Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Preview & Odds — November 12, 2026
MEMOffense2026 regular season to dateUSF
MEMDefenseUSFMEMRecent formUSFMEMHome and roadseason to dateUSFMEMLast 10 gamesUSFRest & travelrest and travel
MEMRest & travelUSFAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Memphis (6-2) visits South Florida (5-3) on Thursday, November 12 at 8:00 PM ET.
Memphis has the 35th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 27th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, South Florida has the 88th-ranked offense and the 17th-ranked defense. When Memphis has the ball, a 35th-ranked offense (+0.159 EPA per play) meets a 17th-ranked defense (−0.078 allowed); when South Florida has it, a 88th-ranked offense (+0.010) meets a 27th-ranked defense (−0.058 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Memphis offense is at 48.8% (40th) and the South Florida offense at 48.1% (48th). Memphis scores 36.6 points per game (12th) and allows 23.9 (48th); South Florida scores 21.8 (99th) and allows 14.9 (9th).
Memphis is 7-2; its last game was a 49-22 win over Army. South Florida is 6-3 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 loss to East Carolina.
Memphis is a 3.5-point road favorite, with South Florida getting the points at home. The spread opened at Memphis -7.5. The total is 50.5, up from 49.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Memphis -182, South Florida +150) prices Memphis at 62% and South Florida at 38%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Memphis -7.5 (-112)
Memphis -3.5 (-114)
South Florida +215 30%
South Florida +150 38%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 11
- Memphis -3.5-104Novig
- South Florida +3.5+102Novig
- Over 50.5-108BetMGM
- Under 50.5-110FanDuel
- Memphis-163Novig
- South Florida+155BetMGM
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts259
- Completion %69.1%20th
- Passing yards2,53220th
- Yards per attempt9.87th
- TD–INT25–6
- Rushing yards92913th
- Season line151 carries, 929 yds, 10 TD
- Receiving yards495109th
- Season line35 catches, 495 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles6788th
- Attempts181
- Completion %64.1%91st
- Passing yards1,273198th
- Yards per attempt7.0157th
- TD–INT6–0
- Rushing yards68938th
- Season line138 carries, 689 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards395193rd
- Season line38 catches, 395 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles50276th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Memphis | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateMemphis offense vs South Florida defense | 46.4%24th | 41.7%48th |
| Early-down success rateSouth Florida offense vs Memphis defense | 40.7%34th | 44.5%45th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMemphis offense vs South Florida defense | 44.9%32nd | 39.5%56th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSouth Florida offense vs Memphis defense | 32.3%12th | 36.2%102nd |
| Explosive play rateMemphis offense vs South Florida defense | 8.1%25th | 5.1%15th |
| Explosive play rateSouth Florida offense vs Memphis defense | 8.2%112th | 5.1%128th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 45.6%107th-highest | 43.1%122nd-highest |
On 3rd down Memphis converts 44.9% (32nd) against a South Florida defense allowing 39.5% (56th).
On 3rd down South Florida converts 36.2% (102nd) against a Memphis defense allowing 32.3% (12th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Memphis | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Charles Huff | Brian Hartline |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 7–2 | 6–3 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 46–27 | 6–3 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kevin Decker / David Weeks | Tim Beck |
| Defensive coordinator | Lance Guidry | Josh Aldridge |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Memphis won 3 and South Florida 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | South Florida 31, Memphis 34 Memphis won | ||
| Oct 12, 2024 neutral | Memphis 21, South Florida 3 Memphis won | ||
| Nov 4, 2023 | South Florida 50, Memphis 59 Memphis won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Memphis Tigers
- Memphis Tigers team stats
- Army Black Knights 22, Memphis Tigers 49 (Oct 31)
- East Carolina Pirates 34, Memphis Tigers 41 (Oct 22)
- Memphis Tigers 17, Tulane Green Wave 31 (Oct 16)
South Florida Bulls
More NCAAF games on November 12, 2026
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