Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Final — November 12, 2026
WSHStarting quarterbacksexpected startersNYG
WSHOffense2026 regular season to dateNYGWSHDefenseNYGWSHRecent formNYGWSHHome and roadseason to dateNYGInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WSHRest & travelNYGWSHKey injuriesNYGAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed out, doubtful or questionable.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
The pre-game matchup
The Commanders (2-5-1) visited the Giants (5-2-1) at MetLife Stadium on Thursday, November 12 at 8:15 PM ET in Week 10.
The Commanders have the 20th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 20th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Giants have the 15th-ranked offense and the 11th-ranked defense. When the Commanders have the ball, a 20th-ranked offense (−0.029 EPA per play) meets a 11th-ranked defense (−0.030 allowed); when the Giants have it, a 15th-ranked offense (+0.003) meets a 20th-ranked defense (+0.024 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Commanders offense is at 40.9% (25th) and the Giants offense at 40.7% (27th). Through the air, the Commanders average +0.030 EPA per dropback (19th) against a Giants pass defense ranked 13th; the Giants average +0.082 (16th) against a Commanders pass defense ranked 19th. The Commanders score 21.5 points per game (21st) and allow 25.2 (24th); the Giants score 22.8 (16th) and allow 21.5 (12th).
Over the last five games, the Commanders rank 21st on offense and 16th on defense by EPA per play; the Giants rank 14th and 6th.
Jayden Daniels has a 44.6% success rate (19th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to J.J. McCarthy's 37.2% (33rd). Per dropback, Daniels is at +0.072 EPA to McCarthy's +0.176, with 7 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions to McCarthy's 1 and 1. J.J. McCarthy is listed as questionable on the injury report.
The Commanders are 2-5-1 and 4-4 against the spread; their last game was a 20-13 loss to the Rams. The Giants are 5-2-1 and 6-2 against the spread; their last game was a 19-11 win over the Eagles. Both teams are on a short week.
The Giants closed as 1.5-point favorites at home against the Commanders. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 40.5, down from 42.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Commanders +105, Giants -124) prices the Commanders at 47% and the Giants at 53%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Washington Commanders 24, New York Giants 21
Washington Commanders won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (New York Giants -1.5): Washington Commanders covered.
- Combined score 45 vs the closing total of 40.5: Over.
- Washington Commanders closed at +105 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Commanders +1.5 (-110)
Commanders +1.5 (-110)
Giants -125 53%
Giants -124 53%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Matchup
Players to watch
Antonio Williams has 284 receiving yards for the Commanders (53rd of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 15.7%. Rachaad White has 228 rushing yards on 54 carries (37th of 41 qualified running backs). Malik Nabers has 648 receiving yards for the Giants (10th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 30.0%.
- Carries54
- Rush yards22837th
- Yards per carry4.220th
- EPA per rush−0.05520th
- Rush success rate38.9%23rd
- Targets / catches39 / 26
- Receiving yards28453rd
- Target share15.7%58th
- Yards per target7.354th
- EPA per target+0.20941st
- Targets / catches31 / 23
- Receiving yards23924th
- Target share16.8%16th
- Yards per target7.716th
- EPA per target0.00028th
- Carries39
- Rush yards111
- Yards per carry2.8
- EPA per rush−0.287
- Rush success rate23.1%
- Targets / catches78 / 53
- Receiving yards64810th
- Target share30.0%7th
- Yards per target8.338th
- EPA per target+0.23337th
- Targets / catches69 / 46
- Receiving yards4486th
- Target share26.5%3rd
- Yards per target6.524th
- EPA per target+0.24919th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateCommanders offense vs Giants defense | 42.5%18th | 40.2%6th |
| Early-down success rateGiants offense vs Commanders defense | 44.9%26th | 38.6%27th |
| Early-down EPA per playCommanders offense vs Giants defense | +0.04311th | +0.01316th |
| Early-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Commanders defense | −0.0289th | −0.04422nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCommanders offense vs Giants defense | 31.1%32nd | 38.0%12th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGiants offense vs Commanders defense | 40.4%17th | 41.8%10th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playCommanders offense vs Giants defense | −0.26531st | −0.14011th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Commanders defense | +0.05020th | +0.04310th |
| Red-zone TD rateCommanders offense vs Giants defense | 57.1%18th | 78.9%31st |
| Red-zone TD rateGiants offense vs Commanders defense | 75.0%29th | 65.2%10th |
| Red-zone success rateCommanders offense vs Giants defense | 40.0%20th | 39.7%11th |
| Red-zone success rateGiants offense vs Commanders defense | 52.5%31st | 43.1%16th |
On early downs the Commanders succeed on 42.5% of plays (18th) against a Giants defense that allows 40.2% (6th); on 3rd down they convert 31.1% (32nd) against a defense allowing 38.0% (12th). On early downs the Giants succeed on 38.6% of plays (27th) against a Commanders defense that allows 44.9% (26th); on 3rd down they convert 41.8% (10th) against a defense allowing 40.4% (17th). The Commanders score touchdowns on 57.1% of red-zone trips (18th). The Giants score touchdowns on 65.2% of red-zone trips (10th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dan Quinn | John Harbaugh |
| Offensive coordinator | David Blough | Matt Nagy |
| Defensive coordinator | Daronte Jones | Dennard Wilson |
| Offense tendencies | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.2% | −0.8%11th-highest | −5.2%26th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.3% | 63.8%8th-highest | 58.6%22nd-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.8% | 57.5%12th-highest | 53.3%19th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.7% | 73.2%3rd-highest | 62.3%16th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 8.4%6th-highest | 7.4%10th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 32.424th-slowest | 35.02nd-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 15.1%19th | 17.9%8th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 9.2%11th | 9.5%9th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 6.2%28th | 7.0%25th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.3% | 6.4%20th | 8.9%27th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.98% | 1.02%3rd | 1.93%18th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 61.116th-most | 64.48th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.6% | 7 of 13 | 6 of 8 |
| Defense | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.3% | 5.1%24th | 5.5%19th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 14.6%14th | 15.4%15th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 7.9%12th | 7.0%8th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 5.5%2nd | 10.8%26th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.98% | 2.33%9th | 1.89%18th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.7% | 14.1%24th | 12.8%28th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.7% | 17.3%24th | 18.6%30th |
The Commanders run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−0.8% pass rate over expected, 11th-highest), while the Giants sit at −5.2% (26th-highest). In neutral situations the Commanders take 32.4 seconds between snaps and the Giants 35.0, so the Commanders play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Commanders have gone for it 7 of 13 times and the Giants 6 of 8.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 23 times since 2015: the Commanders won 10 and the Giants 11, with 2 ties. In the most recent meeting (October 11, 2026), the teams tied 27-27; the Giants averaged +0.065 EPA per play; the Commanders averaged +0.111 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Giants 27, Commanders 27 Tie | Commanders -3.5 Giants covered | 41.5 over | Giants +0.065 · Commanders +0.111 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Commanders 29, Giants 21 Commanders won | Giants -2.5 Commanders covered | 46.5 over | Giants +0.020 · Commanders +0.003 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Giants 6, Commanders 21 Commanders won | Commanders -6 Commanders covered | 45.5 under | Giants −0.241 · Commanders +0.186 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Commanders 27, Giants 22 Commanders won | Commanders -4.5 Commanders covered | 44.5 over | Giants +0.105 · Commanders +0.312 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Giants 18, Commanders 21 Commanders won | Commanders -1.5 Commanders covered | 42.5 under | Giants +0.099 · Commanders +0.156 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Teams
Washington Commanders
- Washington Commanders team stats
- Los Angeles Rams 20, Washington Commanders 13 (Nov 8)
- Philadelphia Eagles 10, Washington Commanders 27 (Nov 1)
- Washington Commanders 17, San Francisco 49ers 23 (Oct 19)
New York Giants
- New York Giants team stats
- New York Giants 19, Philadelphia Eagles 11 (Nov 8)
- New York Giants 27, Houston Texans 21 (Oct 25)
- New Orleans Saints 34, New York Giants 27 (Oct 18)
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