Minnesota Wild vs Seattle Kraken Final — October 24, 2026
MINStarting goaliesSEA
MINOffense2026-27 regular season to dateSEAMINDefenseSEAMINTeamSEAMIN5-on-5SEAMINSpecial teamsSEAMINRecent formSEAMINHome and roadseason to dateSEAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
MINRest & travelSEAMINKey injuriesSEAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 24, 9:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Wild (6-3-2) visited the Kraken (7-3-1) on Saturday, October 24 at 10:10 PM ET.
The Wild score 2.91 goals per game (18th of 32) and allow 2.45 (5th). The Kraken score 4.00 goals per game (3rd of 32) and allow 3.36 (23rd). The Wild earn 63.6% of available standings points (8th) and the Kraken 68.2% (5th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Wild 53.7% (10th), Kraken 44.0% (27th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Wild 53.0% (9th), Kraken 41.7% (29th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Wild 51.2% (16th), Kraken 44.1% (21st).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Wild -188, Kraken +155) prices the Wild at 62% and the Kraken at 38%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1
Minnesota Wild won by 4.
- Against the closing spread (Seattle Kraken +1.5): Minnesota Wild covered.
- Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Minnesota Wild closed at -188 on the moneyline (a 62% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Seattle Kraken 1
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Minnesota Wild.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Minnesota Wild 62%, Seattle Kraken 38%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 0:26 — Minnesota Wild goal (1-0)Minnesota Wild 62% → 76% (+13 pts)
- 1st 10:13 — Seattle Kraken goal (1-1)Seattle Kraken 25% → 38% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 2:11 — Minnesota Wild goal (2-1)Minnesota Wild 60% → 77% (+17 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Minnesota Wild won 81% of G&W replays (Seattle Kraken 19%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Minnesota Wild. Here is where that came from.
| Wild | Goals | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.1 |
| 1.3 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.5 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 4.0 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 1.6 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.4 |
| 0.7 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.0 |
| +0.0 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.0 |
| +1.0 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jesper Wallstedt 23/24 · Joey Daccord 31/35 | -0.0 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Minnesota Wild's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Minnesota Wild closed as the market favourite at 62% and won.
The line moved toward Minnesota Wild before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Wild -1.5 (+154)
Wild -1.5 (+132)
Kraken +129 42%
Kraken +155 38%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 15 times since 2018-19: the Wild won 11 and the Kraken 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Kraken 2, Wild 5 Wild won | Wild -260 favorite won | 6 over |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Wild 3, Kraken 2 OT Wild won | Wild -160 favorite won | 6 under |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Wild 4, Kraken 1 Wild won | Wild -135 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Kraken 0, Wild 4 Wild won | Wild -170 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Wild 4, Kraken 3 Wild won | Kraken -120 underdog won | 5.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Minnesota Wild
- Minnesota Wild team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 25)
- Minnesota Wild 1, Calgary Flames 2 (Oct 22)
Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken team stats
- Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken (Oct 28)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 22)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Florida Panthers 8 (Oct 17)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 24, 2026
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (Oct 24)
- Los Angeles Kings 1, New Jersey Devils 3 (Oct 24)
- New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 7 (Oct 24)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 24)
- Vegas Golden Knights 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 24)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 24)
- Nashville Predators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 24)
- Carolina Hurricanes 4, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 24)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (Oct 24)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 (Oct 24)
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