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NHL · October 29, 2026

Boston Bruins vs St Louis Blues Final — October 29, 2026

Boston Bruins logo
9-3-1
1
Goalie Jeremy Swayman Likely
FINAL
St Louis Blues logo
5-6-1
4
Goalie Joel Hofer Likely
Thursday, October 29 · 8:10 PM ET
BOSStarting goaliesSTL
This season
10
Starts
8
.921
Sv%
.916
.816
HDSv%
.857
+8.4
GSAx
+3.1
Last season
54
Starts
43
.908
Sv%
.910
.870
HDSv%
.856
+27.6
GSAx
+9.1
BOSOffense2026-27 regular season to dateSTL
5th3.77
GF/G
2.9221st
10th9.16
PP GF/60
6.6419th
BOSDefenseSTL
2nd2.15
GA/G
3.0813th
17th7.54
PK GA/60
3.914th
BOSTeamSTL
3rd73.1%
Pts%
45.8%24th
13th52.0%
xGF%
51.1%14th
20th48.1%
CF%
50.7%16th
16th50.9%
HDCF%
62.2%5th
BOS5-on-5STL
8th2.74
xGF/60
2.4916th
20th2.55
xGA/60
2.3810th
5th12.2%
Sh%
7.8%26th
1st94.7%
Sv%
89.4%25th
30th108.2
CF/60 (both)
111.221st
5th+0.59
GAx/G
−0.1820th
1st+0.97
GSAx/G
−0.2827th
4th13.5%
Sh%
9.6%23rd
1st92.6%
Sv%
89.4%12th
BOSSpecial teamsSTL
28th6.07
PP xG/60
6.2426th
26th61.1
PP FF/60
57.630th
20th4.9
PP min/G
4.526th
8th7.14
PK xGA/60
5.201st
20th5.3
PK min/G
5.116th
BOSRecent formSTL
W@ LAK 4-1OTL@ DAL 2-3Wvs NSH 6-0Wvs SJS 6-4L@ CAR 1-2
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ NSH 2-5Wvs WPG 2-1Wvs VGK 6-2Lvs CAR 0-4Lvs MTL 0-2
below 50%below 50%above 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%above 50%below 50%
Game by game
above 50%above 50%above 50%above 50%below 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%
9-3-1
Record
5-6-1
3-1-1
Last 5
2-3-0
7-2-1
Last 10
4-5-1
—
Over–under
7-5
BOSHome and roadseason to dateSTL
5-1-0
Home record
3-2-1
4-2-1
Road record
2-4-0
—
Home O/U
2-4
—
Road O/U
5-1
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
BOSRest & travelSTL
1 day
Days of rest
1 day
661 mi1,063 km · straight-line from previous game (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
−1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
BOSKey injuriesSTL
None listed
Players out or limited
Torey Krug DIR
About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 29, 9:40 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Bruins (9-3-1) visited the Blues (5-6-1) on Thursday, October 29 at 8:10 PM ET.

The Bruins score 3.77 goals per game (5th of 32) and allow 2.15 (2nd). The Blues score 2.92 goals per game (21st of 32) and allow 3.08 (13th). The Bruins earn 73.1% of available standings points (3rd) and the Blues 45.8% (24th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Bruins 52.0% (13th), Blues 51.1% (14th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Bruins 48.1% (20th), Blues 50.7% (16th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Bruins 50.9% (16th), Blues 62.2% (5th).

The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Bruins -105, Blues -115) prices the Bruins at 49% and the Blues at 51%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Boston Bruins 1, St Louis Blues 4

St Louis Blues won by 3.

  • Against the closing spread (St Louis Blues -1.5): St Louis Blues covered.
  • Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
  • St Louis Blues closed at -115 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final
Boston Bruins 1
St Louis Blues 4
Decided
In regulation
St Louis Blues won
Lead changes
1

Before the game: market and G&W

49%Market at the close51%
Boston BruinsSt Louis Blues
47%Market at the open53%

From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Boston Bruins.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Boston Bruins 49%, St Louis Blues 51%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%1st2nd3rdOTMarket start11st 5:28: Boston Bruins 49% to 65%21st 15:43: St Louis Blues 36% to 52%32nd 5:17: St Louis Blues 51% to 70%■ Blues■ Bruins
 

Biggest swings

  1. 1st 5:28 — Boston Bruins goal (1-0)Boston Bruins 49% → 65% (+16 pts)
  2. 1st 15:43 — St Louis Blues goal (1-1)St Louis Blues 36% → 52% (+16 pts)
  3. 2nd 5:17 — St Louis Blues goal (1-2)St Louis Blues 51% → 70% (+19 pts)

St Louis Blues won after falling as low as 34% (1st 15:39).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

55%BOS
Share of G&W replays won
45%STL
2.6
Expected goals
2.3
1
Final score
4

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Boston Bruins won 55% of G&W replays (St Louis Blues 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

BruinsGoalsBlues
2.25-on-5 chancesexpected goals
1.8
0.4Power-play chancesexpected goals
0.4
0.0Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed
0.1
2.6Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result
2.3
0.5Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above
0.2
-1.6Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots
+1.7
-1.7Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jeremy Swayman 14/18 · Joel Hofer 31/32
+1.6
Bar left: Bruins gainedBar right: Blues gained

How the margin was built, from St Louis Blues's side:

Chances -0.3Finishing & goaltending +3.3St Louis Blues by 3

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

St Louis Blues closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.

The line moved toward Boston Bruins before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move
OpenBlues -1.5 (+187)
Bruins +1.5 (-232)
CloseBlues -1.5 (+200)
Bruins +1.5 (-274)
Totalno move
Open5.5 (o -132 / u +110)
Close5.5 (o -125 / u +104)
Moneyline
OpenBruins +105 47%
Blues -125 53%
CloseBruins -105 49%
Blues -115 51%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Bruins won 9 and the Blues 4.

DateScoreLineTotal
Dec 9, 2025Bruins 5, Blues 2
Bruins won
Blues -125
underdog won
5.5
over
Dec 4, 2025Blues 2, Bruins 5
Bruins won
Blues -142
underdog won
5.5
over
Nov 16, 2024Blues 3, Bruins 2 OT
Blues won
Bruins -180
underdog won
6
under
Nov 12, 2024Bruins 3, Blues 2
Bruins won
Bruins -175
favorite won
5.5
under
Mar 11, 2024Blues 5, Bruins 1
Blues won
Bruins -245
underdog won
5.5
over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams

Boston Bruins

St Louis Blues

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