Akron Zips vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Final — October 17, 2026
AKROffense2026 regular season to dateM-OH
AKRDefenseM-OHAKRRecent formM-OHAKRHome and roadseason to dateM-OHAKRLast 10 gamesM-OHRest & travelrest and travel
AKRRest & travelM-OHAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Akron (0-5) visited Miami (OH) (2-3) on Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET.
Akron has the 129th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 110th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Miami (OH) has the 34th-ranked offense and the 91st-ranked defense. When Akron has the ball, a 129th-ranked offense (−0.173 EPA per play) meets a 91st-ranked defense (+0.126 allowed); when Miami (OH) has it, a 34th-ranked offense (+0.171) meets a 110th-ranked defense (+0.197 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Akron offense is at 42.3% (113th) and the Miami (OH) offense at 46.6% (76th). Akron scores 14.6 points per game (126th) and allows 36.6 (125th); Miami (OH) scores 21.8 (94th) and allows 31.6 (109th).
Akron is 1-5 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 25-23 loss to Eastern Michigan. Miami (OH) is 3-3 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 20-19 win over Massachusetts.
Miami (OH) closed as a 9.5-point favorite at home against Akron. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 47.5, up from 46.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Akron +285, Miami (OH) -362) prices Akron at 25% and Miami (OH) at 75%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Akron Zips 14, Miami (OH) RedHawks 34
Miami (OH) RedHawks won by 20.
- Against the closing spread (Miami (OH) RedHawks -9.5): Miami (OH) RedHawks covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 47.5: Over.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks closed at -362 on the moneyline (a 75% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Akron Zips.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Akron Zips 25%, Miami (OH) RedHawks 75%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 8:01 — Akron Zips ball, 3rd & 7 at AKR 39No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short middle to #9 J.Louis III caught at Miami48, for 49 yards to the Miami12 (#1 D.Tatum), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNAkron Zips 29% → 39% (+10 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 5:18 — Akron Zips ball, 3rd & 6 at M-OH 6No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short left to #2 M.Williams caught at Miami00, for 6 yards to the Miami00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:18 #47 M.Schramm kick a…Akron Zips 37% → 44% (+7 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 2:29 — Akron Zips ball, 2nd & 6 at AKR 29No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass intercepted by #17 B.Minich at Akron44 QB hurried by #0 A.Knighten #17 B.Minich return 18 yards to the Akron26 (#56 B.Smith)Miami (OH) RedHawks 50% → 63% (+13 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 7:13 — Akron Zips ball, 3rd & 8 at M-OH 41No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short middle to #3 K.Mason caught at Miami29, for 12 yards to the Miami29 (#3 M.McCain; #13 D.Yharbrough), 1ST DOWNAkron Zips 34% → 41% (+7 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 5:14 — Miami (OH) RedHawks ball, 1st & 10 at M-OH 20Shotgun #24 S.Smith rush left for 69 yards gain to the Akron11 (#29 T.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNMiami (OH) RedHawks 71% → 80% (+10 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Akron | Points added | Miami (OH) |
|---|---|---|
| +2.7 | Passingdropbacks | -7.8 |
| -5.0 | Rushingdesigned runs | -3.3 |
| +10.7 | Explosive plays3 plays · 6 plays | +21.1 |
| -25.2 | Turnovers4 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -0.5 |
| +0.4 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -0.2 |
| -2.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.4 |
| +9.1 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 2 · 1 of 3 | -2.5 |
| -9.7 | All plays | +6.5 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 24.7 points to Miami (OH) RedHawks. The final margin was 20.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Miami (OH) RedHawks closed as the market favourite at 75% and won.
The line moved toward Akron Zips before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Akron +9.5 (-105)
Akron +9.5 (-109)
Miami (OH) -412 77%
Miami (OH) -362 75%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts119
- Completion %58.8%178th
- Passing yards834189th
- Yards per attempt7.0154th
- TD–INT6–5
- Rushing yards41052nd
- Season line84 carries, 410 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards290133rd
- Season line25 catches, 290 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles576th
- Attempts50
- Completion %56.0%
- Passing yards321
- Yards per attempt6.4
- TD–INT1–1
- Rushing yards206230th
- Season line55 carries, 206 yds
- Receiving yards309116th
- Season line17 catches, 309 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles4929th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Akron | Miami (OH) |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateAkron offense vs Miami (OH) defense | 40.0%106th | 42.4%55th |
| Early-down success rateMiami (OH) offense vs Akron defense | 44.2%83rd | 44.3%57th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAkron offense vs Miami (OH) defense | 32.0%113th | 43.3%94th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMiami (OH) offense vs Akron defense | 44.6%103rd | 31.6%116th |
| Explosive play rateAkron offense vs Miami (OH) defense | 5.5%102nd | 7.2%82nd |
| Explosive play rateMiami (OH) offense vs Akron defense | 7.9%104th | 9.0%17th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 54.4%34th-highest | 53.4%47th-highest |
On 3rd down Akron converts 32.0% (113th) against a Miami (OH) defense allowing 43.3% (94th).
On 3rd down Miami (OH) converts 31.6% (116th) against a Akron defense allowing 44.6% (103rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Akron | Miami (OH) |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Joe Moorhead | Chuck Martin |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 13th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 14–40 | 75–77 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 28–52 | 75–77 |
| Offensive coordinator | Joe Moorhead | Gus Ragland |
| Defensive coordinator | Tim Tibesar | Bill Brechin |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Akron won 0 and Miami (OH) 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Miami (OH) 20, Akron 7 Miami (OH) won | ||
| Nov 8, 2023 | Akron 0, Miami (OH) 19 Miami (OH) won | ||
| Oct 29, 2022 | Miami (OH) 27, Akron 9 Miami (OH) won | ||
| Oct 16, 2021 | Akron 21, Miami (OH) 34 Miami (OH) won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Akron Zips
- Akron Zips team stats
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
- Akron Zips 17, Central Michigan Chippewas 41 (Oct 3)
Miami (OH) RedHawks
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
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