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NCAAF · November 12, 2026

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs UL Monroe Warhawks Preview & Odds — November 12, 2026

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

5-3

Quarterback Lunch Winfield

UL Monroe Warhawks

2-6

Quarterback Aidan Armenta

Thursday, November 12 · 9:00 PM ET

ULOffense2026 regular season to dateULM

53rd+0.095

EPA/play

+0.00691st

27th50.2%

Success %

43.8%101st

48th28.9

PPG

18.2126th

ULDefenseULM

26th−0.059

EPA/play allowed

+0.170112th

20th42.9%

Success % allowed

48.0%91st

47th23.6

Opp PPG

34.4120th

ULRecent formULM

Wvs Arkansas State 23-20L@ Louisiana Tech 31-32Wvs Troy 33-6L@ Southern Miss 31-35Wvs South Alabama 28-26

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ South Alabama 35-52Lvs Louisiana Tech 0-24W@ Troy 21-14Lvs Southern Miss 21-35W@ Arkansas State 19-17

6-3

Record

2-7

6-3

ATS

3-6

Over–under

5-4

ULHome and roadseason to dateULM

5-0

Home record

0-4

1-3

Road record

2-3

3-2

Home ATS

0-4

3-1

Road ATS

3-2

0-5

Home O/U

3-1

Road O/U

2-3

ULLast 10 gamesULM

Game by game

6-3

Last 9

2-7

+73

Net points

-132

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

ULRest & travelULM

5 days

Days of rest

5 days

160 mi257 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Malone Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Louisiana (5-3) visits UL Monroe (2-6) on Thursday, November 12 at 9:00 PM ET.

Louisiana has the 53rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 26th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UL Monroe has the 91st-ranked offense and the 112th-ranked defense. When Louisiana has the ball, a 53rd-ranked offense (+0.095 EPA per play) meets a 112th-ranked defense (+0.170 allowed); when UL Monroe has it, a 91st-ranked offense (+0.006) meets a 26th-ranked defense (−0.059 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Louisiana offense is at 50.2% (27th) and the UL Monroe offense at 43.8% (101st). Louisiana scores 28.9 points per game (48th) and allows 23.6 (47th); UL Monroe scores 18.2 (126th) and allows 34.4 (120th).

Louisiana is 6-3 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 28-26 win over South Alabama. UL Monroe is 2-7 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 19-17 win over Arkansas State.

Louisiana is a 10.5-point road favorite, with UL Monroe getting the points at home. The spread opened at Louisiana -11.5. The total is 49.5, up from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Louisiana -425, UL Monroe +320) prices Louisiana at 77% and UL Monroe at 23%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenUL Monroe +11.5 (-110)
Louisiana -11.5 (-110)

NowUL Monroe +10.5 (-112)
Louisiana -10.5 (-105)

Totalup 1

Open48.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now49.5 (o -108 / u -112)

Moneyline

OpenLouisiana -420 77%
UL Monroe +325 23%

NowLouisiana -425 77%
UL Monroe +320 23%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 11

Louisiana -10.5-101ProphetX
UL Monroe +10.5-103ProphetX
Over 49.5+104ProphetX
Under 49.5-110FanDuel
Louisiana-365ProphetX
UL Monroe+355ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Louisiana

QB · Lunch Winfield

Attempts175
Completion %65.7%
Passing yards1,356
Yards per attempt7.7
TD–INT7–2

Leading rusher (QB) · Lunch Winfield

Rushing yards56774th
Season line129 carries, 567 yds, 10 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · KeDarius Wade

Receiving yards300313th
Season line16 catches, 300 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Jake St. Andre

Tackles6968th

UL Monroe

QB · Aidan Armenta

Attempts202
Completion %61.9%128th
Passing yards1,406174th
Yards per attempt7.0161st
TD–INT9–5

Leading rusher (QB) · Austin Carlisle

Rushing yards363195th
Season line65 carries, 363 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Marcellus Jackson

Receiving yards370212th
Season line35 catches, 370 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Noah Flemmings

Tackles8321st

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Louisiana	UL Monroe
Early-down success rateLouisiana offense vs UL Monroe defense	45.0%41st	44.1%92nd
Early-down success rateUL Monroe offense vs Louisiana defense	43.3%79th	39.5%114th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana offense vs UL Monroe defense	43.1%45th	43.4%95th
3rd-down conversion rateUL Monroe offense vs Louisiana defense	36.7%39th	34.7%111th
Explosive play rateLouisiana offense vs UL Monroe defense	6.0%100th	7.4%89th
Explosive play rateUL Monroe offense vs Louisiana defense	6.1%44th	3.4%137th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	39.4%127th-highest	47.7%93rd-highest

On 3rd down Louisiana converts 43.1% (45th) against a UL Monroe defense allowing 43.4% (95th).

On 3rd down UL Monroe converts 34.7% (111th) against a Louisiana defense allowing 36.7% (39th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Louisiana	UL Monroe
Head coach	Michael Desormeaux	Bryant Vincent
Tenureat this school	5th season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	35–28	10–23
Career recordas an FBS head coach	35–28	17–29
Offensive coordinator	Tim Leger	Jesse Montalto
Defensive coordinator	Jim Salgado	Troy Reffett

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Louisiana won 4 and UL Monroe 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 29, 2025	UL Monroe 27, Louisiana 30 Louisiana won
Nov 30, 2024	Louisiana 37, UL Monroe 23 Louisiana won
Nov 25, 2023	UL Monroe 21, Louisiana 52 Louisiana won
Sep 24, 2022	Louisiana 17, UL Monroe 21 UL Monroe won
Nov 27, 2021	UL Monroe 16, Louisiana 21 Louisiana won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams