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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

South Alabama Jaguars

3-4

Quarterback Jared Hollins

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

4-3

Quarterback Lunch Winfield

Saturday, November 7 · 5:00 PM ET

USAOffense2026 regular season to dateUL

23rd+0.190

EPA/play

+0.07959th

36th48.9%

Success %

48.5%40th

28th32.4

PPG

29.045th

USADefenseUL

130th+0.239

EPA/play allowed

−0.08619th

115th50.0%

Success % allowed

42.7%23rd

125th35.4

Opp PPG

23.347th

USARecent formUL

L@ Kentucky 21-45Wvs UL Monroe 52-35W@ Arkansas State 56-49L@ Marshall 13-20Lvs Louisiana Tech 20-35

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ Charlotte 34-7Wvs Arkansas State 23-20L@ Louisiana Tech 31-32Wvs Troy 33-6L@ Southern Miss 31-35

4-4

Record

5-3

4-4

ATS

6-2

5-3

Over–under

3-5

USAHome and roadseason to dateUL

3-1

Home record

4-0

1-3

Road record

1-3

2-2

Home ATS

3-1

2-2

Road ATS

3-1

2-2

Home O/U

0-4

3-1

Road O/U

3-1

USALast 10 gamesUL

Game by game

4-4

Last 8

5-3

Net points

+71

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

USARest & travelUL

7 days

Days of rest

14 days

232 mi373 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Cajun Field

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

South Alabama (3-4) visits Louisiana (4-3) on Saturday, November 7 at 5:00 PM ET.

South Alabama has the 23rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 130th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisiana has the 59th-ranked offense and the 19th-ranked defense. When South Alabama has the ball, a 23rd-ranked offense (+0.190 EPA per play) meets a 19th-ranked defense (−0.086 allowed); when Louisiana has it, a 59th-ranked offense (+0.079) meets a 130th-ranked defense (+0.239 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the South Alabama offense is at 48.9% (36th) and the Louisiana offense at 48.5% (40th). South Alabama scores 32.4 points per game (28th) and allows 35.4 (125th); Louisiana scores 29.0 (45th) and allows 23.3 (47th).

South Alabama is 4-4 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 35-20 loss to Louisiana Tech. Louisiana is 5-3 and 6-2 against the spread; its last game was a 35-31 loss to Southern Miss.

Louisiana is a 7.5-point favorite at home against South Alabama. The spread opened at Louisiana -7. The total is 57.5, down from 58.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (South Alabama +250, Louisiana -320) prices South Alabama at 27% and Louisiana at 73%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5

OpenLouisiana -7 (-110)
South Alabama +7 (-110)

NowLouisiana -7.5 (-110)
South Alabama +7.5 (-110)

Totaldown 1

Open58.5 (o -100 / u -120)

Now57.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenSouth Alabama +170 36%
Louisiana -202 64%

NowSouth Alabama +250 27%
Louisiana -320 73%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

South Alabama +7.5-105Hard Rock
Louisiana -7.5+102Novig
Over 57.5+102Novig
Under 57.5-108Novig
South Alabama+260Fanatics
Louisiana-264Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

Unlock every game with Analytics — $44.44/mo See today’s free game →

Matchup

Players to watch

South Alabama

QB · Jared Hollins

Attempts156
Completion %52.6%248th
Passing yards1,195192nd
Yards per attempt7.791st
TD–INT9–4

Leading rusher (RB) · Keenan Phillips

Rushing yards57656th
Season line107 carries, 576 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Brendan Jenkins

Receiving yards451101st
Season line27 catches, 451 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Cole Blaylock

Tackles46260th

Louisiana

QB · Lunch Winfield

Attempts162
Completion %64.8%
Passing yards1,209
Yards per attempt7.5
TD–INT6–1

Leading rusher (QB) · Lunch Winfield

Rushing yards47092nd
Season line110 carries, 470 yds, 9 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · KeDarius Wade

Receiving yards279285th
Season line13 catches, 279 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Jake St. Andre

Tackles6084th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	South Alabama	Louisiana
Early-down success rateSouth Alabama offense vs Louisiana defense	46.0%25th	43.8%84th
Early-down success rateLouisiana offense vs South Alabama defense	47.8%130th	43.9%54th
3rd-down conversion rateSouth Alabama offense vs Louisiana defense	40.0%69th	37.2%44th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana offense vs South Alabama defense	45.2%110th	40.4%65th
Explosive play rateSouth Alabama offense vs Louisiana defense	7.3%48th	5.7%38th
Explosive play rateLouisiana offense vs South Alabama defense	9.5%134th	5.2%119th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	38.9%130th-highest	40.7%127th-highest

On 3rd down South Alabama converts 40.0% (69th) against a Louisiana defense allowing 37.2% (44th).

On 3rd down Louisiana converts 40.4% (65th) against a South Alabama defense allowing 45.2% (110th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	South Alabama	Louisiana
Head coach	Major Applewhite	Michael Desormeaux
Tenureat this school	3rd season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	15–18	34–28
Career recordas an FBS head coach	30–29	34–28
Offensive coordinator	Major Applewhite	Tim Leger
Defensive coordinator	Todd Orlando / Jason Washington	Jim Salgado

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: South Alabama won 2 and Louisiana 3.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 1, 2025	Louisiana 31, South Alabama 22 Louisiana won
Nov 16, 2024	South Alabama 24, Louisiana 22 South Alabama won
Oct 28, 2023	Louisiana 33, South Alabama 20 Louisiana won
Oct 1, 2022	South Alabama 20, Louisiana 17 South Alabama won
Oct 2, 2021	Louisiana 20, South Alabama 18 Louisiana won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams