Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks Preview & Odds — November 2, 2026
CHIStarting quarterbacksexpected startersSEA
CHIOffense2026 regular season to dateSEACHIDefenseSEACHIRecent formSEACHIHome and roadseason to dateSEARest & travelrest and travel
CHIRest & travelSEAAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
The Bears (5-2) visit the Seahawks (4-3) at Lumen Field on Monday, November 2 at 8:20 PM ET in Week 8.
The Bears have the 12th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 16th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have the 21st-ranked offense and the 2nd-ranked defense. When the Bears have the ball, a 12th-ranked offense (+0.047 EPA per play) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.131 allowed); when the Seahawks have it, a 21st-ranked offense (−0.040) meets a 16th-ranked defense (−0.002 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Bears offense is at 46.7% (10th) and the Seahawks offense at 42.1% (19th). Through the air, the Bears average +0.133 EPA per dropback (9th) against a Seahawks pass defense ranked 2nd; the Seahawks average +0.099 (16th) against a Bears pass defense ranked 16th. The Bears score 25.7 points per game (8th) and allow 20.4 (9th); the Seahawks score 24.0 (13th) and allow 17.9 (4th).
Over the last five games, the Bears rank 18th on offense and 12th on defense by EPA per play; the Seahawks rank 28th and 3rd.
Caleb Williams has a 50.0% success rate (8th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Sam Darnold's 44.4% (22nd). Per dropback, Williams is at +0.317 EPA to Darnold's −0.008, with 5 touchdown passes and 1 interception to Darnold's 8 and 8.
The Bears are 5-2 and 5-2 against the spread; their last game was a 30-24 win over the Patriots. The Seahawks are 4-3 and 2-3-2 against the spread; their last game was a 20-3 win over the Chiefs.
The Seahawks are 3-point favorites at home against the Bears. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 46.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Bears +145, Seahawks -175) prices the Bears at 39% and the Seahawks at 61%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Bears +3 (-102)
Bears +3 (-105)
Seahawks -185 62%
Seahawks -175 61%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Bears +3+104ProphetX
- Seahawks -3-110ProphetX
- Over 46.5-108Novig
- Under 46.5+100Novig
- Bears+160ProphetX
- Seahawks-163Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Rome Odunze has 381 receiving yards for the Bears (21st of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 17.0%. D'Andre Swift has 476 rushing yards on 116 carries (11th of 39 qualified running backs). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 867 receiving yards for the Seahawks (1st of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 36.3%. Emanuel Wilson has 403 rushing yards on 111 carries (17th of 39 qualified running backs).
- Carries116
- Rush yards47611th
- Yards per carry4.120th
- EPA per rush−0.06018th
- Rush success rate44.0%11th
- Targets / catches38 / 24
- Receiving yards38121st
- Target share17.0%48th
- Yards per target10.014th
- EPA per target+0.43325th
- Targets / catches42 / 26
- Receiving yards24416th
- Target share18.8%9th
- Yards per target5.832nd
- EPA per target−0.04131st
- Carries111
- Rush yards40317th
- Yards per carry3.627th
- EPA per rush−0.14827th
- Rush success rate36.0%26th
- Targets / catches78 / 58
- Receiving yards8671st
- Target share36.3%1st
- Yards per target11.15th
- EPA per target+0.7514th
- Targets / catches29 / 19
- Receiving yards18026th
- Target share13.5%25th
- Yards per target6.226th
- EPA per target−0.26534th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Bears | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateBears offense vs Seahawks defense | 45.8%10th | 35.4%1st |
| Early-down success rateSeahawks offense vs Bears defense | 44.4%22nd | 42.0%19th |
| Early-down EPA per playBears offense vs Seahawks defense | +0.00916th | −0.1342nd |
| Early-down EPA per playSeahawks offense vs Bears defense | +0.14632nd | −0.06725th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBears offense vs Seahawks defense | 44.0%7th | 28.0%2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSeahawks offense vs Bears defense | 26.1%1st | 38.9%19th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playBears offense vs Seahawks defense | +0.1765th | −0.3903rd |
| 3rd-down EPA per playSeahawks offense vs Bears defense | −0.4032nd | +0.03111th |
| Red-zone TD rateBears offense vs Seahawks defense | 53.3%22nd | 84.6%32nd |
| Red-zone TD rateSeahawks offense vs Bears defense | 68.8%23rd | 54.5%20th |
| Red-zone success rateBears offense vs Seahawks defense | 45.0%12th | 48.5%23rd |
| Red-zone success rateSeahawks offense vs Bears defense | 51.1%30th | 40.0%19th |
On early downs the Bears succeed on 45.8% of plays (10th) against a Seahawks defense that allows 35.4% (1st); on 3rd down they convert 44.0% (7th) against a defense allowing 28.0% (2nd). On early downs the Seahawks succeed on 42.0% of plays (19th) against a Bears defense that allows 44.4% (22nd); on 3rd down they convert 38.9% (19th) against a defense allowing 26.1% (1st). The Bears score touchdowns on 53.3% of red-zone trips (22nd). The Seahawks score touchdowns on 54.5% of red-zone trips (20th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Bears | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ben Johnson | Mike Macdonald |
| Offensive coordinator | Press Taylor | Brian Fleury |
| Defensive coordinator | Dennis Allen | Aden Durde |
| Offense tendencies | Bears | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9% | −0.6%11th-highest | −5.4%26th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9% | 55.7%31st-highest | 56.1%29th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3% | 51.3%25th-highest | 49.0%30th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 53.3%27th-highest | 50.6%29th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 4.6%20th-highest | 2.7%28th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 32.621st-slowest | 34.73rd-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 15.1%18th | 17.2%12th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 10.8%5th | 9.5%10th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 9.6%15th | 8.2%21st |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0% | 6.5%19th | 6.4%18th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 2.21%22nd | 2.93%30th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 71.01st-most | 63.39th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8% | 10 of 12 | 6 of 8 |
| Defense | Bears | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.0% | 8.4%3rd | 6.8%10th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 20.5%31st | 8.6%1st |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 11.2%30th | 3.9%1st |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 10.6%22nd | 6.4%4th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 1.99%14th | 2.46%8th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5% | 17.0%9th | 21.3%3rd |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5% | 14.4%11th | 19.4%30th |
The Bears run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−0.6% pass rate over expected, 11th-highest), while the Seahawks sit at −5.4% (26th-highest). In neutral situations the Bears take 32.6 seconds between snaps and the Seahawks 34.7, so the Bears play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Bears have gone for it 10 of 12 times and the Seahawks 6 of 8.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2015: the Bears won 2 and the Seahawks 2. In the most recent meeting (December 26, 2024), the Seahawks won 6-3; the Bears averaged −0.209 EPA per play; the Seahawks averaged −0.171 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2024 | Seahawks 6, Bears 3 Seahawks won | Seahawks -3.5 Bears covered | 43.5 under | Bears −0.209 · Seahawks −0.171 |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Bears 25, Seahawks 24 Bears won | Seahawks -7 Bears covered | 41 over | Bears +0.074 · Seahawks +0.154 |
| Sep 17, 2018 | Seahawks 17, Bears 24 Bears won | Bears -5 Bears covered | 42.5 under | Bears −0.086 · Seahawks −0.204 |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Bears 0, Seahawks 26 Seahawks won | Seahawks -16.5 Seahawks covered | 43.5 under | Bears −0.276 · Seahawks +0.080 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Chicago Bears
- Chicago Bears team stats
- New England Patriots 24, Chicago Bears 30 (Oct 22)
- Chicago Bears 31, Atlanta Falcons 23 (Oct 18)
- Chicago Bears 7, Green Bay Packers 31 (Oct 11)
Seattle Seahawks
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