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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

1-5

Quarterback Landry Lyddy

UL Monroe Warhawks

1-5

Quarterback Aidan Armenta

Saturday, October 31 · 3:30 PM ET

USMOffense2026 regular season to dateULM

69th+0.057

EPA/play

−0.054111th

93rd44.7%

Success %

42.4%116th

97th21.8

PPG

17.7124th

USMDefenseULM

115th+0.178

EPA/play allowed

+0.180117th

88th48.4%

Success % allowed

49.0%99th

127th37.3

Opp PPG

37.2126th

USMRecent formULM

Lvs UConn 20-48L@ Tulane 21-24L@ Troy 34-55Lvs Arkansas State 13-23Wvs Louisiana 35-31

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs SE Louisiana 35-38Lvs Florida Atlantic 17-45L@ South Alabama 35-52Lvs Louisiana Tech 0-24W@ Troy 21-14

2-5

Record

1-6

3-4

ATS

2-5

4-3

Over–under

4-3

USMHome and roadseason to dateULM

2-2

Home record

0-3

Road record

1-3

2-2

Home ATS

0-3

1-2

Road ATS

2-2

3-1

Home O/U

2-1

1-2

Road O/U

2-2

USMLast 10 gamesULM

Game by game

2-5

Last 7

1-6

-47

Net points

-120

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

USMRest & travelULM

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

181 mi291 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Malone Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Southern Miss (1-5) visits UL Monroe (1-5) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET.

Southern Miss has the 69th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 115th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UL Monroe has the 111th-ranked offense and the 117th-ranked defense. When Southern Miss has the ball, a 69th-ranked offense (+0.057 EPA per play) meets a 117th-ranked defense (+0.180 allowed); when UL Monroe has it, a 111th-ranked offense (−0.054) meets a 115th-ranked defense (+0.178 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Southern Miss offense is at 44.7% (93rd) and the UL Monroe offense at 42.4% (116th). Southern Miss scores 21.8 points per game (97th) and allows 37.3 (127th); UL Monroe scores 17.7 (124th) and allows 37.2 (126th).

Southern Miss is 2-5 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 35-31 win over Louisiana. UL Monroe is 1-6 and 2-5 against the spread; its last game was a 21-14 win over Troy.

Southern Miss is a 3.5-point road favorite, with UL Monroe getting the points at home. The spread opened at Southern Miss -3. The total is 56.5, up from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Southern Miss -165, UL Monroe +140) prices Southern Miss at 60% and UL Monroe at 40%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5

OpenUL Monroe +3 (-111)
Southern Miss -3 (-107)

NowUL Monroe +3.5 (-112)
Southern Miss -3.5 (-108)

Totalup 3

Open53.5 (o -111 / u -107)

Now56.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenSouthern Miss -140 56%
UL Monroe +115 44%

NowSouthern Miss -165 60%
UL Monroe +140 40%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Southern Miss -3.5+100Novig
UL Monroe +3.5-104Novig
Over 56.5-101ProphetX
Under 56.5-108Bally Bet
Southern Miss-160Novig
UL Monroe+156Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Southern Miss

QB · Landry Lyddy

Attempts160
Completion %58.8%
Passing yards1,109
Yards per attempt6.9
TD–INT7–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Steven Robinson

Rushing yards57743rd
Season line121 carries, 577 yds, 8 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Mario Sanders

Receiving yards56934th
Season line40 catches, 569 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Mathis Haygood

Tackles6328th

UL Monroe

QB · Aidan Armenta

Attempts153
Completion %62.1%123rd
Passing yards1,114187th
Yards per attempt7.3136th
TD–INT7–3

Leading rusher (QB) · Austin Carlisle

Rushing yards237257th
Season line44 carries, 237 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Marcellus Jackson

Receiving yards265267th
Season line32 catches, 265 yds

Leading tackler (LB) · Noah Flemmings

Tackles6523rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Southern Miss	UL Monroe
Early-down success rateSouthern Miss offense vs UL Monroe defense	43.1%71st	44.1%85th
Early-down success rateUL Monroe offense vs Southern Miss defense	43.5%75th	41.0%98th
3rd-down conversion rateSouthern Miss offense vs UL Monroe defense	25.7%137th	45.5%108th
3rd-down conversion rateUL Monroe offense vs Southern Miss defense	41.4%81st	25.8%136th
Explosive play rateSouthern Miss offense vs UL Monroe defense	8.5%26th	7.4%91st
Explosive play rateUL Monroe offense vs Southern Miss defense	7.1%80th	3.3%137th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	58.6%13th-highest	51.3%64th-highest

On 3rd down Southern Miss converts 25.7% (137th) against a UL Monroe defense allowing 45.5% (108th).

On 3rd down UL Monroe converts 25.8% (136th) against a Southern Miss defense allowing 41.4% (81st).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Southern Miss	UL Monroe
Head coach	Blake Anderson	Bryant Vincent
Tenureat this school	2nd season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	2–6	9–22
Career recordas an FBS head coach	76–60	16–28
Offensive coordinator	Kyle Cefalo	Jesse Montalto
Defensive coordinator	Joe Bolden	Troy Reffett

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Southern Miss won 3 and UL Monroe 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 25, 2025	UL Monroe 21, Southern Miss 49 Southern Miss won
Oct 12, 2024	Southern Miss 21, UL Monroe 38 UL Monroe won
Nov 4, 2023	UL Monroe 7, Southern Miss 24 Southern Miss won
Nov 26, 2022	Southern Miss 20, UL Monroe 10 Southern Miss won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams