Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears Final — September 28, 2026
Final score and result vs the closing line
Philadelphia Eagles 7, Chicago Bears 27
Chicago Bears won by 20.
- Against the closing spread (Chicago Bears +3.5): Chicago Bears covered.
- Combined score 34 vs the closing total of 42.5: Under.
- Chicago Bears closed at +164 on the moneyline (a 36% no-vig market-implied chance).
The pre-game matchup
The Eagles (2-0) visited the Bears (1-1) at Soldier Field on Monday, September 28 at 8:15 PM ET in Week 3.
The Eagles have the 12th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 22nd-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Bears have the 7th-ranked offense and the 21st-ranked defense. When the Eagles have the ball, a 12th-ranked offense (+0.052 EPA per play) meets a 21st-ranked defense (+0.064 allowed); when the Bears have it, a 7th-ranked offense (+0.144) meets a 22nd-ranked defense (+0.066 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Eagles offense is at 38.2% (26th) and the Bears offense at 43.2% (18th). Through the air, the Eagles average +0.175 EPA per dropback (12th) against a Bears pass defense ranked 23rd; the Bears average +0.245 (8th) against a Eagles pass defense ranked 18th. The Eagles score 24.0 points per game (13th) and allow 21.0 (12th); the Bears score 31.0 (4th) and allow 23.0 (15th).
Caleb Williams has a 48.0% success rate (11th of 33 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Jalen Hurts' 43.6% (23rd). Per dropback, Williams is at +0.315 EPA to Hurts' +0.175, with 2 touchdown passes and 1 interception to Hurts' 5 and 2. Caleb Williams is listed as out on the injury report.
The Eagles are 2-0 and 0-2 against the spread; their last game was a 24-20 win over the Titans. The Bears are 1-1 and 1-1 against the spread; their last game was a 9-3 loss to the Vikings.
The Eagles closed as 3.5-point road favorites, with the Bears getting the points at home. The spread opened at Eagles -4.5. The total closed at 42.5, down from 43.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Eagles -197, Bears +164) prices the Eagles at 64% and the Bears at 36%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Tale of the tape
Eagles2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Quarterback matchup
- Dropbacks75
- Success rate43.6%23rd
- EPA per dropback+0.17514th
- Completion %64.5%21st
- CPOE+10.05th
- Yards per attempt7.511th
- TD–INT5–2
- Sack rate8.0%24th
- Dropbacks70
- Success rate48.0%11th
- EPA per dropback+0.3156th
- Completion %65.5%20th
- CPOE+6.213th
- Yards per attempt7.415th
- TD–INT2–1
- Sack rate7.1%20th
Primary passer = most dropbacks over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among 33 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game). Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
Players to watch
DeVonta Smith leads the Eagles wide receivers with 170 receiving yards (10th of 85 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 33.9%. Saquon Barkley has 92 rushing yards on 19 carries (26th of 45 qualified running backs). Kalif Raymond leads the Bears wide receivers with 124 receiving yards (21st of 85 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.0%. D'Andre Swift has 169 rushing yards on 34 carries (6th of 45 qualified running backs).
- Carries19
- Rush yards9226th
- Yards per carry4.89th
- EPA per rush−0.10923rd
- Rush success rate26.3%40th
- Targets / catches19 / 13
- Receiving yards17010th
- Target share33.9%5th
- Yards per target8.933rd
- EPA per target+0.11051st
- Targets / catches7 / 5
- Receiving yards8110th
- Target share12.5%22nd
- Yards per target11.63rd
- EPA per target+1.0972nd
- Carries34
- Rush yards1696th
- Yards per carry5.08th
- EPA per rush+0.01012th
- Rush success rate41.2%18th
- Targets / catches14 / 13
- Receiving yards12421st
- Target share25.0%18th
- Yards per target8.935th
- EPA per target+0.83316th
- Targets / catches5 / 1
- Receiving yards333rd
- Target share8.9%31st
- Yards per target0.633rd
- EPA per target−0.50530th
Lead back = most carries and lead receivers = most targets over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Eagles | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateEagles offense vs Bears defense | 31.1%31st | 41.6%12th |
| Early-down success rateBears offense vs Eagles defense | 39.1%7th | 40.6%21st |
| Early-down EPA per playEagles offense vs Bears defense | −0.11024th | +0.13827th |
| Early-down EPA per playBears offense vs Eagles defense | −0.07210th | +0.0899th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateEagles offense vs Bears defense | 53.1%4th | 31.8%9th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBears offense vs Eagles defense | 39.3%18th | 51.7%5th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playEagles offense vs Bears defense | +0.4294th | −0.18913th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playBears offense vs Eagles defense | +0.29923rd | +0.4343rd |
| Red-zone TD rateEagles offense vs Bears defense | 71.4%8th | 80.0%26th |
| Red-zone TD rateBears offense vs Eagles defense | 71.4%18th | 57.1%20th |
| Red-zone success rateEagles offense vs Bears defense | 47.1%11th | 81.8%32nd |
| Red-zone success rateBears offense vs Eagles defense | 55.2%25th | 40.0%19th |
On early downs the Eagles succeed on 31.1% of plays (31st) against a Bears defense that allows 41.6% (12th); on 3rd down they convert 53.1% (4th) against a defense allowing 31.8% (9th). On early downs the Bears succeed on 40.6% of plays (21st) against a Eagles defense that allows 39.1% (7th); on 3rd down they convert 51.7% (5th) against a defense allowing 39.3% (18th). The Eagles score touchdowns on 71.4% of red-zone trips (8th). The Bears score touchdowns on 57.1% of red-zone trips (20th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Eagles | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Nick Sirianni | Ben Johnson |
| Offensive coordinator | Sean Mannion | Press Taylor |
| Defensive coordinator | Vic Fangio | Dennis Allen |
| Offense tendencies | Eagles | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.4% | −8.3%27th-highest | −5.8%24th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.0% | 61.0%13th-highest | 56.8%23rd-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.7% | 51.1%22nd-highest | 50.9%25th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 58.4% | 68.3%5th-highest | 47.5%26th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.2% | 16.3%1st-highest | 5.8%15th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 33.1 | 33.513th-slowest | 32.125th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.3% | 17.4%10th | 16.4%14th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 11.6%7th | 9.6%13th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 2.1%31st | 11.9%10th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.5% | 8.0%23rd | 7.6%20th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 1.63%15th | 2.16%22nd |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 59.8 | 61.510th-most | 69.54th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 60.0% | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Defense | Eagles | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.5% | 4.8%25th | 7.5%11th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.3% | 16.9%22nd | 24.2%30th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 8.5%16th | 12.9%29th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 8.9%12th | 8.9%11th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 0.00%30th | 1.77%14th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 16.1% | 8.1%30th | 13.4%23rd |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 16.1% | 17.3%21st | 16.5%16th |
The Eagles run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−8.3% pass rate over expected, 27th-highest), while the Bears sit at −5.8% (24th-highest). In neutral situations the Eagles take 33.5 seconds between snaps and the Bears 32.1, so the Bears play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Eagles have gone for it 1 of 3 times and the Bears 2 of 2.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest. Coaching staff: Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Injury report
- Fred Johnson TOutKnee
- Dallas Goedert TEOutKnee
- Caleb Williams QBOutHamstring
Starters (and the primary passer) on the game's official injury report, as of the latest report captured before kickoff.
Travel and schedule
The Eagles have 8 days between games and the Bears 8. The Eagles travel about 664 miles, moving their body clock 1 hour back. It is their 2nd straight game away from home.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Recent form and rest
EaglesBearsLast five results this season, oldest to newest. Against-the-spread and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 6 times since 2015: the Eagles won 5 and the Bears 1. In the most recent meeting (November 28, 2025), the Bears won 24-15; the Bears averaged +0.042 EPA per play; the Eagles averaged −0.036 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Bears 24, Eagles 15 Bears won | Eagles -7 Bears covered | 43.5 under | Bears +0.042 · Eagles −0.036 |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Eagles 25, Bears 20 Eagles won | Eagles -8.5 Bears covered | 48 under | Bears −0.124 · Eagles +0.015 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Bears 14, Eagles 22 Eagles won | Eagles -5 Eagles covered | 41 under | Bears −0.112 · Eagles +0.064 |
| Jan 6, 2019 playoffs | Eagles 16, Bears 15 Eagles won | Bears -6.5 Eagles covered | 42.5 under | Bears +0.029 · Eagles −0.045 |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Bears 3, Eagles 31 Eagles won | Eagles -14 Eagles covered | 43.5 under | Bears −0.447 · Eagles +0.104 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the nflverse closing lines.
Closing line and line movement
Eagles -4.5 (-111)
Eagles -3.5 (-108)
Bears +170 35%
Bears +164 36%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Dig deeper
Teams
Philadelphia Eagles
- Philadelphia Eagles team stats
- Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles (Oct 4)
- Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20 (Sep 20)
- Washington Commanders 22, Philadelphia Eagles 24 (Sep 13)
Chicago Bears
- Chicago Bears team stats
- New York Jets at Chicago Bears (Oct 4)
- Minnesota Vikings 9, Chicago Bears 3 (Sep 20)
- Chicago Bears 59, Carolina Panthers 37 (Sep 13)
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