Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers Final — November 1, 2026
EDMStarting goaliesNYR
EDMOffense2026-27 regular season to dateNYREDMDefenseNYREDMTeamNYREDM5-on-5NYREDMSpecial teamsNYREDMRecent formNYREDMHome and roadseason to dateNYRInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
EDMRest & travelNYREDMKey injuriesNYRAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 1, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Oilers (10-2-2) visited the Rangers (7-6-1) on Sunday, November 1 at 6:10 PM ET.
The Oilers score 4.29 goals per game (1st of 32) and allow 3.07 (13th). The Rangers score 3.14 goals per game (16th of 32) and allow 3.00 (9th). The Oilers earn 78.6% of available standings points (2nd) and the Rangers 53.6% (19th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Oilers 47.5% (23rd), Rangers 49.6% (19th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Oilers 48.2% (22nd), Rangers 47.7% (24th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Oilers 57.9% (10th), Rangers 53.8% (13th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Oilers +104, Rangers -125) prices the Oilers at 47% and the Rangers at 53%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Rangers 1
Edmonton Oilers won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (New York Rangers -1.5): Edmonton Oilers covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Edmonton Oilers closed at +104 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Rangers 1
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Edmonton Oilers 47%, New York Rangers 53%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 0:50 — Edmonton Oilers goal (1-0)Edmonton Oilers 47% → 62% (+15 pts)
- 1st 6:19 — Edmonton Oilers goal (2-0)Edmonton Oilers 63% → 77% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 9:49 — Edmonton Oilers goal (3-0)Edmonton Oilers 85% → 94% (+9 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Edmonton Oilers won 61% of G&W replays (New York Rangers 39%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Edmonton Oilers. Here is where that came from.
| Oilers | Goals | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.7 |
| 0.7 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.4 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.1 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| +0.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.3 |
| +1.3 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Matt Tomkins 27/28 · Dylan Garand 21/24 | -0.2 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Edmonton Oilers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
New York Rangers closed as the market favourite at 53% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Oilers +1.5 (-235)
Oilers +1.5 (-235)
Rangers -125 53%
Rangers -125 53%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Oilers won 10 and the Rangers 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Rangers 4, Oilers 3 OT Rangers won | Oilers -160 underdog won | 6 over |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Oilers 2, Rangers 0 Oilers won | Oilers -135 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Oilers 3, Rangers 1 Oilers won | Oilers -145 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Rangers 2, Oilers 6 Oilers won | Oilers -135 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Oilers 4, Rangers 3 Oilers won | Rangers -127 underdog won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers team stats
- Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers (Nov 5)
- Edmonton Oilers 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Nov 3)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Islanders 0 (Oct 31)
- Calgary Flames 0, Edmonton Oilers 4 (Oct 28)
New York Rangers
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