Vancouver Canucks vs New York Rangers Final — October 11, 2026
VANStarting goaliesNYR
VANOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NYRVANDefenseNYRVANTeamNYRVAN5-on-5NYRVANSpecial teamsNYRVANRecent formNYRVANHome and roadseason to dateNYRInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
VANRest & travelNYRVANKey injuriesNYRAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 11, 3:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Canucks (2-4-0) visited the Rangers (4-2-0) on Sunday, October 11 at 6:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Canucks scored 2.63 goals per game (30th of 32) and allowed 3.85 (32nd). The Rangers scored 2.90 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Canucks earned 35.4% of available standings points (32nd) and the Rangers 47.0% (29th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Canucks 44.1% (31st), Rangers 48.4% (23rd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Canucks 46.5% (29th), Rangers 48.9% (20th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Canucks 41.8% (32nd), Rangers 49.0% (17th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed at 6.5, up from 5.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Canucks +230, Rangers -290) prices the Canucks at 29% and the Rangers at 71%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Rangers 6
New York Rangers won by 4.
- Against the closing spread (New York Rangers -1.5): New York Rangers covered.
- Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- New York Rangers closed at -290 on the moneyline (a 71% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Rangers 6
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward New York Rangers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vancouver Canucks 29%, New York Rangers 71%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 2:09 — New York Rangers goal (1-2)New York Rangers 68% → 83% (+15 pts)
- 2nd 16:56 — Vancouver Canucks goal (2-2)Vancouver Canucks 15% → 35% (+20 pts)
- 2nd 18:25 — New York Rangers goal (2-3)New York Rangers 64% → 84% (+21 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New York Rangers won 78% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 22%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New York Rangers. Here is where that came from.
| Canucks | Goals | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 3.0 |
| 0.1 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 1.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 4.0 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| +0.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +2.0 |
| -2.0 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Kevin Lankinen 19/25 · Dylan Garand 19/21 | -0.2 |
How the margin was built, from New York Rangers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
New York Rangers closed as the market favourite at 71% and won.
The line moved toward New York Rangers before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Canucks +1.5 (-116)
Canucks +1.5 (-114)
Rangers -250 69%
Rangers -290 71%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Canucks won 7 and the Rangers 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | Canucks 3, Rangers 0 Canucks won | Rangers -120 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Rangers 2, Canucks 0 Rangers won | Rangers -122 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Canucks 3, Rangers 5 Rangers won | Rangers -160 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Rangers 4, Canucks 3 Rangers won | Rangers -140 favorite won | 6 over |
| Jan 8, 2024 | Canucks 6, Rangers 3 Canucks won | Rangers -146 underdog won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Vancouver Canucks
- Vancouver Canucks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 25)
- Detroit Red Wings 5, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 22)
New York Rangers
More NHL games on October 11, 2026
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results