Winnipeg Jets vs Carolina Hurricanes Final — November 1, 2026
WPGStarting goaliesCAR
WPGOffense2026-27 regular season to dateCARWPGDefenseCARWPGTeamCARWPG5-on-5CARWPGSpecial teamsCARWPGRecent formCARWPGHome and roadseason to dateCARInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WPGRest & travelCARWPGKey injuriesCARAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 1, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Jets (4-7-3) visited the Hurricanes (11-2-2) on Sunday, November 1 at 1:10 PM ET.
The Jets score 2.43 goals per game (29th of 32) and allow 3.36 (21st). The Hurricanes score 3.73 goals per game (4th of 32) and allow 2.40 (3rd). The Jets earn 39.3% of available standings points (28th) and the Hurricanes 80.0% (1st).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Jets 44.8% (27th), Hurricanes 62.0% (1st). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Jets 47.7% (25th), Hurricanes 59.4% (1st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Jets 27.8% (31st), Hurricanes 69.8% (1st).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Jets +230, Hurricanes -285) prices the Jets at 29% and the Hurricanes at 71%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Winnipeg Jets 0, Carolina Hurricanes 7
Carolina Hurricanes won by 7.
- Against the closing spread (Carolina Hurricanes -1.5): Carolina Hurricanes covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Carolina Hurricanes closed at -285 on the moneyline (a 71% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Carolina Hurricanes 7
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Carolina Hurricanes.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Winnipeg Jets 29%, Carolina Hurricanes 71%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 5:16 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (0-1)Carolina Hurricanes 69% → 82% (+12 pts)
- 2nd 1:55 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (0-2)Carolina Hurricanes 83% → 92% (+10 pts)
- 2nd 2:19 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (0-3)Carolina Hurricanes 93% → 97% (+4 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Carolina Hurricanes won 75% of G&W replays (Winnipeg Jets 25%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Carolina Hurricanes. Here is where that came from.
| Jets | Goals | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.8 |
| 0.9 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 2.2 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 2.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 5.1 |
| 0.2 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.8 |
| -2.8 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.9 |
| -1.9 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Stuart Skinner 12/17, Clay Stevenson 13/15 · Pyotr Kochetkov 26/26 | +2.8 |
How the margin was built, from Carolina Hurricanes's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Carolina Hurricanes closed as the market favourite at 71% and won.
The line moved toward Carolina Hurricanes before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Jets +1.5 (-114)
Jets +1.5 (-108)
Hurricanes -262 69%
Hurricanes -285 71%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 15 times since 2018-19: the Jets won 6 and the Hurricanes 9.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hurricanes 3, Jets 2 Hurricanes won | Hurricanes -200 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Jets 1, Hurricanes 5 Hurricanes won | Hurricanes -205 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Hurricanes 4, Jets 3 Hurricanes won | Hurricanes -160 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Jets 2, Hurricanes 4 Hurricanes won | Hurricanes -126 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Hurricanes 0, Jets 3 Jets won | Hurricanes -155 underdog won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets team stats
- Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets (Nov 5)
- Winnipeg Jets 5, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Nov 3)
- Winnipeg Jets 2, Florida Panthers 5 (Oct 30)
- Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (Oct 29)
Carolina Hurricanes
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