Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Wisconsin (4-2) visits Iowa (4-2) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET.
Wisconsin has the 57th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 8th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Iowa has the 86th-ranked offense and the 42nd-ranked defense. When Wisconsin has the ball, a 57th-ranked offense (+0.083 EPA per play) meets a 42nd-ranked defense (−0.016 allowed); when Iowa has it, a 86th-ranked offense (+0.019) meets a 8th-ranked defense (−0.142 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Wisconsin offense is at 49.5% (36th) and the Iowa offense at 42.5% (115th). Wisconsin scores 25.5 points per game (69th) and allows 16.3 (13th); Iowa scores 23.5 (87th) and allows 16.7 (15th).
Wisconsin is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 24-7 win over USC. Iowa is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 13-10 loss to Minnesota.
Iowa is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Wisconsin. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 36.5, down from 39.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Wisconsin +140, Iowa -170) prices Wisconsin at 40% and Iowa at 60%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Wisconsin +3.5 (-105)
Wisconsin +3.5 (-115)
Iowa -182 62%
Iowa -170 60%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Wisconsin +3.5-110Hard Rock
- Iowa -3.5+106Novig
- Over 36.5-110FanDuel
- Under 36.5+102Novig
- Wisconsin+150Novig
- Iowa-153Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts173
- Completion %57.2%193rd
- Passing yards1,256164th
- Yards per attempt7.3137th
- TD–INT11–5
- Rushing yards365137th
- Season line84 carries, 365 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards343155th
- Season line28 catches, 343 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles6047th
- Attempts145
- Completion %61.4%140th
- Passing yards968209th
- Yards per attempt6.7187th
- TD–INT6–3
- Rushing yards54150th
- Season line86 carries, 541 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards386113th
- Season line29 catches, 386 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles6234th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Wisconsin | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateWisconsin offense vs Iowa defense | 46.3%26th | 45.4%102nd |
| Early-down success rateIowa offense vs Wisconsin defense | 37.6%9th | 40.1%107th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWisconsin offense vs Iowa defense | 45.2%32nd | 33.8%22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateIowa offense vs Wisconsin defense | 46.4%117th | 39.7%76th |
| Explosive play rateWisconsin offense vs Iowa defense | 6.4%80th | 6.1%49th |
| Explosive play rateIowa offense vs Wisconsin defense | 4.3%10th | 5.3%117th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 43.7%115th-highest | 54.7%27th-highest |
On 3rd down Wisconsin converts 45.2% (32nd) against a Iowa defense allowing 33.8% (22nd).
On 3rd down Iowa converts 39.7% (76th) against a Wisconsin defense allowing 46.4% (117th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Wisconsin | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Luke Fickell | Kirk Ferentz |
| Tenureat this school | 4th season | 28th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 22–23 | 218–130 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 85–48 | 218–130 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jeff Grimes | Tim Lester |
| Defensive coordinator | Mike Tressel | Phil Parker |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Wisconsin won 1 and Iowa 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Iowa 37, Wisconsin 0 Iowa won | ||
| Nov 2, 2024 | Wisconsin 10, Iowa 42 Iowa won | ||
| Oct 14, 2023 | Iowa 15, Wisconsin 6 Iowa won | ||
| Nov 12, 2022 | Wisconsin 10, Iowa 24 Iowa won | ||
| Oct 30, 2021 | Iowa 7, Wisconsin 27 Wisconsin won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Wisconsin Badgers
- Wisconsin Badgers team stats
- USC Trojans 7, Wisconsin Badgers 24 (Oct 24)
- Wisconsin Badgers 7, UCLA Bruins 17 (Oct 17)
- Michigan State Spartans 3, Wisconsin Badgers 31 (Oct 3)
Iowa Hawkeyes
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