Boston Bruins vs St Louis Blues Final — October 29, 2026
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
About these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 29, 9:40 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Bruins (9-3-1) visited the Blues (5-6-1) on Thursday, October 29 at 8:10 PM ET.
The Bruins score 3.77 goals per game (5th of 32) and allow 2.15 (2nd). The Blues score 2.92 goals per game (21st of 32) and allow 3.08 (13th). The Bruins earn 73.1% of available standings points (3rd) and the Blues 45.8% (24th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Bruins 52.0% (13th), Blues 51.1% (14th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Bruins 48.1% (20th), Blues 50.7% (16th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Bruins 50.9% (16th), Blues 62.2% (5th).
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Bruins -105, Blues -115) prices the Bruins at 49% and the Blues at 51%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Boston Bruins 1, St Louis Blues 4
St Louis Blues won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (St Louis Blues -1.5): St Louis Blues covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- St Louis Blues closed at -115 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
St Louis Blues 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Boston Bruins.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Boston Bruins 49%, St Louis Blues 51%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 5:28 — Boston Bruins goal (1-0)Boston Bruins 49% → 65% (+16 pts)
- 1st 15:43 — St Louis Blues goal (1-1)St Louis Blues 36% → 52% (+16 pts)
- 2nd 5:17 — St Louis Blues goal (1-2)St Louis Blues 51% → 70% (+19 pts)
St Louis Blues won after falling as low as 34% (1st 15:39).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Boston Bruins won 55% of G&W replays (St Louis Blues 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Bruins | Goals | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.8 |
| 0.4 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.4 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 2.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.3 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.2 |
| -1.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.7 |
| -1.7 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jeremy Swayman 14/18 · Joel Hofer 31/32 | +1.6 |
How the margin was built, from St Louis Blues's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
St Louis Blues closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
The line moved toward Boston Bruins before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Bruins +1.5 (-232)
Bruins +1.5 (-274)
Blues -125 53%
Blues -115 51%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Bruins won 9 and the Blues 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | Bruins 5, Blues 2 Bruins won | Blues -125 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Blues 2, Bruins 5 Bruins won | Blues -142 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Blues 3, Bruins 2 OT Blues won | Bruins -180 underdog won | 6 under |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Bruins 3, Blues 2 Bruins won | Bruins -175 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Blues 5, Bruins 1 Blues won | Bruins -245 underdog won | 5.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins team stats
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St Louis Blues
More NHL games on October 29, 2026
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- Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (Oct 29)
- Chicago Blackhawks 1, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 29)
- Montréal Canadiens 5, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 29)
- New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (Oct 29)
- Washington Capitals 4, Nashville Predators 3 (Oct 29)
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