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NFL · Week 9 · November 8, 2026

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Final — November 8, 2026

New York Giants logo
4-2-1
19
Quarterback J.J. McCarthy Status pending
FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles logo
2-6
11
Quarterback Joe Milton Status pending
Sunday, November 8 · 1:00 PM ETLincoln Financial Field · outdoorsWeek 9
NYGStarting quarterbacksexpected startersPHI
6th+0.276
EPA/dropback
—
28th41.2%
Success %
—
5th+7.1
CPOE
—
29th8.2%
Sack %
—
1–1
TD–INT
0–0
49
Dropbacks
0
NYGOffense2026 regular season to datePHI
16th+0.013
EPA/play
−0.12731st
19th42.1%
Success %
37.2%31st
15th+0.074
EPA/dropback
−0.11828th
17th−0.074
EPA/rush
−0.14324th
13th23.3
PPG
17.130th
NYGDefensePHI
17th+0.011
EPA/play allowed
+0.10229th
14th43.2%
Success % allowed
45.4%23rd
18th+0.063
EPA/dropback allowed
+0.14125th
21st−0.066
EPA/rush allowed
+0.05132nd
15th23.0
Opp PPG
25.221st
NYGRecent formPHI
Wvs TEN 12-7Wvs ARI 36-24T@ WAS 27-27Lvs NO 27-34W@ HOU 27-21
Resultsoldest to newest
Lvs LA 20-24L@ JAX 17-19Lvs CAR 14-25Lvs DAL 21-38L@ WAS 10-27
4-2-1
Record
2-6
5-2
ATS
1-7
5-2
Over–under
4-4
NYGHome and roadseason to datePHI
3-1
Home record
1-3
1-1-1
Road record
1-3
3-1
Home ATS
0-4
2-1
Road ATS
1-3
3-1
Home O/U
3-1
2-1
Road O/U
1-3
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
NYGRest & travelPHI
14 daysoff a bye
Days of rest
7 days
85 mi137 km
Travel to the game
Home
VenueLincoln Financial Field
Outdoors
NYGKey injuriesPHI
Cam Skattebo RBDoubtful
Players out or limited
Tanner McKee QBQuestionableDeVonta Smith WROutDontayvion Wicks WROutJihaad Campbell LBOut +1 more starter listed
About these numbers

Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 35 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.

The pre-game matchup

The Giants (4-2-1) visited the Eagles (2-6) at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 9.

The Giants have the 16th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 17th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Eagles have the 31st-ranked offense and the 29th-ranked defense. When the Giants have the ball, a 16th-ranked offense (+0.013 EPA per play) meets a 29th-ranked defense (+0.102 allowed); when the Eagles have it, a 31st-ranked offense (−0.127) meets a 17th-ranked defense (+0.011 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Giants offense is at 42.1% (19th) and the Eagles offense at 37.2% (31st). Through the air, the Giants average +0.074 EPA per dropback (15th) against a Eagles pass defense ranked 25th; the Eagles average −0.118 (28th) against a Giants pass defense ranked 18th. The Giants score 23.3 points per game (13th) and allow 23.0 (15th); the Eagles score 17.1 (30th) and allow 25.2 (21st).

Over the last five games, the Giants rank 16th on offense and 7th on defense by EPA per play; the Eagles rank 31st and 31st.

J.J. McCarthy has a 41.2% success rate on 49 dropbacks for the Giants this season.

The Giants are 4-2-1 and 5-2 against the spread; their last game was a 27-21 win over the Texans. The Eagles are 2-6 and 1-7 against the spread; their last game was a 27-10 loss to the Commanders. The Giants are coming off a bye.

The Giants closed as 3-point road favorites, with the Eagles getting the points at home. The spread opened at Giants -2.5. The total closed at 37.5, down from 40.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Giants -154, Eagles +131) prices the Giants at 58% and the Eagles at 42%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

New York Giants 19, Philadelphia Eagles 11

New York Giants won by 8.

  • Against the closing spread (Philadelphia Eagles +3): New York Giants covered.
  • Combined score 30 vs the closing total of 37.5: Under.
  • New York Giants closed at -154 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

58%Market at the close42%
New York GiantsPhiladelphia Eagles
56%Market at the open44%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward New York Giants.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (New York Giants 58%, Philadelphia Eagles 42%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Market start1Q2 14:21: Philadelphia Eagles 48% to 59%2Q2 13:37: New York Giants 43% to 56%3Q2 2:00: New York Giants 42% to 53%4Q3 9:00: New York Giants 44% to 54%5Q3 4:57: New York Giants 54% to 64%■ Eagles■ Giants
 

Biggest swings

  1. Q2 14:21 — Philadelphia Eagles ball, 4th & 2 at PHI 1410-B.Mann punts 44 yards to NYG 42, Center-41-R.Underwood. 89-C.Jones MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by PHI-41-R.Underwood at NYG 47. Penalty on NYG-31-N.Jones, Offensive Holding, declined.Philadelphia Eagles 48% → 59% (+11 pts) · Drive 6 in Drive X-Ray
  2. Q2 13:37 — Philadelphia Eagles ball, 3rd & 5 at NYG 42(Shotgun) 14-J.Milton sacked at 50 for -8 yards (52-A.Reese). FUMBLES (52-A.Reese) [52-A.Reese], RECOVERED by NYG-41-M.McFadden at 50.New York Giants 43% → 56% (+12 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
  3. Q2 2:00 — Philadelphia Eagles ball, 4th & 1 at NYG 40(Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley up the middle to NYG 41 for -1 yards (8-J.Holland).New York Giants 42% → 53% (+11 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
  4. Q3 9:00 — New York Giants ball, 3rd & 15 at NYG 19(Shotgun) 19-J.Winston pass short right to 88-M.Fields pushed ob at NYG 35 for 16 yards (2-T.Woolen).New York Giants 44% → 54% (+10 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray
  5. Q3 4:57 — New York Giants ball, 2nd & 11 at PHI 46(Shotgun) 19-J.Winston pass deep right to 17-D.Mooney to PHI 19 for 27 yards (33-C.DeJean) [52-J.Greenard].New York Giants 54% → 64% (+10 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray

New York Giants won after falling as low as 39% (Q2 3:13).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

GiantsPoints addedEagles
-11.6Passingdropbacks
-19.5
-9.1Rushingdesigned runs
-7.1
+14.8Explosive plays6 plays · 8 plays
+10.5
+0.0Turnovers0 giveaways · 2 giveaways
+0.2
+7.2Special teamskicks, punts and returns
+0.7
-1.2Penalties9 for 86 yds · 6 for 56 yds
+1.7
+1.4Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 1 · 1 of 1
+1.8
+1.6All plays
-11.8
Bar left: Giants gainedBar right: Eagles gained

The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 7.9 points to New York Giants. The final margin was 8.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playOver 39.5 -1080.5uLOSS -0.54u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

New York Giants closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.

The line moved toward New York Giants before kickoff, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5
OpenEagles +2.5 (-105)
Giants -2.5 (-115)
CloseEagles +3 (-116)
Giants -3 (-104)
Totaldown 3
Open40.5 (o -115 / u -105)
Close37.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenGiants -139 56%
Eagles +115 44%
CloseGiants -154 58%
Eagles +131 42%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Matchup

Players to watch

Malik Nabers has 605 receiving yards for the Giants (9th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 30.0%. Makai Lemon has 251 receiving yards for the Eagles (57th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 17.9%.

New York Giants logo
Giants
RB · Najee Harris
  • Carries31
  • Rush yards99
  • Yards per carry3.2
  • EPA per rush−0.399
  • Rush success rate22.6%
WR · Malik Nabers
  • Targets / catches70 / 48
  • Receiving yards6059th
  • Target share30.0%6th
  • Yards per target8.629th
  • EPA per target+0.24842nd
TE · Isaiah Likely
  • Targets / catches63 / 41
  • Receiving yards3957th
  • Target share27.0%3rd
  • Yards per target6.326th
  • EPA per target+0.21021st
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Eagles
RB · Dameon Pierce
  • Carries37
  • Rush yards96
  • Yards per carry2.6
  • EPA per rush−0.159
  • Rush success rate37.8%
WR · Makai Lemon
  • Targets / catches45 / 31
  • Receiving yards25157th
  • Target share17.9%46th
  • Yards per target5.672nd
  • EPA per target+0.07459th
TE · Dallas Goedert
  • Targets / catches35 / 26
  • Receiving yards25817th
  • Target share17.3%15th
  • Yards per target7.419th
  • EPA per target+0.26316th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

Early-down success rate40.2% / 36.8%league 43.3%
3rd-down conversion rate43.0% / 37.3%league 39.8%
Red-zone TD rate66.7% / 71.4%league 60.3%
SituationGiantsEagles
Early-down success rateGiants offense vs Eagles defense40.2%25th43.8%18th
Early-down success rateEagles offense vs Giants defense43.3%15th36.8%30th
Early-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Eagles defense−0.01820th+0.05022nd
Early-down EPA per playEagles offense vs Giants defense+0.05223rd−0.10130th
3rd-down conversion rateGiants offense vs Eagles defense43.0%9th41.4%18th
3rd-down conversion rateEagles offense vs Giants defense39.8%16th37.3%24th
3rd-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Eagles defense+0.00711th+0.17428th
3rd-down EPA per playEagles offense vs Giants defense−0.09810th−0.08218th
Red-zone TD rateGiants offense vs Eagles defense66.7%11th60.0%14th
Red-zone TD rateEagles offense vs Giants defense77.8%29th71.4%4th
Red-zone success rateGiants offense vs Eagles defense43.4%15th49.1%25th
Red-zone success rateEagles offense vs Giants defense40.0%10th43.3%16th

On early downs the Giants succeed on 40.2% of plays (25th) against a Eagles defense that allows 43.8% (18th); on 3rd down they convert 43.0% (9th) against a defense allowing 41.4% (18th). On early downs the Eagles succeed on 36.8% of plays (30th) against a Giants defense that allows 43.3% (15th); on 3rd down they convert 37.3% (24th) against a defense allowing 39.8% (16th). The Giants score touchdowns on 66.7% of red-zone trips (11th). The Eagles score touchdowns on 71.4% of red-zone trips (4th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

Giants head coachJohn Harbaugh
Eagles head coachNick Sirianni
StaffGiantsEagles
Head coachJohn HarbaughNick Sirianni
Offensive coordinatorMatt NagySean Mannion
Defensive coordinatorDennard WilsonVic Fangio
Pass rate over expected−5.1% / −2.5%league −2.1%
Seconds per snap35.2 / 33.0league 33.0
Early-down dropback rate53.8% / 56.9%league 54.9%
Offense tendenciesGiantsEagles
Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.1%−5.1%27th-highest−2.5%19th-highest
Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.4%58.8%20th-highest64.6%7th-highest
Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.9%53.8%18th-highest56.9%11th-highest
Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4%62.8%16th-highest72.2%4th-highest
No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5%7.7%10th-highest16.1%2nd-highest
Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 33.035.21st-slowest33.018th-slowest
Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4%18.0%9th13.3%24th
Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6%9.4%11th5.2%31st
Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.5%7.5%22nd4.8%32nd
Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.2%7.8%25th7.4%22nd
Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.92%2.19%21st1.67%13th
Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.464.67th-most59.822nd-most
4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.3%5 of 76 of 9
DefenseGiantsEagles
Sack rate generatedleague 6.2%3.7%30th3.3%32nd
Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4%15.0%15th17.8%25th
Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6%7.3%8th9.8%21st
Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.5%11.4%28th8.9%13th
Takeaways per playleague 1.92%1.95%16th0.76%32nd
QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.6%10.7%31st9.7%32nd
QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.6%17.4%24th16.2%18th

The Giants run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−5.1% pass rate over expected, 27th-highest), while the Eagles sit at −2.5% (19th-highest). In neutral situations the Giants take 35.2 seconds between snaps and the Eagles 33.0, so the Eagles play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Giants have gone for it 5 of 7 times and the Eagles 6 of 9.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Giants offense
after wk 618thafter wk 714thafter wk 816th
rising
Giants defense
after wk 621stafter wk 718thafter wk 817th
rising
Eagles offense
after wk 630thafter wk 730thafter wk 831st
falling
Eagles defense
after wk 627thafter wk 728thafter wk 829th
falling

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 23 times since 2015: the Giants won 5 and the Eagles 18. In the most recent meeting (October 26, 2025), the Eagles won 38-20; the Giants averaged +0.090 EPA per play; the Eagles averaged +0.456 EPA per play.

DateScoreSpreadTotalEPA/play
Oct 26, 2025Giants 20, Eagles 38
Eagles won
Eagles -7
Eagles covered
43.5
over
Giants +0.090 · Eagles +0.456
Oct 9, 2025Eagles 17, Giants 34
Giants won
Eagles -7
Giants covered
40.5
over
Giants +0.252 · Eagles −0.097
Jan 5, 2025Giants 13, Eagles 20
Eagles won
Eagles -3
Eagles covered
36.5
under
Giants −0.119 · Eagles −0.040
Oct 20, 2024Eagles 28, Giants 3
Eagles won
Eagles -3
Eagles covered
42
under
Giants −0.427 · Eagles +0.147
Jan 7, 2024Eagles 10, Giants 27
Giants won
Eagles -4.5
Giants covered
43
under
Giants +0.088 · Eagles −0.282

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.

Teams

New York Giants

Philadelphia Eagles

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

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