Central Michigan Chippewas vs Ohio Bobcats Final — October 10, 2026
CMUOffense2026 regular season to dateOHIO
CMUDefenseOHIOCMURecent formOHIOCMUHome and roadseason to dateOHIOCMULast 10 gamesOHIORest & travelrest and travel
CMURest & travelOHIOAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Central Michigan (2-2) visited Ohio (2-2) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET.
Central Michigan has the 89th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 100th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Ohio has the 83rd-ranked offense and the 122nd-ranked defense. When Central Michigan has the ball, a 89th-ranked offense (+0.021 EPA per play) meets a 122nd-ranked defense (+0.257 allowed); when Ohio has it, a 83rd-ranked offense (+0.036) meets a 100th-ranked defense (+0.155 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Central Michigan offense is at 48.6% (50th) and the Ohio offense at 47.4% (59th). Central Michigan scores 18.8 points per game (104th) and allows 29.2 (84th); Ohio scores 24.8 (74th) and allows 31.8 (105th).
Central Michigan is 3-2 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 41-17 win over Akron. Ohio is 3-2 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 13-10 win over Kent State.
Ohio closed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Central Michigan. The spread opened at Ohio -3.5. The total closed at 45.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Central Michigan +112, Ohio -139) prices Central Michigan at 45% and Ohio at 55%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Central Michigan Chippewas 14, Ohio Bobcats 31
Ohio Bobcats won by 17.
- Against the closing spread (Ohio Bobcats -2.5): Ohio Bobcats covered.
- Combined score 45 vs the closing total of 45.5: Under.
- Ohio Bobcats closed at -139 on the moneyline (a 55% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Central Michigan Chippewas.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Central Michigan Chippewas 45%, Ohio Bobcats 55%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 11:01 — Ohio Bobcats ball, 3rd & 3 at CMU 23No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 23 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:01, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Heme…Ohio Bobcats 61% → 69% (+8 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 5:37 — Central Michigan Chippewas ball, 4th & 1 at OHIO 34Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush right for 1 yard loss to the Ohio35 (#9 T.Gillison; #98 D.Reagans), TURNOVER ON DOWNSOhio Bobcats 68% → 75% (+7 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Central Michigan | Points added | Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| +2.8 | Passingdropbacks | +0.4 |
| -11.2 | Rushingdesigned runs | -0.9 |
| +4.9 | Explosive plays3 plays · 4 plays | +15.6 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 2 giveaways | -10.8 |
| +0.0 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.6 |
| -2.8 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.5 |
| +8.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 2 · 2 of 4 | +3.9 |
| +2.0 | All plays | +8.3 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 10.8 points to Central Michigan Chippewas. The final margin was 17.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Ohio Bobcats closed as the market favourite at 55% and won.
The line moved toward Central Michigan Chippewas before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Central Michigan +3.5 (-110)
Central Michigan +2.5 (-108)
Ohio -171 60%
Ohio -139 55%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts32
- Completion %59.4%
- Passing yards144
- Yards per attempt4.5
- TD–INT1–0
- Rushing yards47420th
- Season line81 carries, 474 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards114458th
- Season line7 catches, 114 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles3674th
- Attempts58
- Completion %69.0%
- Passing yards438
- Yards per attempt7.5
- TD–INT4–3
- Rushing yards219162nd
- Season line56 carries, 219 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards33758th
- Season line23 catches, 337 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles4416th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Central Michigan | Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateCentral Michigan offense vs Ohio defense | 43.3%69th | 42.9%63rd |
| Early-down success rateOhio offense vs Central Michigan defense | 49.0%122nd | 42.1%79th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCentral Michigan offense vs Ohio defense | 29.0%119th | 51.7%126th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOhio offense vs Central Michigan defense | 41.7%83rd | 52.0%10th |
| Explosive play rateCentral Michigan offense vs Ohio defense | 5.5%100th | 6.5%64th |
| Explosive play rateOhio offense vs Central Michigan defense | 7.8%95th | 3.4%134th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 27.0%136th-highest | 44.3%110th-highest |
On 3rd down Central Michigan converts 29.0% (119th) against a Ohio defense allowing 51.7% (126th).
On 3rd down Ohio converts 52.0% (10th) against a Central Michigan defense allowing 41.7% (83rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Central Michigan | Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Matt Drinkall | John Hauser |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 10–8 | 4–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 10–8 | 4–2 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jim Chapin / Derek Fulton | Scott Isophording |
| Defensive coordinator | Sean Cronin | Kurt Mattix |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Central Michigan won 1 and Ohio 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Ohio 27, Central Michigan 25 Ohio won | ||
| Nov 15, 2023 | Central Michigan 20, Ohio 34 Ohio won | ||
| Oct 9, 2021 | Central Michigan 30, Ohio 27 Central Michigan won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Central Michigan Chippewas
- Central Michigan Chippewas team stats
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 21, Central Michigan Chippewas 14 (Oct 17)
- Akron Zips 17, Central Michigan Chippewas 41 (Oct 3)
Ohio Bobcats
- Ohio Bobcats team stats
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 20, Ohio Bobcats 24 (Oct 24)
- Ohio Bobcats 48, Sacramento State Hornets 7 (Oct 17)
- Ohio Bobcats 13, Kent State Golden Flashes 10 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
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- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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