Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks Final — October 25, 2026
MINStarting goaliesVAN
MINOffense2026-27 regular season to dateVANMINDefenseVANMINTeamVANMIN5-on-5VANMINSpecial teamsVANMINRecent formVANMINHome and roadseason to dateVANInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
MINRest & travelVANMINKey injuriesVANAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 25, 9:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Wild (7-3-2) visited the Canucks (2-9-1) on Sunday, October 25 at 10:10 PM ET.
The Wild score 3.08 goals per game (17th of 32) and allow 2.33 (4th). The Canucks score 2.92 goals per game (19th of 32) and allow 4.67 (32nd). The Wild earn 66.7% of available standings points (5th) and the Canucks 20.8% (32nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Wild 54.7% (9th), Canucks 38.0% (31st). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Wild 53.7% (8th), Canucks 41.4% (32nd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Wild 53.3% (13th), Canucks 38.8% (26th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Wild -200, Canucks +166) prices the Wild at 64% and the Canucks at 36%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Minnesota Wild 4, Vancouver Canucks 2
Minnesota Wild won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Vancouver Canucks +1.5): Minnesota Wild covered.
- Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Minnesota Wild closed at -200 on the moneyline (a 64% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Vancouver Canucks 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Minnesota Wild.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Minnesota Wild 64%, Vancouver Canucks 36%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 18:33 — Minnesota Wild goal (1-0)Minnesota Wild 63% → 79% (+16 pts)
- 2nd 5:54 — Minnesota Wild goal (2-0)Minnesota Wild 79% → 90% (+11 pts)
- 2nd 12:55 — Minnesota Wild goal (3-0)Minnesota Wild 93% → 98% (+5 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Minnesota Wild won 89% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 11%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Minnesota Wild. Here is where that came from.
| Wild | Goals | Canucks |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.6 |
| 1.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.0 |
| 0.3 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 5.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 1.7 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.3 |
| 1.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| -1.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +0.0 |
| -0.0 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Calvin Pickard 15/17 · Leevi Meriläinen 30/34 | +1.6 |
How the margin was built, from Minnesota Wild's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Minnesota Wild closed as the market favourite at 64% and won.
The line moved toward Minnesota Wild before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Wild -1.5 (+130)
Wild -1.5 (+124)
Canucks +150 38%
Canucks +166 36%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 21 times since 2018-19: the Wild won 16 and the Canucks 5.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Canucks 2, Wild 5 Wild won | Wild -452 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Wild 2, Canucks 4 Canucks won | Wild -160 underdog won | 6 push |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Canucks 2, Wild 5 Wild won | Wild -178 favorite won | 6 over |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wild 3, Canucks 2 OT Wild won | Wild -125 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Wild 1, Canucks 3 Canucks won | Canucks -130 favorite won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Minnesota Wild
- Minnesota Wild team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
- Minnesota Wild 1, Calgary Flames 2 (Oct 22)
Vancouver Canucks
- Vancouver Canucks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
- Detroit Red Wings 5, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 22)
- Carolina Hurricanes 6, Vancouver Canucks 3 (Oct 20)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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