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NHL · October 28, 2026

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken Preview & Odds — October 28, 2026

Toronto Maple Leafs

7-5-2

Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky Confirmed

Seattle Kraken

7-4-1

Goalie Philipp Grubauer Confirmed

Wednesday, October 28 · 10:10 PM ET

TORStarting goaliesSEA

This season

Starts

.896

Sv%

.907

.889

HDSv%

.667

+0.4

GSAx

+2.1

Last season

Starts

.877

Sv%

.909

.799

HDSv%

.762

−18.1

GSAx

+6.6

TOROffense2026-27 regular season to dateSEA

6th3.71

GF/G

3.755th

4th11.80

PP GF/60

8.7612th

TORDefenseSEA

18th3.29

GA/G

3.5027th

1st2.19

PK GA/60

10.5624th

TORTeamSEA

16th57.1%

Pts%

62.5%9th

20th48.6%

xGF%

43.2%28th

26th46.1%

CF%

41.5%32nd

21st46.2%

HDCF%

42.1%24th

TOR5-on-5SEA

18th2.43

xGF/60

2.1925th

22nd2.57

xGA/60

2.8829th

7th11.1%

Sh%

13.4%3rd

25th89.3%

Sv%

91.1%11th

9th115.0

CF/60 (both)

117.76th

6th+0.46

GAx/G

+0.963rd

12th+0.14

GSAx/G

−0.0615th

7th12.3%

Sh%

13.5%5th

8th90.0%

Sv%

89.5%14th

TORSpecial teamsSEA

8th9.04

PP xG/60

6.9022nd

7th81.7

PP FF/60

75.911th

24th4.7

PP min/G

5.114th

17th7.68

PK xGA/60

9.6430th

27th5.9

PK min/G

4.35th

TORRecent formSEA

Wvs SJS 3-1W@ CBJ 6-2Wvs NYR 5-4W@ EDM 7-2L@ CGY 2-5

Resultsoldest to newest

OTL@ TBL 3-4L@ FLA 3-8Wvs DET 4-3Wvs UTA 5-3Lvs MIN 1-5

Game by game

7-5-2

Record

7-4-1

4-1-0

Last 5

2-2-1

5-3-2

Last 10

6-3-1

TORHome and roadseason to dateSEA

4-3-1

Home record

3-2-0

3-2-1

Road record

4-2-1

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

TORRest & travelSEA

2 days

Days of rest

4 days

442 mi711 km

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

TORKey injuriesSEA

Kirill Marchenko RWOutJohn Tavares CIR

Players out or limited

Jared McCann LWIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 28, 9:40 p.m. ET.

Matchup preview

The Maple Leafs (7-5-2) visit the Kraken (7-4-1) on Wednesday, October 28 at 10:10 PM ET.

The Maple Leafs score 3.71 goals per game (6th of 32) and allow 3.29 (18th). The Kraken score 3.75 goals per game (5th of 32) and allow 3.50 (27th). The Maple Leafs earn 57.1% of available standings points (16th) and the Kraken 62.5% (9th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Maple Leafs 48.6% (20th), Kraken 43.2% (28th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Maple Leafs 46.1% (26th), Kraken 41.5% (32nd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Maple Leafs 46.2% (21st), Kraken 42.1% (24th).

The total is 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Maple Leafs -120, Kraken -100) prices the Maple Leafs at 52% and the Kraken at 48%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenKraken +1.5 (-250)
Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200)

NowKraken +1.5 (-252)
Maple Leafs -1.5 (+195)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now6.5 (o -120 / u -100)

Moneyline

OpenMaple Leafs -112 51%
Kraken -107 49%

NowMaple Leafs -120 52%
Kraken -100 48%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Maple Leafs -1.5+217Novig
Kraken +1.5-228Novig
Over 6.5-115Novig
Under 6.5+111Novig
Maple Leafs-109ProphetX
Kraken+108Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 10 times since 2018-19: the Maple Leafs won 7 and the Kraken 3.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Jan 29, 2026	Maple Leafs 2, Kraken 5 Kraken won	Maple Leafs -115 underdog won	6.5 over
Oct 18, 2025	Kraken 4, Maple Leafs 3 OT Kraken won	Maple Leafs -200 underdog won	5.5 over
Feb 6, 2025	Maple Leafs 3, Kraken 1 Maple Leafs won	Maple Leafs -162 favorite won	6 under
Oct 31, 2024	Kraken 1, Maple Leafs 4 Maple Leafs won	Maple Leafs -205 favorite won	6 under
Jan 21, 2024	Maple Leafs 3, Kraken 1 Maple Leafs won	Maple Leafs -115 favorite won	6 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Lineups

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, game flow and the Chance Quality Result and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams