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NHL · October 20, 2026

Detroit Red Wings vs Seattle Kraken Final — October 20, 2026

Detroit Red Wings

3-3-2

Goalie Daniil Tarasov Confirmed

FINAL

Seattle Kraken

5-3-1

Goalie Philipp Grubauer Confirmed

Tuesday, October 20 · 9:50 PM ET

DETStarting goaliesSEA

This season

Starts

.965

Sv%

.909

.875

HDSv%

.682

+4.6

GSAx

+2.4

Last season

Starts

.895

Sv%

.909

.867

HDSv%

.762

−2.9

GSAx

+6.6

DETOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)SEA

22nd2.94

GF/G

2.7628th

13th8.17

PP GF/60

7.0319th

DETDefenseSEA

19th3.15

GA/G

3.2123rd

27th8.57

PK GA/60

10.5632nd

DETTeamSEA

15th56.1%

Pts%

48.2%27th

21st48.6%

xGF%

45.4%30th

21st48.8%

CF%

45.4%31st

19th48.5%

HDCF%

46.1%25th

DET5-on-5SEA

21st2.46

xGF/60

2.1432nd

22nd2.60

xGA/60

2.5721st

30th8.1%

Sh%

9.3%18th

17th90.5%

Sv%

91.8%2nd

6th118.2

CF/60 (both)

115.316th

31st−0.31

GAx/G

+0.0516th

17th−0.03

GSAx/G

+0.0414th

29th9.5%

Sh%

9.9%25th

17th89.5%

Sv%

90.2%8th

23rd47.6%

xGF% (L20)

46.5%25th

DETSpecial teamsSEA

5th8.63

PP xG/60

7.1824th

8th82.9

PP FF/60

77.617th

8th4.9

PP min/G

4.427th

15th7.52

PK xGA/60

8.2527th

3rd4.1

PK min/G

4.01st

DETRecent formSEA

Lvs SEA 3-6OTL@ MTL 0-1OTLvs NJD 4-5Wvs PHI 2-1Wvs SJS 4-3

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ DET 6-3W@ WSH 5-3W@ PHI 3-2OTL@ TBL 3-4L@ FLA 3-8

Game by game

3-3-2

Record

5-3-1

2-1-2

Last 5

3-1-1

4-4

Over–under

7-2

DETHome and roadseason to dateSEA

3-3-1

Home record

1-1-0

0-0-1

Road record

4-2-1

4-3

Home O/U

2-0

0-1

Road O/U

5-2

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

DETRest & travelSEA

3 days

Days of rest

3 days

1,933 mi3,112 km

Travel to the game

Home

−3 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

DETKey injuriesSEA

Simon Edvinsson DIRJ.T. Compher LWIR

Players out or limited

Brandon Montour DDay-to-day

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 20, 12:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Red Wings (3-3-2) visited the Kraken (5-3-1) on Tuesday, October 20 at 9:50 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Red Wings scored 2.94 goals per game (22nd of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Kraken scored 2.76 goals per game (28th of 32) and allowed 3.21 (23rd). The Red Wings earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Kraken 48.2% (27th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Red Wings 48.6% (21st), Kraken 45.4% (30th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Red Wings 48.8% (21st), Kraken 45.4% (31st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Red Wings 48.5% (19th), Kraken 46.1% (25th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Red Wings -120, Kraken +100) prices the Red Wings at 52% and the Kraken at 48%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4

Seattle Kraken won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Seattle Kraken +1.5): Seattle Kraken covered.
Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Seattle Kraken closed at +100 on the moneyline (a 48% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Detroit Red Wings 3
Seattle Kraken 4

Decided

In a shootout

Seattle Kraken won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

52%Market at the close48%

Detroit Red WingsSeattle Kraken

48%Market at the open52%

From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Detroit Red Wings.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Detroit Red Wings 52%, Seattle Kraken 48%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

2nd 3:22 — Seattle Kraken goal (0-2)Seattle Kraken 68% → 83% (+16 pts)
3rd 19:43 — Detroit Red Wings goal (3-3)Detroit Red Wings 2% → 51% (+49 pts)
OT 5:00 — Seattle Kraken game-endSeattle Kraken 50% → 100% (+50 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

45%DET

Share of G&W replays won

55%SEA

2.2

Expected goals

2.5

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Seattle Kraken won 55% of G&W replays (Detroit Red Wings 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Red Wings	Goals	Kraken
1.7	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.9
0.5	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.6
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
2.2	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.5
0.5	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.1
0.6	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.2
+0.3	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+0.4
-0.4	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Daniil Tarasov 24/27 · Philipp Grubauer 22/25	-0.3

Bar left: Red Wings gainedBar right: Kraken gained

How the margin was built, from Seattle Kraken's side:

Chances -0.1Finishing & goaltending +0.0Shootout +1Seattle Kraken by 1

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playUnder 6.5 -1081.50uLOSS -1.62u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Detroit Red Wings closed as the market favourite at 52% and lost.

The line moved toward Detroit Red Wings before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck linefavorite flipped

OpenKraken -1.5 (+190)
Red Wings +1.5 (-240)

CloseKraken +1.5 (-250)
Red Wings -1.5 (+200)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o +100 / u -122)

Close6.5 (o -105 / u -115)

Moneyline

OpenRed Wings +101 48%
Kraken -121 52%

CloseRed Wings -120 52%
Kraken +100 48%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

Unlock every game with Analytics — $44.44/mo See today’s free game →

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 11 times since 2018-19: the Red Wings won 6 and the Kraken 5.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 9, 2026	Kraken 6, Red Wings 3 Kraken won	Red Wings -150 underdog won	5.5 over
Dec 6, 2025	Red Wings 4, Kraken 3 Red Wings won	Red Wings -120 favorite won	6 over
Nov 18, 2025	Kraken 2, Red Wings 4 Red Wings won	Red Wings -170 favorite won	5.5 over
Feb 4, 2025	Red Wings 5, Kraken 4 SO Red Wings won	Kraken -111 underdog won	5.5 over
Jan 12, 2025	Kraken 2, Red Wings 6 Red Wings won	Red Wings -175 favorite won	6 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams