA per play) meets a 109th-ranked defense (+0.171 allowed); when Ohio has it, a 40th-ranked offense (+0.154) meets a 60th-ranked defense (+0.047 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Eastern Michigan offense is at 41.5% (123rd) and the Ohio offense at 51.4% (23rd). Eastern Michigan scores 20.4 points per game (105th) and allows 29.1 (93rd); Ohio scores 29.7 (45th) and allows 24.7 (60th).

Eastern Michigan is 4-4; its last game was a 34-14 loss to Toledo. Ohio is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 48-7 win over Sacramento State.

Ohio closed as a 11.5-point favorite at home against Eastern Michigan. The spread opened at Ohio -9.5. The total closed at 48.5, down from 49.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Eastern Michigan +355, Ohio -470) prices Eastern Michigan at 21% and Ohio at 79%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Eastern Michigan Eagles 20, Ohio Bobcats 24

Ohio Bobcats won by 4.

  • Against the closing spread (Ohio Bobcats -11.5): Eastern Michigan Eagles covered.
  • Combined score 44 vs the closing total of 48.5: Under.
  • Ohio Bobcats closed at -470 on the moneyline (a 79% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

21%Market at the close79%
Eastern Michigan EaglesOhio Bobcats
25%Market at the open75%

From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Ohio Bobcats.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Eastern Michigan Eagles 21%, Ohio Bobcats 79%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Market start1Q2 12:57: Eastern Michigan Eagles 19% to 35%2Q4 7:01: Eastern Michigan Eagles 20% to 40%3Q4 0:32: Eastern Michigan Eagles 23% to 64%4Q4 0:32: Ohio Bobcats 53% to 81%5Q4 0:05: Ohio Bobcats 81% to 100%■ Ohio■ Eastern Michigan
 

Biggest swings

  1. Q2 12:57 — Ohio Bobcats ball, 1st & 10 at OHIO 28N. Poulos sacked by R. Hardin for -3 yds, A. Kearse fumbled, return for 25 yds for a TD (R. Kessinger KICK)Eastern Michigan Eagles 19% → 35% (+16 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
  2. Q4 7:01 — Eastern Michigan Eagles ball, 4th & 1 at EMU 18Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush right for 15 yards gain to the EMU33 (#5 K.Sejour), 1ST DOWNEastern Michigan Eagles 20% → 40% (+20 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
  3. Q4 0:32 — Eastern Michigan Eagles ball, 4th & 3 at OHIO 19Shotgun #10 B.McCaughey pass incomplete short right to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to O-U04 QB hurried by #27 J.FriesEastern Michigan Eagles 23% → 64% (+40 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
  4. Q4 0:32 — Eastern Michigan Eagles ball, 3rd & 4 at OHIO 19Shotgun #10 B.McCaughey pass incomplete short right to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to O-U04 QB hurried by #27 J.FriesOhio Bobcats 53% → 81% (+29 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
  5. Q4 0:05 — Eastern Michigan Eagles ball, 4th & 16 at OHIO 16Shotgun #10 B.McCaughey pass incomplete short right to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to O-U00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSOhio Bobcats 81% → 100% (+19 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray

Ohio Bobcats won after falling as low as 36% (Q4 0:32).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

Eastern MichiganPoints addedOhio
-2.9Passingdropbacks
-7.7
-0.7Rushingdesigned runs
-9.1
+6.2Explosive plays3 plays · 4 plays
+11.2
-2.0Turnovers2 giveaways · 1 giveaways
-4.9
-0.7Special teamskicks, punts and returns
-1.2
+1.0Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball
-0.7
-4.8Red zoneTDs on trips: 0 of 2 · 1 of 1
+2.2
-3.9All plays
-10.0
Bar left: Eastern Michigan gainedBar right: Ohio gained

The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 8.3 points to Eastern Michigan Eagles. The final margin was 4.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

Line review

Ohio Bobcats closed as the market favourite at 79% and won.

The line moved toward Ohio Bobcats before kickoff, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 2
OpenOhio -9.5 (-109)
Eastern Michigan +9.5 (-110)
CloseOhio -11.5 (-110)
Eastern Michigan +11.5 (-110)
Totaldown 1
Open49.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Close48.5 (o -113 / u -108)
Moneyline
OpenEastern Michigan +282 25%
Ohio -355 75%
CloseEastern Michigan +355 21%
Ohio -470 79%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Eastern Michigan Eagles logo
Eastern Michigan
QB · Jace Stuckey
  • Attempts4
  • Completion %75.0%
  • Passing yards24
  • Yards per attempt6.0
  • TD–INT0–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Amareon Blue
  • Rushing yards338128th
  • Season line68 carries, 338 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (TE) · Joshua Long
  • Receiving yards36698th
  • Season line38 catches, 366 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Zach Mowchan
  • Tackles5822nd
Ohio Bobcats logo
Ohio
QB · Nick Poulos
  • Attempts68
  • Completion %55.9%208th
  • Passing yards503255th
  • Yards per attempt7.4123rd
  • TD–INT5–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Duncan Brune
  • Rushing yards330137th
  • Season line73 carries, 330 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Riley Neer
  • Receiving yards44156th
  • Season line32 catches, 441 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Michael Molnar
  • Tackles5249th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationEastern MichiganOhio
Early-down success rateEastern Michigan offense vs Ohio defense35.5%132nd43.0%69th
Early-down success rateOhio offense vs Eastern Michigan defense43.4%77th45.1%48th
3rd-down conversion rateEastern Michigan offense vs Ohio defense41.6%59th47.2%117th
3rd-down conversion rateOhio offense vs Eastern Michigan defense45.8%111th55.6%5th
Explosive play rateEastern Michigan offense vs Ohio defense4.8%122nd5.5%35th
Explosive play rateOhio offense vs Eastern Michigan defense6.3%48th4.4%129th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks58.8%13th-highest42.4%122nd-highest

On 3rd down Eastern Michigan converts 41.6% (59th) against a Ohio defense allowing 47.2% (117th).

On 3rd down Ohio converts 55.6% (5th) against a Eastern Michigan defense allowing 45.8% (111th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffEastern MichiganOhio
Head coachChris CreightonJohn Hauser
Tenureat this school13th season2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below65–876–2
Career recordas an FBS head coach65–876–2
Offensive coordinatorMike PiatkowskiScott Isophording
Defensive coordinatorTate Omli / Kasey TeegardinKurt Mattix

Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Eastern Michigan won 0 and Ohio 3.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 25, 2025Ohio 28, Eastern Michigan 21
Ohio won


Nov 13, 2024Eastern Michigan 10, Ohio 35
Ohio won


Nov 9, 2021Ohio 34, Eastern Michigan 26
Ohio won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Ohio Bobcats

More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026

All NCAAF games in October 2026

Follow the market every day

See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.

Odds boardTracked results