Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Akron Zips Final — October 10, 2026
EMUOffense2026 regular season to dateAKR
EMUDefenseAKREMURecent formAKREMUHome and roadseason to dateAKREMULast 10 gamesAKRRest & travelrest and travel
EMURest & travelAKRAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Eastern Michigan (2-3) visited Akron (0-4) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET.
Eastern Michigan has the 111th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 47th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Akron has the 134th-ranked offense and the 119th-ranked defense. When Eastern Michigan has the ball, a 111th-ranked offense (−0.075 EPA per play) meets a 119th-ranked defense (+0.242 allowed); when Akron has it, a 134th-ranked offense (−0.270) meets a 47th-ranked defense (+0.001 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Eastern Michigan offense is at 39.8% (126th) and the Akron offense at 41.1% (119th). Eastern Michigan scores 20.8 points per game (96th) and allows 29.4 (86th); Akron scores 12.5 (131st) and allows 39.5 (130th).
Eastern Michigan is 3-3; its last game was a 38-14 win over Massachusetts. Akron is 1-4 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 41-17 loss to Central Michigan.
Eastern Michigan closed as a 5.5-point road favorite, with Akron getting the points at home. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 51.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Eastern Michigan -213, Akron +172) prices Eastern Michigan at 65% and Akron at 35%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23
Eastern Michigan Eagles won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Akron Zips +5.5): Akron Zips covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 51.5: Under.
- Eastern Michigan Eagles closed at -213 on the moneyline (a 65% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Eastern Michigan Eagles.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Eastern Michigan Eagles 65%, Akron Zips 35%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 9:26 — Akron Zips ball, 2nd & 12 at EMU 40No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete deep middle to #2 M.Williams caught at EMU12, for 40 yards to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:26, 1ST DOWN #47 M.Schram…Akron Zips 36% → 49% (+13 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 2:00 — Eastern Michigan Eagles ball, 4th & 1 at AKR 21#24 J.Mattord rush left for 0 yards to the AKR21 (#32 D.Johnson) PENALTY EMU Holding (#88 T.Lemaster) 10 yards from AKR21 to AKR31. NO PLAYAkron Zips 34% → 48% (+14 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:38 — Akron Zips ball, 2nd & 8 at EMU 35PENALTY AKR Illegal Snap (#72 C.Lyons) 5 yards from EMU35 to EMU40. NO PLAYEastern Michigan Eagles 48% → 63% (+15 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:19 — Akron Zips ball, 4th & 2 at EMU 29#47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #95 J.Castle, LS: #36 C.Volpe), clock 00:19Eastern Michigan Eagles 60% → 80% (+20 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:19 — Eastern Michigan Eagles ball, 1st & 10 at EMU 29Kneel down by Eastern Mich. at EMU28 for loss of 1 yardEastern Michigan Eagles 80% → 100% (+20 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
Eastern Michigan Eagles won after falling as low as 36% (Q3 7:39).
Game DNA
| Eastern Michigan | Points added | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| +11.1 | Passingdropbacks | -5.3 |
| -1.5 | Rushingdesigned runs | +0.9 |
| +5.4 | Explosive plays2 plays · 3 plays | +9.7 |
| -5.6 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +0.6 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -3.8 |
| +2.1 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -3.3 |
| -3.2 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 5 · 1 of 1 | +1.6 |
| +8.9 | All plays | -0.3 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 16.4 points to Eastern Michigan Eagles. The final margin was 2.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Eastern Michigan Eagles closed as the market favourite at 65% and won.
The line moved toward Eastern Michigan Eagles before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Eastern Michigan -5.5 (-110)
Eastern Michigan -5.5 (-110)
Akron +158 37%
Akron +172 35%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts203
- Completion %62.6%116th
- Passing yards1,18772nd
- Yards per attempt5.8231st
- TD–INT8–3
- Rushing yards30978th
- Season line60 carries, 309 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards264114th
- Season line23 catches, 264 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles502nd
- Attempts95
- Completion %55.8%216th
- Passing yards605225th
- Yards per attempt6.4198th
- TD–INT3–5
- Rushing yards29391st
- Season line62 carries, 293 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards201206th
- Season line20 catches, 201 yds
- Tackles4133rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Eastern Michigan | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateEastern Michigan offense vs Akron defense | 32.7%138th | 43.6%74th |
| Early-down success rateAkron offense vs Eastern Michigan defense | 43.1%67th | 39.6%109th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateEastern Michigan offense vs Akron defense | 42.1%64th | 43.6%100th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAkron offense vs Eastern Michigan defense | 47.5%114th | 28.9%120th |
| Explosive play rateEastern Michigan offense vs Akron defense | 5.2%107th | 10.0%131st |
| Explosive play rateAkron offense vs Eastern Michigan defense | 7.0%82nd | 5.6%99th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 56.3%24th-highest | 57.0%19th-highest |
On 3rd down Eastern Michigan converts 42.1% (64th) against a Akron defense allowing 43.6% (100th).
On 3rd down Akron converts 28.9% (120th) against a Eastern Michigan defense allowing 47.5% (114th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Eastern Michigan | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Chris Creighton | Joe Moorhead |
| Tenureat this school | 13th season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 64–86 | 14–39 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 64–86 | 28–51 |
| Offensive coordinator | Mike Piatkowski | Joe Moorhead |
| Defensive coordinator | Tate Omli / Kasey Teegardin | Tim Tibesar |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Eastern Michigan won 2 and Akron 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Eastern Michigan 21, Akron 25 Akron won | ||
| Nov 14, 2023 | Akron 27, Eastern Michigan 30 Eastern Michigan won | ||
| Nov 8, 2022 | Eastern Michigan 34, Akron 28 Eastern Michigan won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Eastern Michigan Eagles
- Eastern Michigan Eagles team stats
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 20, Ohio Bobcats 24 (Oct 24)
- Toledo Rockets 34, Eastern Michigan Eagles 14 (Oct 17)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 38, UMass Minutemen 14 (Oct 3)
Akron Zips
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