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NHL · November 2, 2026

Detroit Red Wings vs Florida Panthers Final — November 2, 2026

Detroit Red Wings

6-5-3

Goalie Daniil Tarasov Confirmed

FINAL

Florida Panthers

8-4-2

Goalie Jacob Markstrom Confirmed

Monday, November 2 · 7:10 PM ET

DETStarting goaliesFLA

This season

Starts

.940

Sv%

.898

.900

HDSv%

.867

+4.3

GSAx

+0.7

Last season

Starts

.895

Sv%

.883

.867

HDSv%

.828

−2.9

GSAx

−17.1

DETOffense2026-27 regular season to dateFLA

23rd2.93

GF/G

3.1417th

20th6.99

PP GF/60

9.709th

DETDefenseFLA

13th3.07

GA/G

2.795th

25th11.78

PK GA/60

5.858th

DETTeamFLA

19th53.6%

Pts%

64.3%7th

4th56.3%

xGF%

54.6%6th

7th53.6%

CF%

56.0%3rd

2nd68.3%

HDCF%

48.3%18th

DET5-on-5FLA

9th2.74

xGF/60

2.4219th

5th2.12

xGA/60

2.021st

27th7.9%

Sh%

8.2%24th

16th90.3%

Sv%

89.5%24th

14th113.2

CF/60 (both)

109.426th

31st−0.53

GAx/G

−0.3123rd

20th−0.18

GSAx/G

+0.0117th

29th8.9%

Sh%

10.5%20th

25th88.3%

Sv%

89.0%18th

DETSpecial teamsFLA

16th7.92

PP xG/60

10.255th

11th78.5

PP FF/60

87.33rd

6th5.5

PP min/G

7.11st

23rd8.39

PK xGA/60

7.9716th

19th5.1

PK min/G

6.632nd

DETRecent formFLA

W@ VAN 5-2L@ CGY 1-4W@ EDM 4-3Wvs CHI 4-1Lvs STL 4-5

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ OTT 1-5L@ PIT 0-4W@ CHI 3-2W@ WPG 5-1Wvs WPG 5-2

Game by game

6-5-3

Record

8-4-2

3-2-0

Last 5

3-2-0

5-2-3

Last 10

6-4-0

8-6

Over–under

6-8

DETHome and roadseason to dateFLA

4-4-1

Home record

3-1-0

2-1-2

Road record

5-3-2

5-4

Home O/U

2-2

3-2

Road O/U

4-6

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

DETRest & travelFLA

1 day

Days of rest

2 days

1,129 mi1,817 km · straight-line from previous game (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

DETKey injuriesFLA

Simon Edvinsson DIRDylan Larkin CIR

Players out or limited

Jacob Markstrom GIRAleksander Barkov CIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Key players only. Injury report as of November 2, 10:10 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Red Wings (6-5-3) visited the Panthers (8-4-2) on Monday, November 2 at 7:10 PM ET.

The Red Wings score 2.93 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allow 3.07 (13th). The Panthers score 3.14 goals per game (17th of 32) and allow 2.79 (5th). The Red Wings earn 53.6% of available standings points (19th) and the Panthers 64.3% (7th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Red Wings 56.3% (4th), Panthers 54.6% (6th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Red Wings 53.6% (7th), Panthers 56.0% (3rd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Red Wings 68.3% (2nd), Panthers 48.3% (18th).

The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Red Wings +154, Panthers -185) prices the Red Wings at 38% and the Panthers at 62%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Detroit Red Wings 5, Florida Panthers 3

Detroit Red Wings won by 2.

Against the closing spread (Florida Panthers -1.5): Detroit Red Wings covered.
Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
Detroit Red Wings closed at +154 on the moneyline (a 38% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Detroit Red Wings 5
Florida Panthers 3

Decided

In regulation

Detroit Red Wings won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

38%Market at the close62%

Detroit Red WingsFlorida Panthers

39%Market at the open61%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Florida Panthers.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Detroit Red Wings 38%, Florida Panthers 62%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

2nd 1:26 — Detroit Red Wings goal (2-1)Detroit Red Wings 40% → 58% (+19 pts)
2nd 15:25 — Florida Panthers goal (2-2)Florida Panthers 34% → 58% (+24 pts)
3rd 2:08 — Detroit Red Wings goal (3-2)Detroit Red Wings 43% → 72% (+29 pts)

Detroit Red Wings won after falling as low as 38% (1st 0:00).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

45%DET

Share of G&W replays won

55%FLA

3.2

Expected goals

3.5

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Florida Panthers won 55% of G&W replays (Detroit Red Wings 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Red Wings	Goals	Panthers
1.9	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.7
1.3	Power-play chancesexpected goals	1.3
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.5
3.2	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	3.5
0.0	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.6
0.5	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	1.2
+0.8	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-1.2
+1.2	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Daniil Tarasov 23/26 · Jacob Markstrom 24/28	-0.8
1	Empty-net goals	0

Bar left: Red Wings gainedBar right: Panthers gained

How the margin was built, from Detroit Red Wings's side:

Chances -0.9Finishing & goaltending +1.9Empty net +1Detroit Red Wings by 2

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playDetroit Red Wings ML +1552uWIN +3.1u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Florida Panthers closed as the market favourite at 62% and lost.

The line moved toward Florida Panthers before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenPanthers -1.5 (+145)
Red Wings +1.5 (-177)

ClosePanthers -1.5 (+140)
Red Wings +1.5 (-170)

Totalno move

Open5.5 (o -130 / u +106)

Close5.5 (o -120 / u +100)

Moneyline

OpenRed Wings +145 39%
Panthers -175 61%

CloseRed Wings +154 38%
Panthers -185 62%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 33 times since 2018-19: the Red Wings won 7 and the Panthers 26.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Apr 15, 2026	Red Wings 1, Panthers 8 Panthers won
Mar 10, 2026	Red Wings 3, Panthers 4 Panthers won	Red Wings -114 underdog won	5.5 over
Mar 6, 2026	Panthers 3, Red Wings 1 Panthers won	Red Wings -157 underdog won	6 under
Oct 15, 2025	Panthers 1, Red Wings 4 Red Wings won	Panthers -155 underdog won	5.5 under
Apr 10, 2025	Red Wings 1, Panthers 4 Panthers won	Panthers -210 favorite won	5.5 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams