Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers Final — November 1, 2026
UTAHStarting goaliesPHI
UTAHOffense2026-27 regular season to datePHIUTAHDefensePHIUTAHTeamPHIUTAH5-on-5PHIUTAHSpecial teamsPHIUTAHRecent formPHIUTAHHome and roadseason to datePHIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
UTAHRest & travelPHIUTAHKey injuriesPHIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 1, 3:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Mammoth (9-5-0) visited the Flyers (3-8-4) on Sunday, November 1 at 4:10 PM ET.
The Mammoth score 3.64 goals per game (8th of 32) and allow 3.29 (18th). The Flyers score 1.93 goals per game (32nd of 32) and allow 3.40 (23rd). The Mammoth earn 64.3% of available standings points (8th) and the Flyers 33.3% (30th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Mammoth 59.6% (2nd), Flyers 39.8% (31st). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Mammoth 55.4% (4th), Flyers 43.8% (30th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Mammoth 66.0% (3rd), Flyers 35.3% (28th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Mammoth -165, Flyers +135) prices the Mammoth at 59% and the Flyers at 41%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Utah Mammoth 3, Philadelphia Flyers 6
Philadelphia Flyers won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Philadelphia Flyers +1.5): Philadelphia Flyers covered.
- Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Philadelphia Flyers closed at +135 on the moneyline (a 41% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Philadelphia Flyers 6
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Philadelphia Flyers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Utah Mammoth 59%, Philadelphia Flyers 41%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 12:49 — Philadelphia Flyers goal (0-1)Philadelphia Flyers 41% → 58% (+17 pts)
- 1st 14:24 — Utah Mammoth goal (1-1)Utah Mammoth 41% → 58% (+17 pts)
- 2nd 1:06 — Philadelphia Flyers goal (1-2)Philadelphia Flyers 42% → 61% (+19 pts)
Philadelphia Flyers won after falling as low as 38% (1st 5:15).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Utah Mammoth won 55% of G&W replays (Philadelphia Flyers 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Mammoth | Goals | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.4 |
| 0.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.5 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.2 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 1.9 |
| 0.4 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.0 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.0 |
| +0.3 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +3.1 |
| -3.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Karel Vejmelka 15/20 · Dan Vladar 19/22 | -0.3 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from Philadelphia Flyers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Utah Mammoth closed as the market favourite at 59% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Mammoth -1.5 (+143)
Mammoth -1.5 (+149)
Flyers +141 40%
Flyers +135 41%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Mammoth won 7 and the Flyers 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Mammoth 3, Flyers 0 Mammoth won | Mammoth -120 favorite won | 6 under |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Flyers 4, Mammoth 5 OT Mammoth won | Mammoth -188 favorite won | 6 over |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Flyers 2, Mammoth 3 OT Mammoth won | ||
| Dec 8, 2024 | Mammoth 4, Flyers 2 Mammoth won | ||
| Feb 12, 2024 | Mammoth 3, Flyers 5 Flyers won |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth team stats
- Utah Mammoth at Montréal Canadiens (Nov 5)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Nov 3)
- Utah Mammoth 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 29)
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers team stats
- Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers (Nov 5)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Nov 3)
- Philadelphia Flyers 2, Washington Capitals 5 (Oct 28)
- Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 27)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on November 1, 2026
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results