Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks Final — November 1, 2026
OTTStarting goaliesANA
OTTOffense2026-27 regular season to dateANAOTTDefenseANAOTTTeamANAOTT5-on-5ANAOTTSpecial teamsANAOTTRecent formANAOTTHome and roadseason to dateANAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
OTTRest & travelANAOTTKey injuriesANAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 1, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Senators (9-5-1) visited the Ducks (5-7-1) on Sunday, November 1 at 8:10 PM ET.
The Senators score 3.27 goals per game (15th of 32) and allow 3.00 (9th). The Ducks score 3.31 goals per game (14th of 32) and allow 3.85 (31st). The Senators earn 63.3% of available standings points (11th) and the Ducks 42.3% (26th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Senators 48.9% (21st), Ducks 44.9% (26th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Senators 48.9% (18th), Ducks 47.8% (23rd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Senators 47.9% (18th), Ducks 42.6% (25th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Senators -122, Ducks +105) prices the Senators at 53% and the Ducks at 47%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Ottawa Senators 3, Anaheim Ducks 6
Anaheim Ducks won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Anaheim Ducks +1.5): Anaheim Ducks covered.
- Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Anaheim Ducks closed at +105 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Anaheim Ducks 6
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Ottawa Senators.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Ottawa Senators 53%, Anaheim Ducks 47%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 6:00 — Ottawa Senators goal (1-0)Ottawa Senators 53% → 68% (+15 pts)
- 2nd 19:18 — Anaheim Ducks goal (3-3)Anaheim Ducks 24% → 50% (+26 pts)
- 3rd 1:50 — Anaheim Ducks goal (3-4)Anaheim Ducks 49% → 81% (+32 pts)
Anaheim Ducks won after falling as low as 7% (2nd 1:35).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Anaheim Ducks won 55% of G&W replays (Ottawa Senators 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Senators | Goals | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.6 |
| 0.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.4 |
| 0.2 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.3 |
| 2.9 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.3 |
| 0.1 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| +0.1 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +2.7 |
| -2.7 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jonas Johansson 27/33 · Laurent Brossoit 19/22 | -0.1 |
How the margin was built, from Anaheim Ducks's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Ottawa Senators closed as the market favourite at 53% and lost.
The line moved toward Ottawa Senators before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Senators -1.5 (+182)
Senators -1.5 (+180)
Ducks -102 48%
Ducks +105 47%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Senators won 7 and the Ducks 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ducks 0, Senators 2 Senators won | Senators -180 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Senators 3, Ducks 2 Senators won | Senators -144 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Ducks 1, Senators 5 Senators won | Senators -245 favorite won | 6 push |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Senators 3, Ducks 4 SO Ducks won | Senators -162 underdog won | 6 over |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Senators 1, Ducks 2 Ducks won | Senators -190 underdog won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators team stats
- Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (Nov 4)
- Ottawa Senators 5, San Jose Sharks 1 (Oct 31)
- Ottawa Senators 5, Los Angeles Kings 6 (Oct 29)
Anaheim Ducks
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