Wyoming Cowboys vs San Jose State Spartans Final — October 9, 2026
WYOOffense2026 regular season to dateSJSU
WYODefenseSJSUWYOLast 10 gamesSJSURest & travelrest and travel
WYORest & travelSJSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Wyoming (1-3) visited San José State (2-2) on Friday, October 9 at 9:00 PM ET.
Wyoming has the 57th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 114th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, San José State has the 120th-ranked offense and the 58th-ranked defense. When Wyoming has the ball, a 57th-ranked offense (+0.094 EPA per play) meets a 58th-ranked defense (+0.033 allowed); when San José State has it, a 120th-ranked offense (−0.115) meets a 114th-ranked defense (+0.205 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Wyoming offense is at 46.0% (76th) and the San José State offense at 41.5% (117th). Wyoming scores 12.5 points per game (129th) and allows 24.2 (56th); San José State scores 20.8 (97th) and allows 26.2 (70th).
Wyoming is 2-3 and 1-4 against the spread; its last game was a 28-0 loss to North Dakota State.
San José State closed as a 4.5-point favorite at home against Wyoming. The spread opened at San José State -6. The total closed at 42.5, down from 44 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Wyoming +155, San José State -192) prices Wyoming at 37% and San José State at 63%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Wyoming Cowboys 16, San Jose State Spartans 13
Wyoming Cowboys won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (San Jose State Spartans -4.5): Wyoming Cowboys covered.
- Combined score 29 vs the closing total of 42.5: Under.
- Wyoming Cowboys closed at +155 on the moneyline (a 37% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Wyoming Cowboys.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Wyoming Cowboys 37%, San Jose State Spartans 63%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 13:33 — Wyoming Cowboys ball, 4th & 2 at SJSU 2#6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 10 yards to the SJSU12 (#6 E.Powell), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSan Jose State Spartans 39% → 55% (+16 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 12:11 — San Jose State Spartans ball, 1st & 10 at WYO 14No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Weaver pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Anderson thrown to WYO04Wyoming Cowboys 17% → 35% (+19 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
- OT — Wyoming Cowboys ball, 3rd & 3 at SJSU 25Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the SJSU20 (#3 N.Danielson)Wyoming Cowboys 54% → 100% (+46 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray
- OT — Wyoming Cowboys ball, 1st & 10 at SJSU 25Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the SJSU20 (#3 N.Danielson)San Jose State Spartans 38% → 74% (+35 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray
- OT — San Jose State Spartans ball, 4th & 1 at WYO 25No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Bates rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO23 (#92 D.Drake)Wyoming Cowboys 52% → 78% (+25 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
Wyoming Cowboys won after falling as low as 14% (Q3 3:04).
Game DNA
| Wyoming | Points added | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6 | Passingdropbacks | -4.2 |
| +9.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | -10.2 |
| +4.0 | Explosive plays2 plays · 4 plays | +13.5 |
| -7.8 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +0.5 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -4.3 |
| -1.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +1.5 |
| -2.9 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 5 · 1 of 5 | -7.3 |
| +1.7 | All plays | -10.9 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 19.9 points to Wyoming Cowboys. The final margin was 3.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
San Jose State Spartans closed as the market favourite at 63% and lost.
The line moved toward Wyoming Cowboys before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Wyoming +6 (-110)
Wyoming +4.5 (-115)
San José State -225 66%
San José State -192 63%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts112
- Completion %58.9%172nd
- Passing yards708207th
- Yards per attempt6.3201st
- TD–INT2–6
- Rushing yards260121st
- Season line46 carries, 260 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards158323rd
- Season line12 catches, 158 yds
- Tackles3941st
- Attempts171
- Completion %62.0%125th
- Passing yards1,27853rd
- Yards per attempt7.5122nd
- TD–INT11–5
- Rushing yards48718th
- Season line104 carries, 487 yds
- Receiving yards31474th
- Season line29 catches, 314 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles4416th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 255 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Wyoming | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateWyoming offense vs San José State defense | 43.4%66th | 40.2%31st |
| Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs Wyoming defense | 49.5%124th | 36.6%129th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWyoming offense vs San José State defense | 31.0%117th | 34.6%32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs Wyoming defense | 42.6%92nd | 31.5%115th |
| Explosive play rateWyoming offense vs San José State defense | 5.9%96th | 5.9%42nd |
| Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs Wyoming defense | 5.0%22nd | 5.1%109th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 43.4%113th-highest | 54.7%36th-highest |
On 3rd down Wyoming converts 31.0% (117th) against a San José State defense allowing 34.6% (32nd).
On 3rd down San José State converts 31.5% (115th) against a Wyoming defense allowing 42.6% (92nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Wyoming | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jay Sawvel | Ken Niumatalolo |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 9–20 | 13–17 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 9–20 | 122–100 |
| Offensive coordinator | Christian Taylor | Craig Stutzmann |
| Defensive coordinator | Aaron Bohl | Bojay Filimoeatu |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Wyoming won 1 and San José State 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | San José State 28, Wyoming 35 Wyoming won | ||
| Oct 19, 2024 | Wyoming 14, San José State 24 San José State won | ||
| Oct 1, 2022 | San José State 33, Wyoming 16 San José State won | ||
| Oct 30, 2021 | Wyoming 21, San José State 27 San José State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Wyoming Cowboys
- Wyoming Cowboys team stats
- Air Force Falcons 14, Wyoming Cowboys 28 (Oct 23)
- Northern Illinois Huskies 23, Wyoming Cowboys 41 (Oct 17)
- Wyoming Cowboys 0, North Dakota State Bison 28 (Oct 3)
San Jose State Spartans
More NCAAF games on October 9, 2026
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