Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers Preview & Odds — October 29, 2026
CARStarting quarterbacksexpected startersGB
CAROffense2026 regular season to dateGBCARDefenseGBCARRecent formGBCARHome and roadseason to dateGBRest & travelrest and travel
CARRest & travelGBAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
The Panthers (3-3) visit the Packers (4-3) at Lambeau Field on Thursday, October 29 at 8:15 PM ET in Week 8.
The Panthers have the 9th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 20th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Packers have the 16th-ranked offense and the 4th-ranked defense. When the Panthers have the ball, a 9th-ranked offense (+0.063 EPA per play) meets a 4th-ranked defense (−0.057 allowed); when the Packers have it, a 16th-ranked offense (−0.003) meets a 20th-ranked defense (+0.024 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Panthers offense is at 43.6% (15th) and the Packers offense at 39.2% (28th). Through the air, the Panthers average +0.114 EPA per dropback (14th) against a Packers pass defense ranked 5th; the Packers average +0.121 (12th) against a Panthers pass defense ranked 14th. The Panthers score 26.5 points per game (6th) and allow 27.7 (27th); the Packers score 20.6 (24th) and allow 20.7 (11th).
Over the last five games, the Panthers rank 14th on offense and 9th on defense by EPA per play; the Packers rank 12th and 10th.
Bryce Young has a 44.4% success rate (21st of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Jordan Love's 41.6% (26th). Per dropback, Young is at +0.097 EPA to Love's +0.118, with 12 touchdown passes and 4 interceptions to Love's 13 and 5.
The Panthers are 3-3 and 3-3 against the spread; their last game was a 43-13 loss to the Buccaneers. The Packers are 4-3 and 4-3 against the spread; their last game was a 20-17 loss to the Lions. Both teams are on a short week.
The Packers are 3.5-point favorites at home against the Panthers. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 47.5, up from 46.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Panthers +160, Packers -195) prices the Panthers at 37% and the Packers at 63%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Panthers +3.5 (-109)
Panthers +3.5 (-109)
Packers -182 62%
Packers -195 63%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Panthers +3.5+103ProphetX
- Packers -3.5-104Novig
- Over 47.5+102Novig
- Under 47.5-105theScore Bet
- Panthers+178Novig
- Packers-185DraftKings
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Tetairoa McMillan has 511 receiving yards for the Panthers (11th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.6%. Chuba Hubbard has 459 rushing yards on 96 carries (13th of 39 qualified running backs). Matthew Golden has 540 receiving yards for the Packers (9th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 26.2%. MarShawn Lloyd has 142 rushing yards on 54 carries (38th of 39 qualified running backs).
- Carries96
- Rush yards45913th
- Yards per carry4.88th
- EPA per rush+0.1044th
- Rush success rate49.0%5th
- Targets / catches54 / 36
- Receiving yards51111th
- Target share25.6%17th
- Yards per target9.519th
- EPA per target+0.42926th
- Targets / catches23 / 14
- Receiving yards19823rd
- Target share10.9%31st
- Yards per target8.68th
- EPA per target+0.4148th
- Carries54
- Rush yards14238th
- Yards per carry2.639th
- EPA per rush−0.34939th
- Rush success rate31.5%33rd
- Targets / catches69 / 36
- Receiving yards5409th
- Target share26.2%10th
- Yards per target7.840th
- EPA per target+0.08855th
- Targets / catches43 / 29
- Receiving yards29710th
- Target share16.4%18th
- Yards per target6.919th
- EPA per target+0.33411th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Panthers | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success ratePanthers offense vs Packers defense | 44.2%15th | 43.7%16th |
| Early-down success ratePackers offense vs Panthers defense | 43.7%15th | 38.8%26th |
| Early-down EPA per playPanthers offense vs Packers defense | +0.1365th | −0.1003rd |
| Early-down EPA per playPackers offense vs Panthers defense | +0.06224th | −0.06324th |
| 3rd-down conversion ratePanthers offense vs Packers defense | 41.0%12th | 44.6%25th |
| 3rd-down conversion ratePackers offense vs Panthers defense | 44.4%24th | 35.6%27th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playPanthers offense vs Packers defense | −0.10824th | +0.19626th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playPackers offense vs Panthers defense | −0.03716th | −0.00614th |
| Red-zone TD ratePanthers offense vs Packers defense | 68.2%8th | 60.7%17th |
| Red-zone TD ratePackers offense vs Panthers defense | 76.5%28th | 48.0%28th |
| Red-zone success ratePanthers offense vs Packers defense | 50.0%7th | 50.6%29th |
| Red-zone success ratePackers offense vs Panthers defense | 49.2%26th | 39.5%20th |
On early downs the Panthers succeed on 44.2% of plays (15th) against a Packers defense that allows 43.7% (16th); on 3rd down they convert 41.0% (12th) against a defense allowing 44.6% (25th). On early downs the Packers succeed on 38.8% of plays (26th) against a Panthers defense that allows 43.7% (15th); on 3rd down they convert 35.6% (27th) against a defense allowing 44.4% (24th). The Panthers score touchdowns on 68.2% of red-zone trips (8th). The Packers score touchdowns on 48.0% of red-zone trips (28th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Panthers | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dave Canales | Matt LaFleur |
| Offensive coordinator | Brad Idzik | Adam Stenavich |
| Defensive coordinator | Ejiro Evero | Jonathan Gannon |
| Offense tendencies | Panthers | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9% | 4.2%2nd-highest | 3.6%3rd-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9% | 65.8%4th-highest | 67.8%1st-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3% | 62.8%1st-highest | 61.2%5th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 63.3%14th-highest | 69.4%6th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 6.4%13th-highest | 8.1%9th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 28.532nd-slowest | 33.016th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 18.8%5th | 15.8%16th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 10.0%7th | 11.0%3rd |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 11.3%8th | 7.4%24th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0% | 6.6%20th | 4.9%9th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 1.53%15th | 1.89%17th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 65.07th-most | 60.319th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8% | 4 of 7 | 8 of 10 |
| Defense | Panthers | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.0% | 4.8%23rd | 5.8%19th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 11.6%4th | 13.1%7th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 5.1%2nd | 5.4%3rd |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 11.5%30th | 8.4%11th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 1.55%21st | 2.83%2nd |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5% | 12.8%28th | 14.2%20th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5% | 16.0%20th | 18.5%29th |
The Panthers pass more often than down, distance and score would suggest (4.2% pass rate over expected, 2nd-highest), while the Packers sit at 3.6% (3rd-highest). In neutral situations the Panthers take 28.5 seconds between snaps and the Packers 33.0, so the Panthers play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Panthers have gone for it 4 of 7 times and the Packers 8 of 10.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 6 times since 2015: the Panthers won 3 and the Packers 3. In the most recent meeting (November 2, 2025), the Panthers won 16-13; the Panthers averaged +0.095 EPA per play; the Packers averaged +0.043 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Panthers 16, Packers 13 Panthers won | Packers -12.5 Panthers covered | 43.5 under | Panthers +0.095 · Packers +0.043 |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Packers 33, Panthers 30 Packers won | Packers -3.5 Panthers covered | 39.5 over | Panthers +0.183 · Packers +0.261 |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Panthers 16, Packers 24 Packers won | Packers -9.5 Panthers covered | 53 under | Panthers −0.020 · Packers +0.078 |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Panthers 16, Packers 24 Packers won | Packers -5 Packers covered | 49 under | Panthers −0.019 · Packers +0.185 |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Packers 24, Panthers 31 Panthers won | Panthers -3 Panthers covered | 46.5 over | Panthers +0.159 · Packers +0.058 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Carolina Panthers
- Carolina Panthers team stats
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43, Carolina Panthers 13 (Oct 25)
- Carolina Panthers 25, Philadelphia Eagles 14 (Oct 18)
- Detroit Lions 26, Carolina Panthers 32 (Oct 4)
Green Bay Packers
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