Utah Mammoth vs Seattle Kraken Final — October 22, 2026
UTAHStarting goaliesSEA
UTAHOffense2026-27 regular season to dateSEAUTAHDefenseSEAUTAHTeamSEAUTAH5-on-5SEAUTAHSpecial teamsSEAUTAHRecent formSEAUTAHHome and roadseason to dateSEAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
UTAHRest & travelSEAUTAHKey injuriesSEAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 22, 9:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Mammoth (7-3-0) visited the Kraken (6-3-1) on Thursday, October 22 at 10:10 PM ET.
The Mammoth score 3.80 goals per game (6th of 32) and allow 3.10 (15th). The Kraken score 3.90 goals per game (4th of 32) and allow 3.40 (23rd). The Mammoth earn 70.0% of available standings points (6th) and the Kraken 65.0% (10th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Mammoth 60.5% (3rd), Kraken 44.9% (27th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Mammoth 56.5% (4th), Kraken 42.1% (29th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Mammoth 70.7% (2nd), Kraken 45.5% (21st).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Mammoth -180, Kraken +150) prices the Mammoth at 62% and the Kraken at 38%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5
Seattle Kraken won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Seattle Kraken +1.5): Seattle Kraken covered.
- Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Seattle Kraken closed at +150 on the moneyline (a 38% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Seattle Kraken 5
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Utah Mammoth.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Utah Mammoth 62%, Seattle Kraken 38%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 2:23 — Seattle Kraken goal (1-3)Seattle Kraken 60% → 81% (+21 pts)
- 3rd 7:42 — Utah Mammoth goal (3-3)Utah Mammoth 24% → 56% (+32 pts)
- 3rd 14:35 — Seattle Kraken goal (3-4)Seattle Kraken 45% → 85% (+40 pts)
Seattle Kraken won after falling as low as 38% (1st 0:00).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Utah Mammoth won 65% of G&W replays (Seattle Kraken 35%). The result went the other way from the chances each team created.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Utah Mammoth. Here is where that came from.
| Mammoth | Goals | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 0.8 |
| 0.8 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.1 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.9 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 1.9 |
| 0.1 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.2 |
| +0.0 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +2.1 |
| -2.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Karel Vejmelka 18/22 · Philipp Grubauer 33/36 | -0.0 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from Seattle Kraken's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Utah Mammoth closed as the market favourite at 62% and lost.
The line moved toward Utah Mammoth before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Mammoth -1.5 (+142)
Mammoth -1.5 (+130)
Kraken +135 41%
Kraken +150 38%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 15 times since 2018-19: the Mammoth won 8 and the Kraken 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Mammoth 6, Kraken 2 Mammoth won | ||
| Jan 17, 2026 | Kraken 3, Mammoth 6 Mammoth won | Mammoth -198 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Kraken 3, Mammoth 5 Mammoth won | Mammoth -190 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Kraken 1, Mammoth 7 Mammoth won | ||
| Mar 14, 2025 | Mammoth 2, Kraken 4 Kraken won |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 19)
Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken team stats
- Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken (Oct 28)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Florida Panthers 8 (Oct 17)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 22, 2026
- Nashville Predators 0, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 22)
- Anaheim Ducks 1, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 22)
- San Jose Sharks 6, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 22)
- Florida Panthers 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (Oct 22)
- New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (Oct 22)
- Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Islanders 2 (Oct 22)
- Winnipeg Jets 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 22)
- Vegas Golden Knights 2, St Louis Blues 6 (Oct 22)
- Minnesota Wild 1, Calgary Flames 2 (Oct 22)
- Carolina Hurricanes 5, Edmonton Oilers 6 (Oct 22)
- Detroit Red Wings 5, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 22)
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